Moose1986

I don’t post often here but this is a HUGE game for Big 10 Title Possibilities and a Top 4 spot in the CFP.

Ohio State -3.5 with a Total of 52.5

My favorite play on this game is the Under. We have two offenses who love to control the line of scrimmage by establishing the run. Both of these offenses to not run at high speed, pre snap tempo. 

Will Howard and Dillon Gabriel are turnover prone and are not the best QB’s we have seen at these schools in a while. I see efficient drives being the source of scores with quick strikes being limited. Ohio State has a LOT more big play potential as well. 

Defensively, these two units could be the best two on the field. Stopping the run and getting sacks on third down are key for both teams. 

I trust Will Howard more and I trust the skill position players of Ohio State that much more. Action Network has a potential of this being a CFP Game at a neutral site where Ohio State is favored by 6. Ohio State is the better team and I expect a hard fought contest for much of the game. College kickers can be inconsistent and we might get a lot of empty possessions due to that, Lanning’s bonehead gambles that he has had in the past, etc.

Id take Ohio State on the ML and the Under.

23-20 Buckeyes. 

Maybe I was wrong about stats but a Big W in the form of 71-0!

65-0 at the half. 

Maybe I was wrong about stats but not about outcome. Big W!

Alternate spread Tennessee -50.5 at +104. Tennessee is going to roll! Their backups didn’t play well against Chattanooga and I expect a better performance this time in the second half. The starters might go for 49 by halftime.

Kent State is horrific and just lost to FCS St Francis 23-17. 

Two Team Parlay

Tenn TT over 56.5 and Kent St TT Under 6.5 at +315 (200 to win 631).

Tennessee -50.5 (400 to win 416).

Nico continues the early Heisman stat padding. Throws for 300 and 3 TD in the first half. Vols will roll 63-3.

@HockeyNight11

 I think you are definitely the only person who thinks they got worse with a Senior transfer QB who almost beat Texas and had his team playing for a Conference Title and winning it two years ago. Then getting blown out by Bryce Young and Alabama.

In relation to Lanning, Oregon coaches find ways to lose BIG games. Oregon at home against Ohio State in October will tell you everything you need to know; when those coaches go against one another. 

Lanning has been aggressive against Washington in the last two years and lost. Especially 2022, that gift on fourth down. Lanning will learn from his mistakes and Oregon is going to roll this year. 

Ryan Day has lost a Natty and has been not been able to beat Michigan. When you had CJ Stroud, Wilson, Olave, Smith Njigba, Henderson in the backfield and NOT win a title, it is very hard to debate you about Day. It’s now or never for that loaded defense he has!

@The007

 First off, I did one last year around the midway point of the season on FanDuel. I went 5-2 and Round Robin’ed it in 2-6’s. I suggest you do that first and foremost so you get the most value and you don’t lose as much with wagers. If one of your teams loses, it’s essentially toast.

Second, I think identifying your knowledge of conferences and then applying who you think wins each conference is the way to go. You have way too many favorites for an early futures!

Liberty is the most likely team to run their conference and win it. 

I like to wait a 5-6 weeks and put one in mid season. You can gauge who the best teams are and map out a schedule. Best of luck!

I have to say that 2024 really brings in two huge changes in my opinion:

Transfer Portal in full swing AND 12 team playoff.

Rivalry Week will be moved in 2025. There will be some teams with a few Conference Title Game spots clinched. They will rest players. A Power 5 Conference winner gets a top 4 seed and a bye. 

With so many coaches moving and players moving, I believe schools with returning head coaches and returning QB play are schools to bet on. There are NOT a ton of teams with continuity in that department off the top of my head (Georgia, Ole Miss, Texas, Missouri, Utah, Penn State). I’m sure there are more. 

Quick thoughts: If Ohio State doesn’t win the Big 10 this year, I don’t think they ever will.

Can Utah finally be healthy and win the Big 12 with 12th year Senior Cam Rising and one of the best coaches in college football?

How good is Oregon in the trenches? Can sexy lefty Dillon Gabriel be Bo Nix light?

Do these 10-2 teams make their push in the new format like Penn State and Ole Miss?

