LAGameofInches

UPDATED YTD (CBB):  104-83-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 26-21 ATS)

This is and should be what the correct record is.  Will move on from this, adding plays:

TULSA (+5.5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Entirely too many points to be giving Tulsa, and they have gone both 9-1 ATS and 9-1 SU against Rice over the past 10.  They've also been decent ATS on the road this year.  I expect a really solid win here.

GEORGIA TECH (-1.5) & OVER 140.5 (GTECH/BC)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Boxing this game, strong trends for Georgia Tech as they are 6-1 ATS over the past 7 games played between these two and are 5-1 SU in the past 6 played in Boston.  The game has gone over in 8 out of the past 10 played and the past 3 on BC's home court.  Should be a winning day for GTech even on the road as they typically handle BC and both teams are more or less on par.  Both are BIG PLAYS to avoid any confusion.

OVER 151 (BUFFALO/BALL STATE):  Buffalo been very strong getting OVER the number on the road this year and the same can be said for Ball State.  I have my numbers showing this should be closer to 160 and while the past 10 played between these two have seen 5 over and 5 under, I think this game gets over the number.

Hopefully Texas A&M can do as stated and be a 2nd half team, would be great to start off with a W.  Some of the other games also needing a half to get over the hump.  I'll be back a bit later too.  Hope everyone is having a profitable day.

You really chose some of the tougher matchups though after all it is CBB so they are all tough.  I do like Alabama and Illinois myself.  Good luck on all of them 

I like that TCU over was thinking of playing it myself strong trends pointing to the game going over but then again both of those teams haven't lit up the scoreboard this year, even worst in this situation.  Might actually play it at half but if not I do hope it cashes b/c I like the play and it fell just short of what I'm personally backing 

Thanks guys.  

I will go back and check record, I see one additional unit for a W that shouldn't be there but don't see the additional losses.  I'll change it with so many games I'm not immune to a mistake.  But I don't see the losses.  Will adjust record to reflect 105 wins.  Regardless, still been a great session I really barfed up losses on Wednesday night.

Will be back shortly with more, so much going on right now hope everyone has a profitable Saturday.

best of luck to you.  NRFI around the corner...

YTD (CBB):  106-81-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 26-21 ATS)

Another winning night yesterday though dropped the big play so I ended up flush.  But barring the Wednesday night falter it's been an incredible run of winning nights and these past couple of Saturdays have been extremely strong on my end.  There are so many games today that I just can't go through all of them so will find the spots and post ongoing in this thread, in case anyone is interested.  

Still irritated at how close some of these losses have been including last night with Manhattan coming back and then turning over twice at the end of the game to lose by 5 and lose the cover.  But that's why I sleep, to wake up to a new day.

Here is what I am on so far...

TEXAS A&M ML (-130):  I realize there is another top handicapper on this exact play and, to be honest, I really wanted to play this since last night when I didn't, and the line flipped.  But, no worries, because TA&M is MUCH better playing as a favorite especially at home and Tennessee has been very mediocre as a dog.  Public definitely on A&M as they were last week on OSU vs. Michigan but I think this game plays out quite differently.  Should be close because both teams are very good and A&M has been sublime in the 2nd half at home, so bear that in mind.  Would have been a big play had they been still catching points on the home court but for now will keep it as a regular play.

OVER 154 (FSU/LOUISVILLE)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Ok, here we go!  9 out of the last 10 played between these two have gone over the number and while it's high, I just can't turn a blind eye to that.  I do sometimes cringe at early day OVERS but there is too much value when you look at the trends including 5 of the past 6 played IN Louisville going over the number.  FSU will come to play in my opinion, I do NOT see a blowout, and so FT's late might also provide us with additional points if needed.  Playing this big.

COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON (-1):  This also just missed being a big play, but CofC is 7-3 ATS and 8-2 SU in the last 10 played in these matchups.  They are clearly the better team today so the only question is will they show up for an early Saturday game.  Drexel hasn't been playing well of late so I challenge them to beat the superior team even on their home court, where they are a mediocre 5-5 while CofC is an impressive 7-4 away from home.  With a super short line, I'm backing this one too with confidence.

UNDER 134 (RICHMOND/ST JOSEPHS):  Not only have 8 of the past 10 in this matchup gone under the total, but neither of these teams has been scoring much in these situation of late, as Richmond is just really not good this year.  I'm playing this trend as it's super strong and the teams on the court are not.

Going to start with these 4 games, took a look at all the others and just can't find the analytics to back many of them.  There are strong trends for both Mississippi State and the OVER in TCU/Cincinnati but I just want to be a bit selective with these just being the first handful of games.  As always, do your own research and, tail or fade, good luck to all...

