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Obviously this guys is American right? Dumbest shit I'ver ever read in my life |
KC_Barney | 20 |
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I'm not sure if it's the East Coast bias, Crosby & Malkin's playoff performance so far, or the Lidstrom/Datsyuk injuries, but for some reason everyone and their dog seems to think that this is the year the will Pens go all the way and win the Stanley Cup.
I just have one question...why?
There's no question that Pittsburgh are playing at a higher level then last year, but have you seen Detroit this spring? They demolished an upstart Columbus squad in a tough building, outlasted an experienced Anaheim team that nobody wanted to play, then completely shut down the confident Blackhawks with ease. As a Canucks fan I can only say that I'm happy we didn't have to succomb to the red and white.
I'm well aware of the bad Hossa karma and comparisons to the early-80's Oilers team that beat the Islanders in the Cup final rematch, but there's just no way that Pittsburgh can beat the Wings. Detroit are too skilled, too deep, too experienced and too disciplined to not repeat as champs.
I think it will be a competitive series that goes 5 or 6 games, but the West has been the superior conference all year and the Wings are the cream of the crop. Although the series futures are intriguing, I really like Detroit to come hard out of the gates and take control from Game 1 on, so go with the Wings PL on Saturday (currently +170 at Sports Interaction).
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make sense"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 15 |
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If you regularly read my space then you know by now that I tend to bet with my heart instead of my head. Often times I try to convince myself that my teams are as good as I think they are, when really they're above average at best, and then I make picks that end up being a double whammy of watching my teams lose and my wallet diminish.
Now that the Canucks have gone golfing for the summer it's time to refocus on the most important thing, making money. So I'm taking the blinders off and warning all Canadian baseball fans to do the same, because it's just a matter of time before the beloved Blue Jays come crashing back to earth.
It's been a nice start for Toronto and a feelgood story for all the Cito Gaston supporters (and there are many) but let's be honest, this team has been overachieving since the start and there's nowhere to go but down.
Will they finish with the worst record in the American League like I predicted before the season? Probably not (although there's still time). But unless your name is Roy Halladay then there's a lot to be desired from the group of castoffs they call a pitching staff. Are we really supposed to believe that Brett Cecil, Scott Richmond, Ricky Romero and others are supposed to take this team to the promised land? Um, no.
Throw in their cakewalk schedule (played the Yanks three times, Sox once, and haven't played Tampa) and the fact that teams will learn to pitch to Lind & Snider, and you can expect the losses to start piling up.
So start fading the Jays because the honeymoon is over. You can begin by taking the Red Sox tonight (+150 at Sports Interaction) and watch the winnings pile up.
If it don't make dollars, it don't make sense
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 1 |
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You gotta love the NHL Playoffs...the endless overtimes, playoff beards, and guys damn near killing themselves in an attempt to hoist Lord Stanley's Cup. Without question though one of my favorite things about the playoffs are the number of bandwagon jumpers that emerge from the ruins each year.
I can count on one hand the number of Blackhawks' fans that I knew before the playoffs started, but now that they are on the verge of advancing to the Conference Finals everyone I know is a Hawks' supporter. From what I'm told Dustin Byfuglien is the second coming of Cam Neely, even though he had one lousy goal in the playoffs up until Game 5. Never mind the fact that nobody can pronounce his name.
I've watched every second of the series to date I'll admit that the young Hawks are exciting to watch and will be a force down the road, but let's not plan the parade just yet. Despite the huge shot discrepency in the series one could make the argument that the Canucks have outplayed the Blackhawks to date.
Yes, Vancouver were steamrolled in the 3rd period of Game 1 and all of Game 2, but they got back to their defensive style on the road, played two near-perfect games in Chicago and were 2:40 seconds away from a 3-1 lead in the series.
Now that their backs are against the wall I expect the team to come out desperate tonight and get the series back to Vancouver. Luongo is 6-2 on the road in his last 8 starts with a GAA of under 2. When you throw in the fact that the Sedins/Sundin are playing for contracts and the team is one loss away from blowing things up, expect a big win from the boys in blue.
It would also help if the referees could award them more then one power play tonight. I'm not saying that the penalties to Vancouver at the end of Game 5 weren't deserved, but it's starting to get a bit ridiculous.
Add it all up and there's some serious money to be made on the Vancouver ML tonight, currently +130 at Sports Interaction
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make sense"
The Mayor |
johnnymo | 4 |
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I've been going through major withdrawal since last Sunday waiting for the Madness to start up again, but since we're only hours from what I think will be the best weekend of College Basketball this year, it's time to weigh on tonight's matchups.
Most people know that I'm a loyal Duke supporter and it's amazing how many times I've heard that Villanova are going to walk over the Dukies tonight, which is absolutely insane. I know that number 1 rule of sports gambling is not to bet on your own team, but the fact that Duke are -2 (at Sports Interaction) is reason to open up the wallets tonight.
