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The narrative is that Lakers will blow the Mavs out and Luka will drop at least 40 as revenge on TNT. Cute story but in these situations you always bet the opposite. Don't let the last Mavs game fool you. Even undermanned they can play and they are a bad matchup for the Lakers because they play fast. Mavs ML is tempting but I'll take the easy +9 and Luka under 30. |
LedZe | 10 |
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I like it. I avoid player props but Luka under 28 is very interesting too. Major public bet on his over while he will be on a minute restriction, emotions flying high, no chemistry, etc.. |
smellybunty | 11 |
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Congrats to AD who managed to last 2 quarters in a Mavs uniform without getting injured |
rosswin97 | 5 |
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It's almost like watching a movie when it comes to these national TV games. Especially on ESPN/ABC. Of course Knicks decide to play 0 defense today. |
Puerta2Puerta | 14 |
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Nba regular season is basically a glorified pre-season. The better teams will still make the playoffs or at least the play in. Nobody really cares about getting "home court" for the playoffs. The better team will win the series regardless so it's a non factor. So it's just way too many games for no purpose all. That's why you're seeing little effort and everyone being bipolar. Losses and wins don't matter. |
Riggs-MLB-Picks | 28 |
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I saw the games yesterday and made sure to stay the hell away from them. Would've been like flipping a coin. Gotta pick the spots that you are confident in. |
LordS | 45 |
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Quote Originally Posted by roberob2u:
@LedZe So was Detroit
that makes it even scarier
What are the chances that two huge public bets hit?? It's usually 1 or the other |
charlielo55 | 25 |
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Scary that the Cowboys are such a public bet. |
charlielo55 | 25 |
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Just Celtics being a big public bet |
kcchief1970 | 3 |
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Quote Originally Posted by NONEED4LUCK:
Quote Originally Posted by LedZe: People saying that was a clear PI are missing the point. Refs can throw a flag on pretty much every single possession. It depends if they feel like it. Doing it on the most important play of the game is lame. Gotta let them play there. Dude, they literally threw a flag on the play prior to being back a converted 4th down. You sound like a sore loser.
I don't know because I didn't watch the game or had a bet on it. Just saying that in the NFL there is grabbing and holding on literally every single possession. So it's very easy for refs to control games. |
ABEFORUS4444 | 49 |
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People saying that was a clear PI are missing the point. Refs can throw a flag on pretty much every single possession. It depends if they feel like it. Doing it on the most important play of the game is lame. Gotta let them play there. |
ABEFORUS4444 | 49 |
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Public has been riding with Dallas since game 1. The fact that game 4 ended the way it did makes them even more excited about Dallas.
Celtics will definitely finish it today |
Interstellar | 8 |
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Why not donate to charity instead? |
joshfactor | 19 |
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Public has been getting KILLED by Dallas. 3 games in a row... Will the public remain stubborn and donate their money to Vegas again for game 4? |
LedZe | 16 |
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Doesn't matter what the league wants when it's such a mismatch on the court. You look at the box score and might think that these games have been close but they haven't. Celtics distance themselves anytime they want. |
yvesxiaoyu | 9 |
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That's a reach. He's 25 and already carrying a bunch of deadweight to the the finals. He'll eventually get one. Only problem this year is that he's facing a generational team. No one wants to give credit to the Celtics but they UNFAIR. |
RXistrash | 9 |
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Trap for who? Everyone and their uncle's dog is on Mavs |
fts1409 | 9 |
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Line is accurate because everyone is still betting on the Mavs. They just don't think a team with Luka and Kyrie can get swept. That's the general consensus. |
joshfactor | 7 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Pho-20:
@LedZe Public was all over Boston and everry tout and their momma too.
Only sharps were on Boston The vast majority of the public, the whole media including media personalities, celebrities, athletes, etc were all on Dallas +6.5. Prior to Game 1 Sportsbooks were literally on social media for a week campaigning that Dallas is the play. During big events like this they don't care about sharps. Most of the money comes from squares. |
Jimmy_Cats | 21 |
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The public has been stubborn and emotional about Dallas. They were on Dallas +6.5 for both the first games too. But this game is an absolute skip. If Mavs don't get swept this is the game they'll win but you also can't trust it because it's an absolute mismatch on the court. |
Jimmy_Cats | 21 |
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