KC_Sports

The percentage of SU and ATS wins of opening line faves of exactly 2.5 points? 

Thanks in advance.

Could you do the same for NFL.  You seem to have a good track record and these last few weeks have been tough.  Thanks and good luck tonight.

gcnmoo,

A couple of questions,

1.  Where do you get your SOS numbers from and how do you find average SOS?

2.  How do you determine who has the advantage on special teams?

3.  You stated you get a pointspread using yards per play, could you go over how you get this? 

YTD 20-13 +6.55 Units

.5U Redskins +3.5

1U Redskins/Eagles Under 44

I think you are getting great value here with the skins at just above a FG.  it seems like there is alot of love for the Eagles tonight.  ill be the first one to tell you that Vick scares the crap out of me.  But if you watched the last game these two played, the Redskins jammed Maclin and jackson at the line and it seemed to give the Philly offense fits.  I look for the Skins to do the same and expect another low scoring game.  Prediction: Redskins 17 Eagles 20

YTD 18-12 +5.6 Units

Well the Falcons probably shouldn't have won that game in the end, but a win is a win.

1U Falcons -1

YTD 17-12 +4.6 Units

1U Falcons -1

You know the trends and how good this ATL team is at home.  I have the Ravens in a nice Future to win the AFC, but i think this is a bad spot for them in Atlanta.  If Roddy WHite is playing i will make this bet final.

YTD 14-9 +4.7 Units

Ugly looking card this week.  Im not seeing to many plays i like so here is what i see value in.

1U Texans +2.5

.5 U Texans ML +130

.5U Browns +5

1U Cowboys +8

1U ATL -1/ KC +9.5

1U Colts +9.5/ Texans +9.5

GL to all

YTD 31-21 +10.18 Units

1U Ohio -15

1U Buf/Ohio Under 46

1U VT -13

It will be interesting to see how MTSU does vs a throwing qb.  Great info in the thread.  Already placed my bets but alteast one of us should win tonight.

yes i am well aware of that stat.  However, how many of these turnovers were because they had a 2nd string qb in or Dasher was playing off the rust.  GL with your play.

YTD 31-19 +11.68 Units

1U Blue Raiders -1

.5U Under 59

Arkansas State cant really protect the ball and has a bad turnover ratio.  These mistakes should allow Dasher and the Blue Raiders to win this game and keep this under the total.

YTD 14-8 +5.75 Units 63.6%

1 Unit on Houston +6

Boy do i hate betting against Manning and the Colts on primetime, but i think this is just to many points to be laying.  The colts are banged up and will mostly likely be without Clark, Addai, and Collie.  These 3 move the chains for this Indy team and this will hurt them a bit.  Dont get me wrong, both Defenses suck here tonight and points will be put up, i just think Houston will be able to score TD for TD with the Colts and should keep this one close.  Schaub is a very capable QB and Andre Johnson is flat out, a beast.  Dont see how the colts will be able to stop AJ while trying to respect the running of A. Foster.  I think the Colts win this game in the realm of 27-24.  Either way i will be happy to take what i feel like is to many points.  Good luck and lets all cash.

5-2 +2.85 Units so far

Had a play on Stanford -7 but wont count it because i forgot to post it.  Lets hope these night games finish strong for a solid day.