LAGameofInches

Get 'em.  I like the Norse, 8-2 over their past 10 and grabbing points on a neutral court in a game they can win 

Iowa might really win this game outright.  Just how college basketball goes.  Michigan State has wrapped up the Big Ten and Iowa MUST win to stay alive to even play in the Big10 Tournament.  The only reason I didn't play it was because of how sublime MSU has been on the road.  But definitely a spot for a Hawkeyes outright winner is how I see it, pun intended 

I'll check that out.  But I'm cursed on UNDERS it seems.  Trying one more on the Knicks/Lakers in NBA but if that too goes over with all the trends pointing to the UNDER and a decent defensive squad in the Lakers, you will not see me post one more UNDER lol.  Though I do remember the first few rounds of the tournament having plenty of UNDERS.  Thanks for stopping by and sharing that with us 

YTD (NBA):  159-111-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 45-26 ATS)

Been a week of splitting everywhere I'm posting.  I guess I'm not losing but I'm also not winning.  Again going to keep it tight with only two plays tonight:

NEW ORLEANS (+5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  The Rockets are just NOT playing good ball right now and I think their early success has gotten to their heads.  Conversely, the Pelicans haven't been awful of late winning 4 of the 6 played.  They are also pretty solid at home, just really awful on the road.  But they are at home tonight and are 6-2 ATS against the Rockets on their home floor.

UNDER 231 (NYK/LAL)...BIG PLAY!!!:  This would be a smash play.  Too much attention and too many believe this will just be an up and down game.  The Lakers haven't faced a team as good as the Knicks since the Doncic trade (the Clippers come close) and when they played the Nuggets that game stayed under with the same type of keen attentions.  I really dont' even think this gets to 220 but I've been wrong before.  Just don't think I am tonight.

That will be all for tonight, let's get some W's and cash and roll into the weekend.  Hope everyone is having a strong day.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

YTD (CBB):  147-117-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 41-32 ATS)

Well...three straight days of flatness.  One thing is for sure, if you didn't think Michigan was overrated before, you must now.  Or is Maryland much better than their ranking indicates?  Either way, you can't get an over when one team just doesn't show up for a half.  I was NOT expecting that after the drubbing at home over the weekend.  Regardless, had plenty of other games to make up for it and just split the night.  On to Thursday...

OVER 140 (CANISIUS/RIDER)...BIG PLAY!!!:  6 out of the last 8 AT Rider have gone over and Canisius is an impressive 10-5 ATS on the road this year

UAB (-6):  Solid matchup, both teams need this game, but UAB is 6-3-1 ATS over the last 10 and shoot FT's well at 76% should it come down to that

ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK (-5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  I know this is a conference tournament but about a month ago AKLR beat Tennessee Martin by 18.  They also have a strong hold in the series covering 65% of the time.  I know this is on a neutral court but I think the talent discrepancy is too big for UTM to overcome.

NEW MEXICO STATE (+5)

WICHITA STATE (-1)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Three times these teams have squared off and 3 times WSU has won and covered.  They are the better team again this time around, have a super short line, and gone 6-4 ATS away from home this year.  I'd be surprised if they didn't come out of this matchup with the W and based on how they have been playing, I am making this a big play.

I am going to stick with these plays and hope we can fire off winners tonight.  Loads of mid major tournaments but you know how those go...upsets in the making.  I think there will be a lot of games that are rather low scoring but I can't find them for plays for the life of me.  I seem to go UNDER in the games that just don't want to create a ticket to cash.  So I'm going to stick with what has been working.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all.

im EATING my words…great call! 

personal opinion bc I looked closely at this game…ZERO SHOT they WIN. They have been covering well on the road but have a horrible overall record over the past 20 road games. Cincy is no Auburn, I get it, but just tough to back a team that consistently loses on the road though they do cover nicely when away from home 

BC won’t win either don’t worry @PickASide

Thanks. I was under water first few months negative record so where I am now is more a testament to recent good times. But i realize im  always judged by my latest successes or failures 

YTD (NBA):  158-110-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 45-26 ATS)

I am really struggling to find any obvious unders in the current NBA as that has really killed me over the season.  Only two plays tonight as last night was a wash b/c of those totals.  And surprise, both happen to be on the totals:

OVER 224.5 (PORTLAND/BOSTON)

OVER 221 (MIAMI/CLEVELAND)

I could have made both big plays but I'd rather just keep them where they are and go 2-0 regardless.  Hoping everyone is having a strong week.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Here are the rest of what I'm adding:

OVER 137 (CLEMSON/BC):  7 out of the last 10 in these matchups have gone over.  I actually really like Clemson but with a spread over 15 in a road affair I don't care if they are 8-3 ATS away that's a ton to be laying.  I was hoping for closer to 10 but the total came in under 140 and I like where that's at so long as BC can get over 60 which would mean if they come close to their average of 70 we will be good.  Clemson gives up an average of about 66 so that should suffice.