Alabama at 15-1 is a nice value with DeBoer and Milroe. I know that goes against my returning QB and Coach comment, but I think they provide the best value. 

@Bjorn_Borg

 Bjorg, only Covers Tennis person I will give any respect to. The changing of the guard officially happened today. It wasn’t Sinner at the AO, it was today. 

Alcaraz is probably worst on the hard court, which is scary. Total beatdown.

Man Bjorg, this Tennis Forum might be the worst one in all of Covers Sports.

Medvedev is a hard court specialist who has played better on grass the last few years. Once Dirty Carlos got locked in, the match was over. 

Musetti is a Clay court specialist who has NO weapons to beat Novak. You want to out hit Novak in long rallies? Good luck Lorenzo. You want to hit backhand slices and get some nice points? Ok, that’s fine.

Novak and Carlos in the Final. Carlos should win. The only bet to make here is Over 40 games. Novak and Carlos each wins a Set. Am I missing something here?

Covers Doofs:

Bjorg posts everyday and tries some realistic, creative and interesting wagers. The rest of you seem to curse out people who lose and offer no real insight to what is going on.

I guess I’ll use Covers Forum for NCAAF, where a bunch of people actually discuss what’s going on. We are in the QF of Wimbledon and you turkeys don’t discuss anything related to Paul v Alcaraz OR Big Dong Daniil v Sinner?

What a joke. Too da loo suckers. This Forum is a joke!

@NyJetropolitan

 I made a post on this and no one replied because this Forum isn’t that great to be honest. I have a Parlay that ends with Djokovic to win as well. Mine pays $1430.00 if it hits.

I am letting it ride. Rune is an excellent player. Djokovic cannot move like he is accustomed to BUT his serving, shortening points and then his endurance should be enough.

Rune just came back from 2 sets down in his last match. I think it’s 4 VERY tight sets and Djokovic comes out on top. Best of luck with what you do. 

I had a Futures of Sinner, Alcaraz, Novak to make the QF that was placed after Round 1.

Djokovic is -310 to win against Holger Rune (+250).

My thoughts are Set Betting…

Rune is +900 to win 3-1

Rune is +700 to win 3-2

Djokovic is +260 to win 3-1

Djokovic is +430 to win 3-2.

I don’t think this match is going 3 sets. I think the most likely outcome is Djokovic in 4 tight sets. If Djokovic wins and I do nothing, I get $1430.00 back in return. Any thoughts or advice for a match I think Djokovic is 60 percent to win?

Alcaraz, Sinner and Novak to make the QF. Place after the first round. 

I have to say I feel pretty confident still, especially with Alcaraz and Sinner. Novak was in trouble today; being up a break in the third and not putting his opponent away was worrisome.

The good news is he gets Popyrin, who can serve well but isn’t great on grass. Then most likely looking at Rune. Do you think my parlay holds? 

Hello:

Novak playing and being the 2 changes A LOT in the Draw if he decides to play. 

If he is OUT, Carlos becomes the 2 and everyone slides up a ranking. 

The matchups become different. For whatever reason, the Draw sometimes lends itself to the 1 and 3 in a potential semifinal where as the 1 and 4, 2 and 3 should occur. 

I’m waiting on ALL futures until I see the Draw with or without the GOAT ?? 

Zverev as a 3, Medvedev having his own quarter would occur if Novak is out. Rublev at 5, with Hurkacz and Ruud as the 6 and 7.

@FredLeonard

 Hey Fred,

 I respectfully disagree. Oddsmakers try to make lines where they can make money. They try to have the public and the professional bettors on opposite sides.

The professional bettors, people with big bets, got this one way wrong. It happens and when it does, the public usually wins big! Seeing a total go up to 365.5 and dip all the way to 354 or so had people saying “I have to take the Under.” 

Secondly, this format of four quarters hasn’t been played since 2017. The Elam Ending was used between 2018-2023. So Vegas had to cap a game that didn’t have history in the last 7 years. The Elam Ending was there to produce defense in the “fourth quarter” BUT if the game isn’t close the players don’t care. Obviously, the players don’t care and just want to be healthy. 

