mafioso

Thank you so much

I was making my kids Mexican style hot dogs and that's the only second half line I didn't record

@dartmonkey11

 I'm gonna grab my ???? and take Denver

They haven't won a home game 

Have a tough game next week

Green Bay is what I expected

Not much

I'll take Russel the love muscle over Jordan Love

I feel it's safer then depending on Seattle with Geno reverting back to the old Geno and throwing picks and turning the ball over

My work pool started with 32 

We are down to eight

I still have Philly Dallas Seattle Jacksonville New Orleans chargers rams and a few others but I'm seriously leaning to using Denver Cleveland

I love the chargers to win outright this week 

But I'd rather find a way to survive this week and use the chargers when they play the jets 

Something smells so disgusting with Seattle this week 

I can't touch them

I'll root for anyone to hit it

It's a milestone something in life that may never happen again

rooting for him is the gamblers creed

This is the way!!!

@legguy69

 The only fraud here is the eagles

@undermysac

 Unless you have a dealer like me who counts while he deals 

This can be very beneficial towards any player 

Counter included, if I know the counts high and I have a good tipper, I'm likely to say something like big ones are coming, I'd jack it up, on the other hand if I get a lowlife stiff, I'm that guy who tells my floor when I get off the game, watch that fool he's counting, I don't work in Vegas and I work at a keep your own tokes casino, so I don't like that seat being taken by a stiff flea

@Verdict

 Completely agree 

It was more mentioning in 99 they benched Cunningham for George 

Shows you how bad Randal was performing 

@chic-cardinals

 What's a good team as far as your concerned?

From my perspective a good team covers when favored and covers as a dog 

At atleast a 10-6-1 clip 

It's all about ats not wins and losses

@Verdict

 ?? I did

@davemsh

 Perfect analogy Dave 

I been saying that about Green Bay  for years now 

I think you hit the nail on the head 

This could be the absolute reason why parity looks to be back in full force 

@njsupreme1

 It's been gone since 2008

Packers you could rely on 

Patriots you could rely on 

Ravens you could rely on 

Seattle with Russel Wilson you could rely on 

Steelers you could rely on 

KC with mahomes and hill you could rely on 

Power teams made a resurgence

I think it's too early to tell 

But I think it's gone this year

@undermysac

 Brother 

1998 was a squares wet dream 

It was like snorting cocaine off a strippers crack hole 

@ThirtyThree

 Yes fading the public works well as well as rlm reverse line moves 

Example KC

 line dropped while entire planet was on them and they not only failed to cover but lost outright 

This year fading the public may work better than other years but remember 

The NFL will throw in a few good weeks for the public 

You gotta feed the fish if you want the meat 

I'll never forget 1999

It's a stain on my soul that will last forever. That is the year that parity reared its ugly head only to stick around and change the way we handicap games for the next 9 years before we saw the resurgence of power teams, the haves and have nots.

 A little insight on me now that I have been handicapping games since the year 2000.

I started betting football in 1992 an 18 year old kid living in San Diego, we have close access to legal betting a quick 15 minute drive to Tijuana Mexico at caliente sports book now caliente casino race and sports book.

The reason I say I bet football games from 1992 to 1999 and handicap games from the year 2000 to present 2022 is 1999 opened a second hole in my a$$ 

Imagine you have teams that are almost automatic covers week in week out 

We had that in the mid 90s 

49ers with Montana then Steve Young

Broncos with John Elway 

Dallas Cowboys with Troy Aikman 

Green Bay Packers with Brett Farve 

And you had some up and coming and solid teams as well 

Patriots with Drew Bledsoe 

Jacksonville Jaguars with Mark Brunel 

Minnesota Vikings with Randal Cunningham and Randy Moss

Buffalo Bills with Doug Flutie 

If you were betting football in the mid 90s

You were laying the wood and getting paid with 1998 being the whopper of that era 

I recall a period of 9 out of 12 weeks 

If you four game parlayed 

Denver 

Green Bay

Minnesota

Jacksonville

You hit 

Then 1999 reared its ugly disgusting head 

I had won over 60k in 1998

Opened my first pizza place then and still had 15k in winnings left to pounce in 1999

The unthinkable happened 

Elway retired 

The broncos looked great opening week with Brian griese at qb vs the greatest show on turf 

This caused an over reaction of how good Denver was 

The jags went 14-2 losing both regular season games to an upstart but very boring Tennessee team 

But they only cover 6 of 10

Steve Young got murdered on the field because a murderer named Lawrence Philips missed a block 

Farve was trying to do it all by himself as his Superbowl core of players got old 

Vikings struggled so bad Randal Cunningham was replaced by Jeff George

Everything had turned upside down over night 

I had to relearn how to bet 

After getting my @$$ smoked that year 

I sat down and learned everything I could 

Years later I do this for fun now and I do okay 

No life changing money but I have fun and at the end of the year betting thousands a weeks I have enough for a family trip out of the country and all bills paid for the month we are gone 

After the start of this season 

I'm barely hanging with these games 

College has been great especially live betting totals 

The NFL has me thinking after the first 3 weeks I'm close to saying the 1999 remake is here but not ready to do so 

Anyone have opinions on this?

Something is definitely off about this league this year. I can't put my finger on it but games are the strangest I've seen in years, from 1991 to 1998 we had the big 5 or 6 teams we could rely on virtually week in week out, when they would play a bad team it was blowout city. Then came 1999 the year parity started, wether this happened due to too many expansion teams too soon I don't know but from 1999 to around 2010 this was the NFL then came 2011 to 2021 you once again had the 4 or 5 teams you could trust week in week out with your jeckel and Hyde teams like chargers and 49ers having good years and bad years and now we have 2022 and I can't figure out this league or where its going as of now, I see easy covers getting not only blown for back door covers but outright come back wins, I see overs that look 95% probable losing at a huge rate, I see dead unders turning to overs more than i have before and its only week 2

Seems every year one or two teams start the season strong. We know they suck, don't have the talent of other teams in their division or conference but they seriously over perform. Can it be smoke and mirrors? Trick plays, good coaching or a bad division? Very rarely do you see two bad teams in the same division but with the horrible ownership of the cowboys and redskins along with the QB situation in Dallas, these medicore teams may continue to flourish for long enough to actually make the playoffs, I'm not sold on Jalen hurts continuing this super play mode he is on, he's not terrible but not a top 15 QB in my opinion and giants are straight up trash for the exception of their running back

?? No, just been busy with my kids boxing and family stuff

The fact the starters played no preseason games shows. I think this is how it's gonna be the first two or three weeks before we start seeing the product we are use too