ST. BONAVENTURE (-8)...BIG PLAY!!!:  The Bonnies are 9-1 both SU and ATS in the past 10 played vs. Umass.  They are also 8-5 ATS at home (though one can argue Mass is 7-3 ATS away).  I just like St. Bonaventure too much in this spot to not add a unit to this play as they are the better team and playing on their home court where they are 11-3 this season so I don't see them losing on their home court.  Their defense is ranked a respectable 23rd in the country while that of UMASS comes in at 262, so as long as St Bonaventure doesn't shit the bed shooting, they will cover this game.  Not to mention UMASS ranked 341st in FT % so nothing will come easy for them tonight.

OVER 160 (MISSOURI/OKLAHOMA)...BIG PLAY!!!:  HIGH number BUT both teams are 17-12 ATS to the OVER and, in these situations, the Tigers are 7-2 OVER on the road and Oklahoma are an even better 11-5 OVER at home.  Play with confidence.

UNDER 140 (TENNESSEE/OLE MISS):  8-2 to the UNDER in the last 10 played between these two.  This year...Tennessee 3-7 to the UNDER in away games and Ole Miss 6-9 to the UNDER in Oxford.  Just hate making under big plays but this will be cashing.

OVER 149.5 (WASHINGTON/USC)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Trying this again as USC crushed me on the weekend while not scoring at Oregon.  Their scoring is higher on their home court and the situational plays also point to this game going over as USC is a sublime 12-6 OVER on their home court.  They will want to run and score as this is one of the better chances they will have to win a game left on the season.

I tried so hard to be undisciplined and add 3 other plays but I just couldn't do it.  UCONN plays Marquette quite well and Wisconsin should beat Minnesota but neither of those situations screamed out play.  I have 6 games tonight which is really not cutting the down too much but with the big plays focused on some great situational play, I am on those.  

Apologies about all the totals but some of these teams are just in really good spots for a less risky play vs. some of the teams more desperate to get W's.  I doubt I'll add anything so let's rock and roll as games are only an hour from tip.  And I saw the Michigan/MD line already jumped so kudos to anyone who got those lower numbers.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Yeah the bummer for playing these games early sometimes.  Nothing worse than NBA though when they sit out closer to tip and I've already wagered not expecting it.  I've bought out a few times and of course what do you think happens lol...

I'll be posting some more plays shortly, just got back and have a small window to do so 

Thanks.  UCONN looks ripe as well not sure what everyone thinks of them tonight.  Solid spot as they tend to take down Marquette annually 

I just posted that as a HUGE play myself.  Good luck 

YTD (CBB):  142-112-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 39-30 ATS)

SMH...if that Syracuse/SMU game goes to OT as it should have then we go from 7-6 to 9-4 yesterday given it was a BIG PLAY!  Really not the way the night was scripted, 9-4 would have been much more in line with what I was expecting.  Just too many fringe plays that didn't work out including backing South Carolina who just aren't good.  They had every opportunity to close the game and even win on their home court but you could see the lack of quality in their squad as the game started to come down to the wire.

I have one really big play I'm posting now, early, to get it out.  I will definitely have a few more plays but I'm honestly going to try and limit how many plays I am taking b/c it's the amount of them that is getting me, not the BIG PLAYS.  But, going to come out of the gate hot here...

OVER 154 (MARYLAND/MICHIGAN)...HUGE PLAY!!!:  I am putting a good amount of units on this myself.  I'm not suggesting anyone else does unless you get behind the analytics and are confident as I am.  Michigan has OWNED Maryland over the past handful of years, even creating a poor man's rivalry as tempers have flared and even the coaches have gone against one another.  But that was when MD had Mark Turgeon and the Wolverines had Juwan Howard.  Both coaches have moved on, as have the programs and I think they are better for it.  I TRULY believe that the Terrapins will have that on their minds as entering the Big10 they have no rivals.  And, as we know, the Wolverines hardly consider Maryland a rival with Michigan State and Ohio State annual foes.  But, the Wolverines are in MUST win here after dropping the game to Michigan State this weekend and I have had very good fortune playing them in games.  It is hard to go against Maryland even though they are a paltry 3-7 ATS vs Michigan and 0-5 SU in Ann Arbor.  But this is a different MD team and they have the size to compete with Michigan.  But they also have the speed and like to play fast on the road, where they have gone 6-3 to the OVER.  Michigan has gone over in 9 out of 15 home games and when these teams square off the OVER has come in on 6 out of 9 games played.  The total is high, but this years version of the BIG10 doesnt' mind that.  My only hiccup is it's an early game but I still see plenty of points in this game, and the potential for a close game with FT's late.