LOVE Manhattan just posted it.  Good luck bro.

YTD (NBA):  143-96-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 39-21 ATS)

I live by the sword and die by the sword.  The two big plays lost last night and so I had an upside down evening and am still trying to get my head above water after a rough week.  First one in over a month but still, trying not to over reach.  Tonight will be a big bounce back though some injury concerns and some teams still sleep walking after the ASB.  I might lay off some of those squads but here is what I am playing for tonight:

OVER 225 (MEMPHIS/ORLANDO)...BIG PLAY!!!:  I don't usually run it back but in this case I am.  These teams tend to score quite a bit when they play and Memphis is going to be playing like Memphis does.  I don't expect them to also go to sleep in the 2nd half tonight as they did last night.  Both teams already have a game under their belt and the Grizzlies are going to fight until the bitter end.  The total is low for a team that has destroyed OVERS this year and, on the road, they are 21-7 to the OVER, so I just can't not say show me you can't get OVER on two straight nights.

SAN ANTONIO (+4)...BIG PLAY!!!:  That's right, fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.  I wont' be fooled tonight, the Spurs are every bit motivated to show that they are not all about Wemby.  His presence will be missed but the Pistons are not very good when going to SA, going 3-9 ATS and 0-6 ATS over those past affairs.  I think the Spurs will take this one outright but I like getting the 4 points even if the Pistons will have more talent on the floor tonight.

DALLAS (-5.5):  Again, a motivated team with something to prove.  While on the other hand, the Pelicans have nothing in the tank, really actually tanking for a top pick.  The 5.5 points is nothing given how inept I think the Pelicans are especially now that Javontae Green has also darted.  Not that he's a big difference maker, but for a team that lacks depth and size, he is a big reason I feel the Mavs cover this on the FT's late in what should be a high scoring game.

GOLDEN STATE (-2)...BIG PLAY!!!:  I'm all in on the new Warriors, even Curry looks more determined and Draymond is healthy.  With Butler also on the floor and a trend where they are 5-1 ATS in the past 6 played in Sacramento, I think this line is a gift being it's just a basket.  I do think both teams will score plenty so don't expect the Kings to roll over, but I just don't think they will get it done at the end of the night.

That will be all for tonight.  Three solid big plays and not because I am chasing units.  I just feel as though I will have a strong showing otherwise will be resetting at the turn of next week.  But I don't' see that taking place and, with that, tail or fade, good luck to all..

YTD (CBB):  104-79-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 26-20 ATS)

Really solid night yesterday as the one rough night seems more like an aberration than the norm, though to be honest, I'm just trying to claw back this week.  Lots of games on a Friday and I've done well over the weekends so hoping to share more winning plays with everyone.  I knew Maryland would SMASH USC and even had that as a big play but pulled back b/c of Wednesdays' debacle.  Frustrating but wins are wins after all.  Here is what I'm on for tonight:

MANHATTAN (+3.5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  First things first, wrong team favored here.  Manhattan might very well this outright but Iona seems to have their number on their home court.  What is more interesting is that the Jaspers are 9-1 ATS in the past 10 these two are playing and are a respectable 9-3 ATS away from home this year.  They have made me money and tonight will be no different.

FAIRFIELD (+4):  Both teams stink but Fairfield are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Rider.  So, I'm playing it.

MICHIGAN STATE (+3):  I get that a lot of people are on the Wolverines but I am not one of them.  MSU has gone 6-4 ATS in the last 10 played and are 4-2-1 ATS away from the Breslin Center.  Furthermore, the Spartans are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 played.  Michigan on the other hand are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 played and just 6-6 ATS at home.  I get this is a big rivalry, but one team has a HOF coach and will want to get a victory before having to head to MD to take on the Terps next week, who will most likely not only test them, but beat them. 

I'm going to stick with those three plays and try to clean up some of the mess I have made.  Should be a really solid night, only one big play.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

LOVE Phoenix, that post on Kuzma made me laugh.  Opposite you on that one I must admit I'm a Clippers fan but I'm not even certain Stormin' Norman is playing and he's been their most consistent scorer.  Kuwahi is getting there, but not to the level we're used to seeing him at...yet.

@Yessss88

 And back at you

CRAZY!  Something was completely amiss.  For both of us unfortunately.

Not going to beat a dead horse into the ground but I went out last night (usually don't) and was shocked to see the plight of the plays when I came home.  Like what happened to Vanderbilt 2nd half?!  Or Fordham?!  Or the Lakers who just took off and went to sleep the 2nd half vs lowly Charlotte?!?  But all of them and plus some...one night?  Maybe a full moon ;).

