Killa_Kraken

Wow Troy you really went in this time bro. I always had suspected he was full of garbage as I hadn't ever heard him say anything that seemed to indicate he was the master he claimed to be and he always said such stupid things that made me think he was either a bookie shill or a noob.

After three months losing overall in my opinion proves he isn't what he claims. Case closed.

100%

I would have to agree that 7 days in which you only bet on 3 of those days is a 3 day not a 7 day win streak and I for one GREATLY appreciate you taking the time to create a record for this thread TROY it helps anyone who wants to know if itsonnow1 can actually cap or not and saves them time counting through the posts to find out the record for themselves. Nice work.

That profile pic reminds me of someone...

"Thanks for the help guys

You should tail the best cappers on here or follow a system that was created by pro data analysts if you change your mind on quitting. Don't play your own choices until you've studied and have a method or system behind your picks.

BOL in your future endeavours outside of gambling if not!

Yeah the line should have had Bulls as bigger favourites.

The best bettors win more than 54%. That is just scraping the realm of being a winning bettor when you factor in the juice, barely. The BEST bettors often hit 60% and are in the 58 to 64% range from what I've read and heard.

On the Alabama game this strategy paid off it was a loss for you but not if you waited for even just an extra 3 points on the spread. Obviously 1 game doesn't say much though and when comparing it to the amount of games you would miss due to your team winning from the jump it could still work out badly long term and obviously timing is crucial and this will most likely only work if you choose your parameters pre game and stick to them, making decisions on the fly mid game likely will encourage bad choices.

Tailing these two, managed to snag Alabama at 13.5 live bet.

It does encourage and provoke chasing and bad habits but I think live betting can work for you if you take your predictions, as an example the ones in this thread and wait for them to be down mid game to get an increased spread (the opposite of chasing) and trust your initial judgement for the comeback to happen. If your team gets an early lead then obviously you missed an opportunity for a win but I think more often than not there will be at least a single point in the game where you can get a slightly better line than you would have pre game due to your choice of team being down a few points.

I haven't back tested this idea but I think it's not often that a team controls the game from the jump and obviously you wouldn't chase those games where they do instead you just accept those games as gone and only bet when you can get an increased point spread due to a opposing lead in points.

Your theory about Vegas only allowing it because it encourages losing and chasing for MOST bettors could also be said about all forms of sports gambling they take bets on including pre game because of course they allow those too.

Anyhow BOL everyone!

I appreciate your humble reply it makes a nice change. Hopefully we all get to see more of this side of you in future!

Honestly? I'm not one to talk I don't even post my plays here, reason being I consider myself a beginner in this game and don't have enough faith in my ability yet to encourage people to follow me. I appreciate everyone's input that comes from a genuine place on covers (some are bookies and shills from what I've heard?) but it just seems like you think you are God's gift to gambling sometimes and you should try to behave a little more like you also have something to learn while you're here because all of us do and none of us are perfect.

FTR though I salute your decision to continue posting plays and apologize for the nuthouse comment as that was a little below the belt.

I'm not surprised by people wanting to be on your email list. Anyone with an ego as big as yours and a condescending nature as severe MUST be able to do what he claims to some degree or you wouldn't be on here you would be locked up in a nuthouse somewhere.

BTW you completely missed the point of my question. I didn't ask for proof of if you had ever given a correct analysis on a play on covers, obviously you have. I asked for proof that your advice has been THE SOLE REASON SOMEBODY WON MONEY ON HERE which was your initial claim was it not?

You don't even see it do you? You're so blinded by your ego you don't even understand the concept that those posts you sourced did not show that anybody won a play DIRECTLY because of YOU as you claimed. You may have been a small factor in somebody playing raptors BUT IF THEY WERE NOT ALREADY LEANING THAT WAY then they wouldn't have made the play just because you said so and even if some idiot did THERE WAS NO PROOF of that on any of the threads you posted not from even ONE poster.

You should not assume your advice has DIRECTLY resulted in anyone making any money because even if your advice is well received and it HELPED whoever made the play still had the final decision on whether to make the play or not and so the credit should go "directly" to them with you getting a little side dish of that credit. You see my issue was with your use of the words "directly due to your advice" if you had said partly due then I wouldn't have found it so stupid.

Also I would liken the "advice" you gave in all 3 posts you linked more to giving a fish (a single play) rather than any substantial advice that could make any covers member money directly because of your advice as you claimed and if we go by this logic then you have also DIRECTLY lost people a lot of money on here by giving incorrect advice (more like a play with a small write up judging from your examples) too but this is a side issue, your direct claiming of the credit for the plays of anyone that reads any thread in which you post an opinion is what really got me.

Get me?

Can you give me one example in which your advice in a thread has directly produced a win for somebody else on covers or is this your inflated ego deluding you from reality again?

As I understood you said in an earlier post that no matter how few selections you give us that MATHEMATICALLY the ratio of wins to losses will be the same.

Your exact quote from post 120 in this thread was -