LAGameofInches

Maryland have lost 6 games by a TOTAL of 8 points.  Crazy how few people realize how easily they could have been a 1 or 2 seed had a few losses gone their way (NW the worst of the buzzer beaters).  Getting 6 points is, imo, and I have NOT been very good of late, a gift.  Plus they shoot 3ptrs and FT's VERY well whereas Florida is not very good from the FT line.  Just sharing some data I know the SEC was great but MD can really score 

He's NOT delusional it's the NCAAB tournament though the only strike against Uconn in this matchup is Florida is 8-1 ATS on neutral courts.  Otherwise UConn is 5-0 SU vs. Florida and 4-1 ATS in the history of the matchup.  Doesn't mean it comes in just throwing some stats out there.

Wasn't great, I can't pick a winning side for whatever reason so no point in continuing to hemorrhage.

Might as well just go against me I'd play the OVER in MD/CSU like a baby with a pacifier.  I also love Manhattan early.  So watch those two drop.  Can't see Duke not smashing Baylor.

I think UCONN is very well balanced and coached.  They are a completely different team nowadays from the injury plagued one earlier in the year.  Had they not had those setbacks they'd be every bit a contender and you're seeing that now.  I love Florida but I also think Uconn is playing at quite a high level.  

Solid pick buddy.  Ark St 9-3-1 ATS on the road this season (different story for them on a neutral court so good for them that it's being played in Texas)

Good luck. Like those 

YTD (NBA):  168-116-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 49-29 ATS)

Had a solid 4-1 night the other day, hitting the two big plays and losing the one play by a bucket or would have been a monster night.  Tonight I have two plays, both big plays, and both totals.  Hoping for a real monster:

OVER 223 (MILWAUKEE/SACRAMENTO)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Twelve out of the past thirteen between these two teams played in Sacramento have gone OVER.  My money is that this will not be the time it stays under.

OVER 236 (CHICAGO/LAL)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Four out of the past five played in Los Angeles have gone over and 9 out of 10 played between the two teams have gone OVER.  I really like this spot for a higher scoring game.

Just those two, picking the spots given all the injuries and late season sit outs.  Just hard to bet on the NBA with all these nagging injuries sidelining starers.  Hurts with continuity.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all.

NCAAB TOURNAMENT:  0-4 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!:  0-1 ATS)

Sink or swim the record is not pretty.  But I did only play 3 early games the first day then didn't want to come back for more.  I opted to not post yesterday just watch and obviously Maryland whom I have backed with mixed results all year obliterate Grand Canyon.  I have another play upcoming that I feel the same way about and so I want to post this as well, might add a couple more:

DRAKE (+7.5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Drake have won over 30 games.  USUALLY when teams win like that the winning keeps going.  But Texas Tech is a really solid group that can score or play a slug fest.  I think the latter happens today, Drake has an amazing defense and the 7 points are just too many.  Moreover, Drake are 9-0 on neutral sites and 8-1 ATS on neutral site.  Conversely, Texas Tech are 0-6 ATS on a neutral court.  Really love this spot and this play.

TEXAS A&M (-3):  A LOT of love for Michigan as always.  I can live with that.  The Wolverines have lived by the sword and died in blowouts.  I happen to think they have some problems with A&M today and with much of the public on Michigan, as always.  I think dropping 3 is very generous for a tested SEC foe.

Need to get these posted and out asap.  I will be back, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

I have NOT been a Michigan fan or backer for lost the year and they’ve bit me in the ass when I’ve gone against them. But I believe they lost to A&M who will challenge on the boards and are far better defensively.  They also shoot FTs better and this game might very well come down to that. A&M won’t go down 15 and have to claw back only to narrowly miss the victory. It’s insane how good Michigan has been in close games this year so pulling for a blowout if you back A&M is the dream. 

Solid call on Arkansas lot of game left but Calipari gets the better of Pitino usually. As for Auburn, I think they get going much faster today and they did last game. Thinking a FH play could also be interesting. 

@DopeBoy95s

He’s not wrong. I haven’t been great of late and always post a record. There’s no hate I think it’s just “different strokes for different folks” and everyone’s reality is based on their past experiences. I hope he sweeps today so everyone wins but I think Bettorific is just heeding warning 

Good luck to everyone 

why would you hate them?  I have said all year they are massively underrated and have the best starting 5 they just dont' have a bench.  Derek Queen is awesome and they got a couple great portal guys making their 3p shooting unreal as well.  super well balanced.  I'd love to see a game between them and Florida.

Also Italy, they have not been really great of late but Germany is also fools gold given their injury list.  They are legitimately going to find it hard to score with Wirtz, Fulkrug, and Havertz all absent.  Plus starting GK Neuer won't be playing and Italy has pretty much owned the Nations League so getting a PK is pretty solid. 

