Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
One more thing: look for home court calls tonight. Nothing blatant, just enough to turn the tide in Dallas' favor. After all, that would be in the best interest of the NBA, ABC and ESPN.
|
Monkeybongos | 2 |
|
|
Boston has outclassed Dallas this series, in addition to thrashing them twice during the season. You can make a case the Mavs coulda/shoulda won game 2, but in the other 4 meetings the outcome was not much in doubt. The Celtics are just a bad matchup for Dallas, and the Mavs have to know that by now. Deep down they must know they are not going to win this series, which has gotta be disheartening. So how motivated will they be tonight? Besides pride and avoiding the embarrassment of a sweep, there is the matter of not ending what has been a terrific season on such a sour note. It'd be one thing if they played great in game 3 and lost a close one in the final minutes. Then they could be expected to come out flat tonight. But they didn't play all that well, and Doncic must be especially disappointed w his game. I expect them to come out loose but with "fire in the belly" and put together their best game of the series. Meanwhile, as much as the Celtics would like to close it out, deep down they'd prolly love to win it in Boston. Think they lack intensity this evening--especially on defense. I can see them falling behind by double digits at some point and packing it in while mentally preparing for game 5 at home. Looking for D to rack up 110-115 pts while the Celts put up 100-106. Ignore, fade or jump on board...it's not a lock or game of the year, and no matter how much you agree w my logic, don't play more than you can afford to lose. The Gambling Gods don't like that. |
Monkeybongos | 2 |
|
|
A game that great should not come down to a coin flip. |
mrusso | 69 |
|
|
Even my wife recognized how unfair the OT was. That such a great game was so influenced by a coin toss is wrong.
|
Vegaseahawk | 49 |
|
|
Easy to justify taking points w SF, given the roll they've been on. However, this round of playoff games has a way a getting out of control quickly for the visiting team. 3rd consecutive road game vs team coming off bye week is a formula ripe for penalties and turnovers leading to early route for the home team. Think there's a good chance the wheels come off the SF bus in this game. |
LETGOPACK1234 | 159 |
|
|
Won't be surprised if GS wins the next two, but at +$330 for the series, I'll take Houston. No stats or in-depth breakdown, just a feeling Rockets' motivation can carry them to a series win, even down 2-1. Anyone claiming GS is the best team ever over multiple seasons gets no argument from me, but I can see them hitting a wall here. No depth and Curry's boo-boo don't help. Considering the talent Houston has, and the history of these two teams the past 4 seasons, don't understand how anyone can say it's over or Rockets have no chance. |
Monkeybongos | 2 |
|
|
Gotta think Ala focuses on stopping the run. If I'm Georgia, I start out pass happy. It's difficult to focus on the run and rush the QB. Think Fromm and his recievers can hurt Bama. Georgia w a lead will be a major challenge for Hurts and Co. Run game will be more effective, ball control becomes a factor, and Ala not good at playing from behind. Georgia's D should play lights out from the opening whistle after last week's lousy 1st half.
Georgia ML |
Monkeybongos | 2 |
|
|
"Defense still wins championship and where was the bulldogs defense against Oklahoma?" Funny you say that, as Georgia's poor defensive 1st half last week is one reason I like them to win the game tonight. They had a bad 1st half (against a potent offense), but a pretty good 2nd half. They won't lay an egg like that 2 weeks in a row. I expect the defense to play well for 60 minutes tonight. And Alabama isn't nearly as explosive as OK. |
budwiser | 14 |
|
|
Killer humidity in Tampa. Denver could be a big fade in the 4th Q.
Keep an eye on time of possession. Unless TB is getting blown out and looks to quit, they could be a good bet for the 4th Q (maybe 2nd H as well). Also, given their collapse last week, they should be emphasizing a strong finish. |
Monkeybongos | 2 |
|
|
Valid points made on both sides, but the context/situation is the biggest factor imo.