I'm going to handicap other games but this jumped right out and thought I'd post it.  Another busy day but hoping everyone is having a strong week.  Still irritated at the end of that SMU game last night as I actually watched it happen, but we move forward.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

YTD (NBA):  155-107-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 44-25 ATS)

Not a lot of time and want to get these out asap.  Be forewarned some of these plays are ugly:

UNDER 206 (TOR/ORL)...BIG PLAY!!!:  the ugliest of all perhaps, but I feel like we were just in this spot a few days ago.  Personally, I don't see it, not enough scoring. The trends also strongly point that way.  Anything can happen but this is a clear UNDER.

GOLDEN STATE (+1.5):. When the KAT is away, Golden State is the play :)!  Plus they have an incredible record vs. the Knicks.  Pretty much a toss up but in the end the Warriors are going to come to play.

UNDER 222 (PHILADELPHIA/MINNESOTA):  Another ugly special but another game which is a clear under.  Not enough points on the floor, and somehow I feel like Philly might put up a fight.  But 222 is a lot of points given who won't be playing tonight for both teams.  Just saying..

LA LAKERS (-8.5)...BIG PLAY!!!. I believe Luca is getting accustomed to live in Los Angeles and probably enjoying it very much.  Great place when you have a lot of money and celebrity.  But he's also playing very good ball of late, and the trends point to the Lakers rolling on their home court.  Oh, and I think it's Doncic's bday

Might have one more, want to get these posted before tip offs.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

good luck 

Correct, another human made mistake.  I can't correct it but I'm playing it at -2.5 that's what I have on my end as well.  Apologies!

YTD (CBB):  135-106-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 37-28 ATS)

Solid night yesterday.  Have a bunch of things that are coming up this afternoon so thought I'd post early before getting busy.  Hoping everyone is having a strong day it's a big card and more than a handful of games I'm looking to take advantage of:

SOUTH CAROLINA (PK)...BIG PLAY!!!:  South Carolina are 7-1 against Georgia at home over the past 8 games.  I am not a big fan of the way Georgia has been playing of late, and the Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against them.  Moreover, SC is 11-6 ATS at home while Georgia are 3-6 ATS away. 

OVER 147 (CENTRAL MICHIGAN/BALL STATE):  CMU have gone over in 8 out of the past 11 played on Ball State's home court and the Cardinals have gone over in 6 out of the past 8 home games they have played.  CMU also tends to go OVER when playing on the road this season.

OVER 152 (RUTGERS/PURDUE)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Another Big 10 game that should go over the total.  In fact, 6 out of the last 7 games played in Purdue between these two have gone over and the last 5 played on Purdue's home court have gone over.  Rutgers had a spell of injuries that are behind them and they are scoring much more fluidly now.

OVER 149 (UNC/VTECH):  I promise I'm not falling in love with overs but this too has many trends leading me to make it a play.  For one, 6 out of the last 9 H2H's have gone over and 7 out of Vtech's last 10 have also gone over the number

CREIGHTON (-10)...BIG PLAY!!!:  They will smash Seton Hall.  They also own them in the series.  The spread is a bit high but the Bluejays are a very impressive 6-2-1 ATS away from home this year and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 of this series.

TULSA (+2.5):  Temple are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Tulsa and 0-6 in their last 6 road games.

TEXAS A&M (+5)...HUGE PLAY!!!:  Auburn will be playing for pride as they have locked everything in already.  They are the best team but are not very good at all when traveling to Texas A&M, which is a very tough place to play.  The Tigers are a dismal 5-14 SU when playing in College Station.  I just think it's a bit too many points for as good as Auburn is.

OVER 153.5 (SYRACUSE/SMU)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Last one, I promise.  But too much value here regardless of how bad Syracuse are especially on the road.  The over has come in 6 of Syracuse's last 8 games on the road and 11 of SMU's past 16 at home.

That's a ton of games and BIG PLAYS but I am on all of these.  A sweep would be quite nice ;).  I do have some other plays but they tip off much later so might get back on and add them, time permitting.  With that said, do your own research and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

good luck brother.  I unfortunately tailed your FH play yesterday so prob the reason you lost by a whisker b/c I've made a habit of losing that way all season lol 

Ummm...I try to get the records correct posting in multiple sports and I am human and make mistakes.  Which is why I revisit the posts a day after and update the record to make it easier for the next day.

Post games and a record and then come chitter chatter.  At least I am posting a record and explanations on games, you're getting caught up in anything you can say or do to minimize the time and work I (or others) put in.  Don't you also troll that Levantis guy?

I appreciate your correcting the record I do go back and change it so again, if I were just cheating, this would be common practice and I'd ignore your corrections.  Give some credit to people and take what you want from posts and leave the rest behind, no sense in being "that guy"...