Adding one more now...very rare but I truly love this play:

AUBURN TT OVER 90.5...BIG PLAY!!!:  I have this team getting to 100 today and winning in a blowout.  I realize the Tigers might make some late game changes to preserve energy but their bench is also super capable of putting up points.  I also think they get to something around 60 in the FH as they have gone over 90.5 in 4 out of the past 10 games they have played and that's all been SEC competition.

I looked at the Wisconsin TT and that was in the 80s which is a bit hard for me to stomach.  Already I'm not super used to playing TT but even with a high spread this one seems to have value and a really great chance to cash.

Good luck to everyone, tip off in a couple minutes 

Good luck I really like the Cardinals today.  Think this is a magical season for them that continues.  I'm almost bought in on BYU, they can't play as bad as they did vs. Houston.

Thanks gents!  Gonna try to hit the gym and then the day gets busy so I'll probably be posting the few other games by noon.

I also LOVE France in the Nations League game they play vs. Croatia.  They just have the Croats number.  And I'm also pretty high on Spain scoring in the Netherlands so I'd grab that over as well if anyone has interest.

Regardless, let's get these first couple under our belts!

Good luck. I’m opposite you on Creighton. Otherwise hope you sweep 

you’re actually mistaken. Trends in the NCAA Tournament are something to consider unless there was a coaching change. Because it’s all about preparation not just talent level. I agree Wisconsin wins but they could get to the end and play reserves to save energy being at a high altitude. That’s what kept me away 

Looking forward to a really solid tournament, the conference tournament didn't yield great results for me and then I was traveling for work so didn't have the adequate time to post games or really play many myself.  There are a PLETHORA of games as we see every year in the first two rounds and I'm convinced the only way successfully forward is to limit how many plays you make.  There are also many handicappers on here and a handful of which have been better in college bb than I this year, though I had a pretty solid season overall.

Point is, do your own research and enjoy the tournament.  With that said, comically, I am on the first couple early games but for good reason:

OVER 154 (PURDUE/HIGH POINT):  If this were not the super early game it would be a big play but I don't think either team will find motivation to be an issue.  If there is one that does, it will be Purdue, they have been downright awful on neutral courts going 1-5 ATS so I think the overall spread is fools gold.  At the same time, High Point has won a whopping 14 games in a row and we know how that works in previous NCAAB tournaments when red hot teams come to play.  BUT Purdue loves to push the pace and the Panthers dont' have a problem doing that either.  Their Totals were set super high b/c they CAN score and they WILL score so 154 seems pretty fair to me.  If Purdue is to win the game they will need to outscore High Point and probably get close to the 80's.  High Point has not been used to losing of late to they will fight until the end.  Personally I see a close game and I dont' even think you will need FT's at the end to get over the total.

LOUISVILLE (-3):  Louisville is the better team, dont' kid yourselves.  Creighton has been an NCAA tournament fixture and has done quite well when getting the invitation, but Louisville is back and I don't believe their season ends today.  The Blue Jays are a paltry 1-4-1 ATS and they haven't played great in day games this year.  I know this might appear as a toss up but I think Louisville can win this game by at least 5 points.  In what should be a close game, Louisville shoots FT's far better than Creighton, which even surprised myself, but was part of the impetus for making this a play.

Since the games start early, I am going to get these first two posted then revisit with a couple more games.  I hope everyone has had a great week so far and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

YTD (NBA):  164-115-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 47-28 ATS)

Been off for a bit, had a lot of things going on, and one thing going wrong which were my NCAAB plays.  I intend on turning that around but tonight I am revisiting NBA b/c finally some tasty matchups!

I probably like more than I should be playing but I'm playing the following regardless:

HOUSTON (-2.5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Houston is red hot and Orlando have been flipping back between wins and losses.  Their last game saw them victors in their biggest upset of Cleveland but I don't think that carries over into tonight.  The Rockets are healthy and really firing on all cylinders.  They are also 19-14 ATS away from home so I don't have a problem backing them in this spot.

OVER 227 (NYK/SAS):  This is just too low in my opinion given the type of scoring the NBA sees on a nightly level.  The Spurs have somehow kept their heads above water and they're scoring the same.  The NYK are big favorites here and I think that's due to their ability to score against weak defenses like the Spurs.  Plus the OVER has come in on 7 out of the past 10 games played. 

OVER 230 (CLE/SAC)...BIG PLAY!!!:  With almost all the top players on the court for this one (Zach Lavine is out), I do not mind riding 235 for an OVER.  The Cavaliers can flat out light up the scoreboard and are 22-11 to the OVER in road games this year!  The Kinds on the other hand are also a very nice 19-12-1 to the OVER in home games.  This one will be super fast and high scoring.

Those are the three for tonight.  I think Denver will beat the Lakers but LA plays such good defense at home I expect the game to be won in the 4th quarter.  For now I'll just watch it and some of the other NBA action tonight.  At least I'll have some solid interest.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Hit Maryland again and grab more cash.  Even though they are #11 they are underrated as I'm guessing people will load up on the Michigan frauds