As a Cardinal fan, I was totally relieved GB did not go for two. |
LETGOPACK1234 | 38 |
|
|
wizer, you make a good, logical case for GB.
But logic, as misleading as it can be during the regular season (it is the No Freakin Logic league, after all), carries even less weight during the playoffs. Think AZ might start slow offensively--it's been 3 weeks since they've been productive in a game--but I'd be surprised if GB has many sustained drives or big plays. At least that result in TDs. GB 1st Half I'd feel comfortable with, maybe a 10-7 or 13-10 GB lead. Doubt they'll keep that up the whole game. AZ is the better team w home field. Expect they'll pick it up in the 2nd Half. Momentum in the playoffs can swing on one play and snowball out of control, especially for home teams. Feeling a 27-16 AZ win. |
Wizerguy | 38 |
|
|
Cin ml.
This team is not the Bungles of old. They'll rally around McCarron with the likely hood of Dalton returning for the game in Denver. The O line and defense will compensate for the rookie QB. AJ is no stranger to big games under the spotlight. There's more hoopla and pressure in a National Championship game than wild card playoff. The talent and speed are at a higher level than college, but he's had enough playing time to make the adjustment. Sat night home game, 3rd straight roadie for Pitt. Cin gets the Steeler monkey off their back. They can certainly win a rematch from a couple weeks ago at Denver and go on to beat KC at home or NE on the road. Cin vs AZ in the SB pays 30-1. |
Monkeybongos | 6 |
|
|
Cin vs AZ
AZ wins, maybe in a rout AFC Hous not enough offense Den QB issues (Osweiler not ready, Manning too far past prime) Pitt not enough D KC not good enough to win 13 straight NE maybe, looked shaky lately Cin best all around team, Dalton should return in couple weeks NFC AZ easiest path, in great position to take out winner of Sea-Car |
themouse | 23 |
|
|
Strength of schedule could be a problem for ND if there are 4 or more other teams in the running.
I haven't seen any other contenders play, but Ole Miss looks like the real deal. Very good coach, proven winner w grit and pedigree and likely hood for improvement at QB, strong skill players (receivers and secondary), solid D led by a top 5 draft pick (possible #1), and maybe most importantly experience from last year's collapse and poise, which they showed tons of at Alabama. With their schedule they'll be as battle-tested as anyone come playoff time. A lot can happen between now and then (injuries, suspensions, etc), but I love Ole Miss to win it all. |
McGuire87 | 4 |
|
|
Found 25-1 odds at Bovada.
They've already dropped like a rock since he first announced running (as high as 85-1). I believe he's going to win. |
Monkeybongos | 11 |
|
|
Where can I place a bet on Bernie Sanders to win the election?
The odds on him are probably going to drop significantly over time and the stage has never been more set for the biggest political upset in history. |
Monkeybongos | 11 |
|
|
Steve Kerr wouldn't call the dogs off w a big lead late in the game to
avoid embarrassing his former team, would he? It's much harder to do in hoops than football as no lead is safe even in the final minute of b-ball, but this is one team Kerr probably would feel bad about blowing out. Interesting how Golden St could make a run at the best record ever, currently held by...??? |
smoothd20 | 1515 |
|
|
Wonder if the players have caught wind of this streak...
|
smoothd20 | 1515 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by brackson13: @monkeybongos, please hit the little < arrow at the top or bottom of the thread and read earlier posts. this topic has been presented and addressed a half dozen times at this point. That's embarrassing. Should know better. Sorry. May your good karma continue... |
smoothd20 | 1515 |
|
|
Fantastic!
Hope you're considering a hedge on LAL for $5 - 10 k (or more), especially if the line moves higher. Maybe even buy a point for the possibility of a middle. Then a similar hedge (probably a little larger) on the next game should you win w Houston. Why not guarantee yourself a payout at this point? It would suck to win 23 or 24 and not get any $ (above what you've already locked in). |
smoothd20 | 1515 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.