Consider the following three factors when trying to talk yourself into the Wildcats tonight
- Villanova has no size or depth - Yes they have a nice backcourt but everyone knows that to beat Duke you pound them to death inside. With no inside threat you're basically convinced the Reynolds and Dante Cunningham are going to outplay Henderson, Singler and Scheyer, all while being locked down by Elliot Williams and Nolan Smith
- They're not in Philly anymore - Outside of the win at Syracuse (and let's be honest, Cleveland St. won at Syracuse) find me a quality road win on Villanova's schedule. Even though the crowd will be pulling for them, this isn't the Wachovia Center and when they look across the court and see "Duke" across the chest, the nerves will start to rattle. Remember when Xavier played Duke on national TV and were down 18-1 three minutes into the game? You've been warned.
- The coaching matchup - Coach K vs. Jay Wright. Come on. This is a guy that had to sweat it out against American in his own building. He can't trade X's and O's with the greatest of all time. If you're a believer in fate you'll know that the gold medal and the NCAA Championship could be the greatest coaching season in history. And it's going to happen.
Add it all up and Villanova will be lucky to keep it within 10 tonight
Other matchups I REALLY like..
Purdue +7 over UConn
Missouri +5 over Memphis
I actually like both dogs to win outright, so you may want to consider the ML
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make cents"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 20 |
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If the end of Friday's games are any indication then we're in for a treat in the second round. Even though the ACC failed to live up to expectations (I still don't know how FSU crashed and burned) I was able to win some cash on the Dayton and Cleveland St. ML's, along with a number of solid second half bets.
Now that the mid-major pretenders have been sent packing we should see some fantastic ball in Round 2, including a number of tasty dishes on the menu for today.
First of all, I love Maryland today (+9.5 at Sports Interaction) even though they looked a little too good against an overrated Cal team and Memphis are due for a bounce-back game. I actually think they can win this game outright (ML is +400) because you rarely see teams make a run to the Final Four in back-to-back years (especially when they lose their best players). Memphis will go down today or against Mizzou in the Sweet 16, but the Terps definately cover the points today.
I also like Purdue +1.5 on the road (everything went right for Washington on Thursday) and I can't believe that Western Kentucky are 11 point dogs when they are basically a mirror image of Gonzaga. Take the Hilltoppers.
Finally, I see Texas hanging around for 30 minutes but Duke's pressure defense will be too much in the end. I'm taking the Blue Devils -7.5 because they are due.
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make sense"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 1 |
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Yup - Sorry
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johnnymo | 3 |
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Ah the Ides of March - Spring is just around the corner, St. Paddy's Day festivities are set to kick-off and every sports betor is gearing up for the Madness.
There are no shortage of topics to discuss over the next few weeks and now that everyone has seen and (in most cases) filled out their bracket it's time to take a closer look at the early matchups.
I've been singing their praises all year and all I have to say is Back The ACC. Out of the Power conferences the ACC have the highest winning percentage (66.1%) since 2000. All of the first round matchups look delicious, with Maryland (+1 at Sports Interaction) and Boston College (+2) worth a few dollars on the Moneyline.
I actually like all 7 ACC team to go at least two rounds, with Duke, UNC meeting in the Final Four and FSU being the biggest sleeper. The one ACC team that does scare me is Wake Forest, who I could see going down to Cleveland St. in the first round. They're just too young, although this experience will work wonders for them down the road. Take the Vikings (+7.5) on Friday.
We all know that the cream rises to the top in March and this year will be no different. The ACC is the best conference and will make the most noise during the opening weekend.
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make sense"
The Mayor |
johnnymo | 8 |
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Ah the Ides of March - Spring is just around the corner, St. Paddy's Day festivities are set to kick-off and every sports betor is gearing up for the Madness.
There are no shortage of topics to discuss over the next few weeks and now that everyone has seen and (in most cases) filled out their bracket it's time to take a closer look at the early matchups.
I've been singing their praises all year and all I have to say is Back The ACC. Out of the Power conferences the ACC have the highest winning percentage (66.1%) since 2000. All of the first round matchups look delicious, with Maryland (+1 at Sports Interaction) and Boston College (+2) worth a few dollars on the Moneyline.
I actually like all 7 ACC team to go at least two rounds, with Duke, UNC meeting in the Final Four and FSU being the biggest sleeper. The one ACC team that does scare me is Wake Forest, who I could see going down to Cleveland St. in the first round. They're just too young, although this experience will work wonders for them down the road. Take the Vikings (+7.5) on Friday.
We all know that the cream rises to the top in March and this year will be no different. The ACC is the best conference and will make the most noise during the opening weekend.
