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Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr:

  It's always easy to pick out the life long mush gambling poster's because they have no money left to bet so they relish seeing everyone else lose so they dont feel as they are the only loser's in the game. Because people who gamble with money not their mouth respect karma and would never laugh at a gambler when they lose. Case in point this poster no money to gamble let me go laugh at a poster who is PLUS money for the year.. A mush hates a winner and I would bet every penny I have this guy is a mush and his book bought his kids cars on the back of his picks.. A real gambler does not poke the bear only a mush.. Hello Mush it aint all bad at least you can air bet the rest of your life..

Yikes. Mushy McMushstein was just undressed

 Where did he say he laying chalk with UNC? You asked for how you could be wrong, and he offered an objective opinion. You seem a little combative, guy.

You started the thread; why don't you tell us how you are right? Anyone can spout a blanket statement and look like a genius if it works out.

Quote Originally Posted by Da_Oracle:

No love for Dana Altman?  Not saying he's Coach K, but coming from other coaches around the country, Altman is one of the best

No. Not in this case. Not in the NCAA tourney. You take K all day. Everyday. Hands down. Ha, you get my point.

Look, I cant stand him either. But this guy OWNS the refs. It's amazing the fear he puts in them. It's amazing the amount of physicality that Plumlee gets away with as the lone big-man down low. Not to mention Grayson Allen. He gets the most he can out of them, and he has a way of getting the most out of his players.

It just is what it is.

Duke is just coming into form?  By coming into form do you mean squeaking by UNCW and Yale. What adversity these guys have faced.

Totally agree on the coach though. Head and shoulders advantage.

I think you get a little value with Oregon here as the betting public just saw Oregon struggle to pull away from a team who isn't as much on the national radar (but should be, they are a good team). Not to mention the fact that the PAC12 was obliterated and everyone is down on the conference.

In terms of XOs Oregon really spreads you out and attacks the basket. If you leave space, they will find it and get to the rim. This does not bode well for a team that plays terrible defense.

Just my opinion. I see a little value with Oregon where should be favored by over 2 possessions.

It doesn't take much action at all to move a NCCAB line. Nothing in comparison to NFL, NCAAF, etc.

Chasing line movements will leave you asking where it all went wrong. If it was as easy as watching line movements, RLM, etc we would all be very wealthy.

IMO, it's going to be a chalky dance this year.

Cinderella upset I would be watching is UNCW over Duke. UNCW is playing with nothing to lose. One of the tougher 13 seeds out there catching one of the weaker 4 seeds. Keatts carries over the Pitino style pressure that can bother an already non-deep Duke team. Ingram will eat, but IMO it's a good chance of an upset.

SFA may be able to give WVU a tough game. The opening spread indicates it as well.

I think Dayton has the pieces to be the upset of MSU and make a mini-run. Same situation with Zaga, First year in while Zaga has zero expectations. It makes them dangerous. Gonzaga are not exactly 'Cinderella' teams; however they are higher seeds that can make a run. Regardless, Seton Hall gets bounced 1st round. They won their Super Bowl winning the Big East tourney. Flat spot city for them...

As for the F4 I would be shocked to see anyone over a 4 seed in, Maybe Maryland, but that region is a beast...

Protects Indiana and Kentucky? They possibly have to play EACH OTHER in the second round; hard to see that as protection. That seems to be a tough round of 32 matchup for either side. Not to mention a Kenpom seeding of (2) and ended up a (4) seed for UK...

Protection? Oh yeah, not to mention a Sweet 16 possible matchup with UNC for whomever advances out of the Indiana/UK game...

I wouldn't call that protection. I would call that getting fisted.

 Great read.

Same side. Hofstra played a furious game with W&M yesterday. There were a ton of swings and it was an emotional win. UNCW's pressing attack may wear down a not-so-deep Hofstra side.

Public perception of the more 'known' team in Hofstra give the UNCW bettor a few points in this one. I'm with you, I would have made UNCW a very slight favorite on the spread. My big worry with UNCW is their tendency to NOT close games. They lost several game this year in that fashion...

Either way it should be a great watch. Good luck man!

If you think it matters on who posts the system plays you need to find a new endeavor. Also, it should be only three burning bags in your synopsis, guy.

What's so frustrating here is that a good portion of the posters in this thread have ZERO idea that this is the entire premise of the system. It's one of the most transparent, simple 'systems' to grasp and posters will still question the concept of it. It's amazing the amount of comments that arise here when it as easy as submit it and go on with your day. No capping, no analyzing. Let the proven record do it's work.

^^^This.

Roy Williams has been (and likely will continue to be to some degree) a great recruiter. That said, it really isn't that hard to recruit to programs like Kansas and UNC. The names do the selling. The only point I will give him is that the 'looming' potential sanctions have hurt the recruiting process. But that should have nothing to do with this team. It is likely the most talented roster in the country...

The bottom line is that this new era of basketball has left Roy and other dinosaurs in the dust. He can't relate to new recruits, and he cant work with the idea of the one and done. It creates a stigma, and word spreads.

He is hands down one of the most overrated XOs coach in the game. The guy is literally a deer in headlights. My church league coach would have fed the post last night after Duke's front was in foul trouble. The bigs would have ATE. It was a blunder beyond explanation. The no TO call is moot; they should not have been in that position as time expired regardless.

Next coach @ UNC will not be from the Carolina tree.

Shaka Smart.  

Thanks for taking the time to post

It's not a capping system. It's based on a system using KenPom parameters on certain road underdogs. The system is covered in previous threads.

Throw rankings, injuries, ATS, situations, revenge, mascots, home court out of the window. It's simply hold your nose and click and hope for the best.

Fixed it.

The public does win; they win often. This is true. That said, you are buying Clemson at an all time high. They are not sneaking up on anyone at this point. Public perception of Clemson is robbing you of essential points in a spread where in all likelihood you should be getting 12-15 points. It's also a terrible spot. You are in a huge letdown spot with a team who has won their big games in a friendly environment just down the road. Clemson beat an ordinary defensive team in the likes of Duke and Miami at home. I hate to use the word desperate, but they will be encountering a defensive minded UVA team who needs a good win.

I also don't thing UVA has ever been considered an offensive juggernaut by any means.

GL either way. Just looking at the situational angle that is key in betting college hoops.

You couldn't be buying at a more all time high. This is the definition of buy low/sell high spot for UVA.

Just a thought.

Top' o the knife line. At less then 3 possessions UVA would be a banger. Four plus is a little too much to bite. That said, this thing looks like a UVA blowout in a huge letdown spot for Clemson on the road after the hype...