I'll turn it around tonight my friend, otherwise will take a couple days off to let any smokescreen clear 

YTD (CBB):  99-77-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 25-19 ATS)

Almost comical, but not really funny, I went 2-7-1 ATS last night.  Still puzzled I'm not sure if I did something wrong during the day or what, but even the Lakers collapsed in the 2nd half.  That's literally 4 teams I was backing (including LAL) not showing up for the second frame.  Just super apologetic to anyone who tailed, I realize everyone loses, but that was despicable.  I'm now down quite a bit on the week and am looking towards a strong bounce back.

I'm going to limit the plays tonight, just can't afford to take much more of a big hit this week.  I also lost in soccer which I usually am super solid in so just was a really bad day of handicapping and wagering.  Tonight I am on these bounce back games:

OVER 143 (NORTHWESTERN/OHIO STATE)...BIG PLAY!!!:  I have made a habit of backing NW on the road this year to go over the number as they are 8-0 to the OVER in away games, while OSU is 8-7 to the OVER on their home court.  

COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON (-1)...BIG PLAY!!!:  They are 6-0 SU against Northeastern and 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 games against them.  Add to that the Cougars are 15-5 SU in the last 20 and the better team, and dropping a point seems like a super solid spot.

OVER 147 (IDAHO/NAU)

OVER 155 (USC/MARYLAND):  First meeting between the two teams.  The big thing is MD is HUGE underneath and USC is NOT.  On top of that, the Trojans don't defend the 3 point line well and MD has been very good from behind the arc.  Add to that the Terps are averaging over 80 points a game and go against a USC team that is averaging over 75 themselves.  The Terps will get many second chances underneath and the pace will be to their liking.  The Trojans are also 5-0-1 to the OVER in road games while Maryland is 10-6 going over in home games.  

That is all I have.  I will be back on tonight and again apologies about last nights debacle.  Tonight should be a different story, despite the fact 3 out of the 4 plays are on totals and 2 of them on OVERS in Big10 games.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Solid, good luck tonight 

Thanks brother, feeling a big night with Big Mac!

YTD (NBA):  141-92-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 39-19 ATS)

Not going to get into it.  Really not happy about the Lakers last night and even worse a funnel of losses in CBB.  Really not sure what happened but I was sent in a dizzying spiral downwards on a night where I really felt the games would do much better.  Sorry for anyone that lost with me, I'm redeeming myself with these:

OVER 250 (MEMPHIS/INDIANA)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Maybe Memphis pulls a Lakers like last night and comes out flat?  But, if not, this game will definitely get over the total.  I know, it's absurd, and it is.  But the trends are all pointing to this game going over including 5 out of the last 7 and 4 out of the last 5 played between these two in Indiana going OVER.  Moreover, Indiana has gone OVER in 8 of their last 10 games and 25 out of the last 35 at home.  Finally, Memphis is not only #1 in pace of play in the NBA, but also gone over in 18 of the last 22 road games.  They can't come out firing blanks but both these teams go to the hole quite a bit so that would be less of a concern than in other matchups.

OVER 225.5 (BOSTON/PHI):  8 of Philly's last 11 games have gone over and I expect this game to have plenty of points as well.  Embiid is back meaning more points but also more interior defense.  I don't think that's really the key to slowing down Boston so I find this game will get over the hump.

MILWAUKEE (+3):  I'm guessing this line appears this way b/c no clarity on if Giannis or Dame are playing.  Also not clear on whether Norman Powell will be playing.  The Bucks are an impressive 5-1 SU in the last 6 vs. the Clips.  So getting 3 seems like a solid spot to be backing them on their home court.

PHOENIX (-2.5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Wemby out, Phoenix 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 played in SA.  They will get this win and the line is short enough to warrant a big play

Sticking with these 4 and going to try and rebound (pun intended).  Again, apologies about last night play but it was the right side, I'd take it again.  as always, tail or fade, good luck to all.  

Why?  I lost a game.  I lost money myself.  Lakers did NOTHING in the 2nd half.  A friend of mine working for the team said LeBron "ass sore" trade was made without his knowledge.  Regardless, will bounce back tonight.  As I say, tail or fade, good luck to all.  Clearly wasnt' expecting the Lakers to not come out in one of the halves of basketball.  If it makes you feel any better, I got fully smoked.  But I'll bounce back regardless.

Good luck brother.  We are going head to head on Vandy/KU 

Good luck.  We are on completely different games tonight, a rarity it seems lol.  So clearly hoping you win the rest of the plays posted.

From your mouth to God's ears....