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make sense"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 3 |
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The NHL Trade Deadline came and went this week and it might be time that the Canadian government passes a law to make it a national holiday. It's amazing how many people in this country get excited year after year to see the same group of castoffs move to a new team. Wow...Bill Guerin to the Penguins! Mark Recchi to the Bruins! The Leafs get two 2nd-round picks! Outside of Ray Bourque has their ever been an impact move at the deadline that has led that team to a Cup? (And yes I know that Recchi won in Carolina but he was a small part on that team).
All the hype this year is on the Calgary Flames getting Olli Jokinen and his 700+ career games without making the playoffs. While he looked good in his debut last night, the honeymoon will soon be over and there's no doubt the cancer will return in time for the playofffs. And if all the Flamers think that Jordan Leopold is the answer on an overrated defense, then you're sorrily mistaken.
Like the old adage says, "if it ain't broke then don't fix it." While many teams made moves a number of the true Cup contenders stood pat at the deadline, including Detroit (even though cap issues played a part) and New Jersey.
If you're looking for a value bet for an NHL future this spring, look no further then the Vancouver Canucks (currently 21-1 at Sports Interaction). Although they had over $2 million in cap space at the deadline, Mike Gillis decided not to upset the chemistry on a team that's won 11 of their last 13 and are only getting stronger. With one of the top two goalies in the world, a deep and talented defense corps, two top scoring lines and a bunch of other scrubs, this team is built to make a long run to Lord Stanley in the spring.
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make cents"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 3 |
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Hard to believe that we're less than three weeks until the start of March Madness and it's amazing how quickly time flies. While a number of teams have recently played themselves in (or out) of the tournament, there is still a lot to be desired before Championship week begins.
It's been well documented that the big boys have been playing hot potato for the #1 ranking all year, but since only 6 or 7 teams have a realistic shot at the four top seeds in the tournament, expect the Conference Tournaments to decide who goes where.
So what does that mean for the next two weekends? Lots of bubble teams fighting for their lives and ranked teams doing whatever they can to pass the time and stay healthy. So in other words there's money to be made...
Keep that in mind when you're making your plays for College Hoops on Saturday. Here are three bets that I really like...
Notre Dame (+12 at Sports Interaction) vs. UConn - The Jim Calhoun sideshow this week will be a distraction
Oklahoma State -1.5 over Texas - Expect a letdown from AJ Abrams
Florida State +1.5 vs. Clemson - FSU should bounce back after a tough loss at BC
And for good measure...
Duke - 5 @ Virginia Tech - Is it time to bring back the "Gerald Henderson for Player of the Year" thread?
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make cents"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 2 |
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Another big Thursday night in college hoops as we're getting to the point where the contenders separate themselves from the pretenders. Some nice matchups out west along with the Dukies' annual trip to the mecca.
Get your wallets ready because here are three matchups that will land you cash...
Xavier (-7 at Sports Interaction) @ Charlotte
- Since getting destroyed by Duke on national TV early in the season the Muskateers have played pretty well. Clearly the class of the A-10, look for Xavier to keep the momentum going
Washington State +7 @ USC
- The Cougars are playing D again (#1 in points against in the nation) and 7 is wayyyyy too high against another inconsistent, middle of the road Pac-10 team.
Duke -14 @ St. John's
- I'd be very concerned if I was a member of the Red Storm tonight. This line has moved a couple of points but you couldn't make it high enough. Things could get ugly at MSG.
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make cents"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 2 |
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The big matchup between DeJuan Blair and Hasheem Thabeet tonight got me thinking...who's the Player of the Year so far in college hoops? We're a month away from March Madness and although many guys have taken a shot to prove their worth, the race for POY seems to be wide-open. If you consider just statistics, then Blake Griffin would obviously be the favorite. But Player of the Year is much more then that. First of all, you need some competition, which the Big 12 has none of. You need to be on a team in the spotlight so much that EVERY time a team beats you at home their fans storm the floor, you need to have experience and a history of making clutch shots, you need to be in the best conference in College Hoops, and you need to have the all-around game to take over at any point. Off that criteria my choice for Player of the Year is Gerald Henderson. Not only for what he's accomplished so far but for what's going to happen over the next month. Remember that every team has slumps at some point. Griffin, Blair, Thabeet, Ty Lawson and even Jeff Teague can make an argument, but in the end we'll be talking about Henderson. My question is, who ya got? (And no Willie Warren isn't on the ballot) By the way, UConn (-3 at Sports Interaction) is the biggest non-Duke lock of the year bet tonight. "If it don't make dollars, it don't make cents" The Mayor |
johnnymo | 1 |
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We're only hours away until the latest chapter of the Tobacco Road rivalry is written and there's one burning question that I have unanswered...
Will Gerald Henderson destroy Tyler Hansbrough's face again?
I'd love nothing more then to see a bloody "Psycho T" plastered across every sports publication in the country tomorrow with a headline that says "Duke wins the battle AND the war." How great would that be?