I CRUSH this Over every year! It is usually my most profitable weekend in the calendar year. I made $3700.00 taking the Over, Maxey/AD/LBJ/KD parlayed under their point total, Dame to win the 3 point title, and KAT/Dame/Halliburton parlayed to score 24 plus in the first round of the 3 point shootout. When there is an opportunity, you have to take it and trust your instinct. 

Next year, this total will open at like 385. The three point shooting, the open dunks, and some players offensively going hard (KAT, Brown, Lillard) and some guys loafing (Doncic, Jokic, LeBron) show opportunities to pounce. All Star Weekend is now about the 3 Point Shootout.

Remember, it’s an exhibition. Vegas isn’t getting a ton of action on this so they don’t mind the small loss for Average Joes like me who slam the over. Hope my insight is appreciated. Be well brother.

@BigfootIsThere

 Hey Dope,

My Unit is $100. I said “It’s my most profitable weekend usually of the year”. To make 37 Units in one weekend is fantastic!!

Why would how much I win tell you to tell me “Don’t gamble anymore”? I regulate my unit wagering AND take a HUGE LAYOFF between The Final Four and NFL/NCAAF. If I make profit in the Black per year, I’m happy. Who do you think you are?

Have a good day doof. 

God, this forum is horrific. The NBA All Star Game is for dunks, 3’s, some one on one play, half court heaves and FOR ENTERTAINMENT! 

Every year you guys should be pounding the OVER in this game like The Moose did. I made almost $3,700.00 between the Over, a player prop parlay, Dame winning the 3 Point Title, and Dame/Halliburton/KAT getting 24 or more points (parlay) in the first round of the 3 Point Shootout.

Stop complaining about ONE BAD GAME that you’ll forget about come Thursday when the next game to wager is on.

This is my biggest money making day of the gambling season. Now it’s a break until the Final Four. Then a long hiatus with essentially nothing on. NBA Playoffs is a pain to wager. Just a Conference Futures for one unit each for fun. 

If you EVER bet the under on an NBA All Star Game, stop gambling. It’s the over, or pass. Come on fools.

@Juniorg1986

 Hey Junior. I appreciate that compliment bro.

I locked in Washington +10.5 parlayed with Over 50.5. It pays +119. $300 to win $357. 

Ebbs and flows. I could see a 31-24 type game. Unfortunately my instinct says Michigan though I’ll be rooting HARD for Washington!

I have been on Washington all season long. That being said, my gut tells me Michigan wins this game because they have the ability to wear you down.

Washington has 3 NFL WR, Jack Westover is a solid option at TE, and Penix is all world at QB. The question for this game in my opinion is this: “Can JJ McCarthy win a game for you?” Michigan’s QB has honestly played mediocre the last 5-6 games. He didn’t throw a pass in the second half against Penn State.

College football coaches don’t recruit enough secondary players to cover that many good WR. Washington can get methodical drives as they have shown in second halves this year. 

My gut is my gut. I am just staying, don’t be surprised if Washington comes out on top. How healthy is Dillon Johnson? Washingtons O Line might be the best unit on the field. If Penix is upright, good night Michigan. If McCarthy can make plays and not turn it over, Michigan wins. BUT the last thing Michigan wants is a game in the 30s. Two different styles and it could go either way. Should be a great one. 

PS- Magic Mike, grow up bro.

@WISEGUY36

 Hey Wise Guy,

You have read my posts about Washington all season. I have been on them all year!!

My justification is simple. Washington has the best unit on the field with their offense. DeBoer moves these guys around and throws different routes, formations at opponents. McMillan in the slot was HUGE creating space last game against Oregon. A lot of you “pundits” thought Oregon could win the Title prior to The Pac 12 Title. 

Washington has been running well too. The difference is this; NO defense in college football is built from the secondary. Washington has 3 NFL WR on their team! Odunze can get whatever he wants whenever he wants. Washington doesn’t play with tempo and can grind you down. Dillon Johnson has been a workhorse the last two months! Now you give Washington a dome on fast turf with their athletes. Washington can name the type of game they want to play. Huskies 34-31