Metzbets

Did not find time to post Kentucky -13.5 a top 25 road team.

Today J Madison -21.5 good to -23.5.

Good Luck!

So result for the 5-0 starters was just 2-2 very disappointing, with St Boni easily covering the 20 plus line as predicted.  One game lost by half a point.

Looks line I may have a play on the Creightin UNLV game.

Good Luck whatever you decide to do.

The Sports book is great.  Also the are huge screens in a number of other places in the casino.

Note:  This has many good restaurants!!

Just 1-3 to start with both top 25 plays losing outright.  Hope to turn things around today.  Have a 5-0 starters play on Weber St -2.5.  The last 5-0 starters play will be on 12/9 on St Boni.  The line will be very high on this maybe over 20 but it still will be a play.

I am sitting in the Sportsbook of the New Durango Station Casino.  Never been an opening of a casino so decided to go today.

Good Luck!!

Duke -12.5 a top 25 play.

Season 0-1

Goid Luck!

@Sladerunningfox

 Looks like the line ended up -5.5.  As expected this was a close one, but we lost by half a point.  Up 90-84 Fl Atl gives up no defense lay up and then only makes 1 of 2 free throws.

A tough one to lose but that is college basketball.  The next and final two are 12/5 Weber St and on 12/6 St Boni.

Good Luck.

Won first play easily, this one will probably be very close. 

Play is Fl Atlantic -5.5

This game is playing on a neutral court. I think the line will drop, so wait till game time before betting.

Good Luck!

@Metzbets

 Note I am only talking about road favorites for this top 25 angle.

Years ago I just played any top 25 if the line was -9 or higher.  Over the past 3 years I refined things.  Now it seems the cutoff is-14 with -9 to -13.5 going 61-37.  The -14 to -32.5 is just 14-28.  In this range I go with the dog.  As you can see the sample size is much smaller for the higher lines.

Note, for whatever reason for -9.5 the results are poor at 3-11 so I do not play the favorite at this line, you could play the dog instead that is up to you.

The play today is Villanova -11.5.

Good Luck!

No worry easy winner with Penn St.  Next one goes on 11/23 with Fl Atlantic vs Butler.  This angle is by far the highest winning percentage in every sport I handicap.

Good Luck over the next couple of weeks.  I may post other plays over the next couple of weeks.

Just play the favorite whether they have 5 starters back or 0 starters returning.  Again play the favorite.

Good Luck

Been under the weather for some time.  It happens when you get older.  I am having a horrible college football season so glad I did not post any plays.

Last year just one of these plays an easy winner. There are four possible plays this year the first one going tonight.

Penn St -19

Good Luck

Just 3 days to get into the black.

Sea RL -110

Tex RL ev

LAA RL -102

straight 3 team parlay with teams above.

Cubs

Mets -140

NYY  -142

Bal -145

Bos  -130

Minn +130

Hous -120

AZ -125

2 teamer SD and LAD

Good Luck today!!

3-1 yesterday made close to 3 units back.

Tex RL -105

Cinn +116

Good Luck!

Off to a bad start hope to turn it around today.  So far just 11-13.

Runline 2 Teamer Tor & TB +186

2Teamer Phil -188 & Atl -220 +123

Minn

Lad

Good Luck!!

Odds on two team parlay is +151.

@Metzbets

 Here are the rest of the plays today:

AZ -115  Atl -135  Bos -112 Sea +102 Tex -130 Minn RL +110 Mia -145 LaD -155 SD RL +105.

Two teamer:  SD -190 Minn -155 it should pay around even money.

Note:  five of the six 3ERA plays are plays for both angles.

Good Luck!  I hope to do better today than yesterday.

Not the way I wanted to start 7-6, but there are six more days to get things in the black.

Cubs -130

I will post more games later today.

Good Luck!!

Think I will post plays for a week to see what happens.  If results are good I will continue to post.

Mia -215 SD -290 Cinn +130 AZ RL -120 TB -310 Det +110 Tex -112 Sea -112 Tor -310 CHW -102 LAA. -156 Mil +116 Phil -104

I know this is a lot of plays and many are large favorites, but I have to go with what my numbers point to as the play.  I use pitchers OBA numbers which has been better over the years than the 3 ERA strategy.

Good Luck whatever you decide to  do.

For anyone using the 3ERA angle, since I returned from my trip I have it at 58-42, ok but not great.

I like the starter to have 5 starts. I have found that pitchers with just three starts are not good to use.  Four starts is usually ok  but five is more reliable selecting plays.