On a side note, in what has to be the most ridiculous line in College Basketball this year is Duke +2.5 to UNC (at Sports Interaction). I mean you're getting an extra half point here when the Blue Devils are going to win outright? Load up those moneyline bets...I might even see if I can get a second mortgage on my house and really cash in.
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make cents"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 10 |
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It's amazing that the Sooners have made it all the way to Number 2 in the latest rankings. After watching them struggle in stretches against Oklahoma St. last week I can say with full confidence that they will be the highest seed to crash and burn in the first round of the Tournament.
Yes Blake Griffiin is impressive and will be a stud at the next level, and Austin Johnson knows how to get him the ball, but how will these guys compete with the alpha dogs in the ACC and Big East?
I'll continue to pray that they get selected in the same region as Duke and I only wish that they were playing tonight so I could bet against them. In the meantime I'll take the points for UConn @ Louisville, which is currently +2.5 at Sports Interaction
Other plays that I like this evening
LA Lakers + 6 @ NY Knicks
Sacramento +14.5 @ Phoenix
"If it don't make dollars, it don't make cents"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 3 |
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Now that we're in the heart of conference play it's never too early to start thinking about the Final Four.
Much like last year I think the cream will rise to the top and the days of the George Mason-type cinderella are over.
Although they've never met in the NCAA Tournament, there's absolutely no doubt in my mind that this will be the year that Duke and UNC play in the championship game. Call it an ACC bias but the Tobacco Road rivals are clearly the class of the NCAA's this year. And wouldn't you love to see Gerald Henderson break Psycho T's face again with everything on the line
Your 2009 Final Four will look like this...
Duke (Champions)
- Best 1-2 punch in the country (Henderson/Singler), 4 legit scoring options, 10 deep, toughest non-conference schedule, best coach, intangibles, 3's...you name it, we got it.
UNC
- Still have Hansborough, Lawson (even if he can't guard my grandmother), and Ellington, deep bench, well coached, athletic and experienced.
Georgetown
- Even though they got destroyed by Duke last Saturday I like this team. Thin bench but Summers is unreal and Monroe will make Oden-like strides heading into tournament time.
UCLA
- Looked bad early in the year but with that backcourt it's hard to argue. Maybe someone else emerges over the next month to take their place but until then this is how I see it.
With all due respect to Pitt, Oklahoma, and Wake, you just aren't there yet. You've seen my choices but the question is who do you have?
Some good games on tap today in NCB but here are my winning plays. Live odds are courtesy of Sports Interaction
Maryland (+15) over Duke (given them fits over the years)
Tennessee (-2.5) over Memphis
UCLA (-1) over Washington
Last Week - 3-1
"If it don't make dollars it don't make cents"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 5 |
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After watching my boy Derrick Rose destroy the Craptors down the stretch last night, I gotta ask if you were starting a franchise today would you go with Rose or CP3?
There's no question that CP3 is more established right now and has already had a minor taste of playoff success, but he's also surrounded by better players instead of the pu pu platter that John Paxson has put together in Chicago.
Name me another point guard that has come into the NBA in the past two decades and dominated out of the gates like Rose? I mean he's breaking kids ankles who are playing five feet off of him!!
Now if Paxson gets the axe as he should and Vinny the Black (Scott Skiles II) eases up on Foodgate then the Bulls should start making some noise.
So I'll ask if you're starting an NBA franchise from scratch and taking a PG then who ya got?
I know one thing, even with the B2B's and a terrible record against the Cavs lately, I like the Bulls at home tonight against LBJ (currently +8.5 at Sports Interaction)
"If it don't make dollars it don't make cents"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 17 |
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As a lifelong Duke fan I'd like to thank to J.Lo for finally mustering up the strength to write an article applauding what the Dukies have done this year. It's not too often that such a monster team can fly under the radar but for once the public seem to have turned the other cheek.
This is Coach K's deepest team in years and he made the brilliant decision to keep Paulus on the bench for the extremely underated Nolan Smith. Outside of the Michigan road game (which was a tough academic week) the Dukies have been virtually unstoppable, including the beatings that they laid on Purdue, Xavier and Davidson
Now I realize that they've dropped the cash in the second half lately but just remember that it's a marathon and not a sprint.
I'll be putting my money where my mouth is on the following play tonight at Sports Interaction
Duke -6 First Half
And for good measure let's stick with the road theme in the ACC
Wake -4 @ BC
Maryland +7.5 @ Miami
You know what they say..."if it don't make dollars, it don't make sense"
The Mayor
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johnnymo | 2 |
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This is going to be the one week that I pull through tonight. Go Cleveland and the Over!
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torpeteo | 4 |
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BC have no shot at beating Duke...sorry MSully but congrats on your $1,000.
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Captain Lock | 19 |
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