matelionis

Apparently my model didn't take into consideration a fucking blizzard 

We move to 25-8 YTD. Let's hope for a better weekend. GL to everyone!

Sorry, I meant you should be wagering 1% of your bankroll on each game. Not 10%. That would be suicidal 

So a couple people contacted me and asked "why do you like Pittsburgh, can you explain?". Here is the answer, I like Pittsburgh because the fucking model I created that is 25-7 this year shows Pittsburgh winning by 7+. That's fucking why.

I give two shits if you want to follow my bets or fade 'em, do what you want. I was just trying to help out the forum and have a little fun. Yeah, we are on a heater. Do I guarantee wins? Fuck no. Do I say "oh hey, this is a 5 star / 10 unit BIG DOG play?". Fuck no. Because that is stupid. You should be wagering the same fucking amount on each game (10% of your total bankroll). No game is "better" than any other. An edge is an edge. 

Been a great last 2 weeks as we have gone 6-0. This looks to be a decent week, let's get it done.

PITT -3.5

MINN -3

WASH -10

Good luck to everyone this week! 

@Johnenvy

 Got nothing for MNF. I try to stay away from TNF, SNF, MNF, and you can see why from last night. LA should have smoked Cinci but there is something about playing in a nationally televised game that brings these guys to play.

HOU vs. DAL is a coin-flip with the line at HOU -7.5 and if you are betting with a bookie or against a casino you can't win betting coin-flips when you have to win 53% to break even. Just pass on the game and wait until there is a better spot. Trust me, there is always a spot.

Just remember, "gambling" is for losers, winners find edges. We are winners.

M-

Bang bang!!! 3-0 on the day boys!  We move to 25-7 YTD!! Let’s fucking GOOOOOOOO!!!! See y’all next week!

Ain’t ever easy

Kinda like that!

3 points before halftime would be nice

This is going well boys!

@jefff

 Fuck Cleveland 

Good start boys!!

Good luck today everyone! I might have a play tonight if the model holds for today.

Great week last week going 3-0, we are currently 22-7 YTD. Let's roll!

NO - M/L

LA CHARGERS - M/L

DENVER -2

Good luck this week everyone! 

@LAC63

 Nothing tonight or tomorrow 

3-0 on the day. 22-7 (ytd). Hope everyone had a good weekend. See you Wednesday for week 11 picks. 

I should have put my house on Philly. Fuck me. 

Philly looks promising boys

Good start on the day 2-0. We move to 21-7 YTD. Let’s go Philly (never would I have thought I would root for fucking Philly)

Well that was a gift