LuckyLucian0

Followed on Donelson 
And the under..
Could have been a really nice day for you 

Luckily I played NIU live. So won one and lost one but could be two losses. 

Been around long time and its time I give some winners. 

0-0

Jazz under 121,5

Heat over 213

Suns over 227

Good luck! 

@Netronom

 Do not follow this guys picks. I took a printscreen and followed his picks. He went 0-7 I dont even joke. 

Its not fixed like a huge secret group or something. Maybe some players or refs have been paid but that would be a few people and not a secret fix group of bookies. Its easier to fix games for smaller games like lower divisions and non-pros. 

However, if the bookies see that there is too much action on a game that usually would wager for 10k total and now its 300k, then the match fixing flag would be going off and they would probably close that game for any live bets and maybe even void the game if they suspect its been a fix. So its easier to go under radar with match fixing for bigger games but it would cost you much more to buy the players that already making tons of money. But I doubt there is some big secret group involving players, coaches and refs from all teams. It would leak about that pretty fast and somebody would talk.

Agree, I reacted to the line as well. The books really wanted the Browns money. 

A big jump like that so early in the game is not normal. If you think about it this way, in MLB if a favorite takes the lead in the first inning then the odds for the favorite will not drop that much like it would if it was in the last inning. So the -13,5 was a little too much so early in the game. I think it should have been -11.5 which should have been more "normal" and logical.

As a rule, if the line will jump like yesterday, then always go with the team like 49ers yesterday. Why? Because the books have too much risk on 49ers so they will beg the public to pound the Browns so their risk on 49ers will be less. This means that there is serious money on 49ers. 

I have worked as a bookie for a company which is owned by one of the leading European sites so Im not talking shit. We did work with live betting mainly and it all is about risk. The bookies follow the market, if you're not following the market and go under the market then everybody will buy from you and you will end up with a BIG risk which you dont want. If you have a lot of risk then you want people to buy from the other side to even up and minimize the risk. So as I wrote earlier, if its an abnormal change then keep in mind that the other side have big money and you want to follow the big money. 

Pre-game odds is set by the big bookies and the rest will follow the odds so they dont get fucked. You dont see one bookie offering -7 and another -3 on the same game, then obviously everybody will buy from -3 and buy +7 from the other site. Then the site with the line at 3 will increase the line to get more action on the dog. The market will then adjust at for instance 6.5 since the +7 site have a lot of dog lovers and need the money on the favorite as well. Hope this makes sense. Im sorry English is not my first language.

Thats my thoughts about last game and I hade 49ers -4,5 and U47,5 

0-0

Pennsylvania -5,5 FH @ 1,925

Pennsylvania o153,5 @ 1,90

Oakland o158,5 @ 2,11

BOL to all!