LedZe

I honestly expected Indiana to be bigger favorites. They are a bad matchup for Lakers. They play fast and shoot the 3 well. Lakers can't contain teams like these. It might be a blowout but hey it's the nba so.. 

You will get a better line if you wait a few more hours until Lebron is cleared to play

irrelevant stat. They are much weaker this year. 

If you want to lose your money 

OKC will struggle in the playoffs. Their defense will still be good but those 3s by role players won't go in and SGA won't get free throws for slight touch fouls. Fans are already pissed at his whistle. I think the league and refs are noticing. 

Cavs have way bigger chances than OKC because they have 2 elite bigs, 2 elite guards and they are surrounded by elite snipers. 

Another OKC blowout

Books are not giving Jokic 9 points unless he's not playing

Umm... that's a lot of points to give Jokic 

Looks like OKC win in a blowout

What do you mean?? The narrative was that Chiefs would three-peat, Mahomes chasing Brady, etc and people didn't expect the eagles to beat them.

But odds actually told you that Eagles would indeed beat them. Same here. 

The secret to anticipated national tv games is to always bet on the opposite of the obvious outcome and the narratives. 

The obvious is that the dominant Lakers are riding high and everyone expects them to beat the Knicks who just can't beat good teams at all, that's the storyline on them. And the line being only -3.5 is begging you to fall for the trap and take the Lakers. We've seen this a million times before. 

Knicks +136 to finally beat a good team on TNT. 

Absolutely. They can big bro anyone in the west.

but they have no chance in the actual finals. Celtics and even Cavs are a nightmare matchup for them with their 5 out offense.  

It will go back to -4.5 when Edwards is declared to play (he's definitely playing btw)

The narrative is that Lakers will blow the Mavs out and Luka will drop at least 40 as revenge on TNT. Cute story but in these situations you always bet the opposite.

Don't let the last Mavs game fool you. Even undermanned they can play and they are a bad matchup for the Lakers because they play fast. 

Mavs ML is tempting but I'll take the easy +9 and Luka under 30. 

I like it.

I avoid player props but Luka under 28 is very interesting too. Major public bet on his over while he will be on a minute restriction, emotions flying high, no chemistry, etc.. 

Congrats to AD who managed to last 2 quarters in a Mavs uniform without getting injured

It's almost like watching a movie when it comes to these national TV games. Especially on ESPN/ABC.

Of course Knicks decide to play 0 defense today. 

Nba regular season is basically a glorified pre-season. The better teams will still make the playoffs or at least the play in. Nobody really cares about getting "home court" for the playoffs. The better team will win the series regardless so it's a non factor. 

So it's just way too many games for no purpose all. That's why you're seeing little effort and everyone being bipolar. Losses and wins don't matter. 

I saw the games yesterday and made sure to stay the hell away from them. Would've been like flipping a coin. Gotta pick the spots that you are confident in. 

that makes it even scarier

What are the chances that two huge public bets hit?? It's usually 1 or the other

Scary that the Cowboys are such a public bet. 

Just Celtics being a big public bet