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@jvarghese I think we’re saying the same thing. I believe I recently had a bet settled prior to even going over the total because it was 19.5, the first set was a tiebreak and it was 1-1 in the second. Entirely possible I’m mistaken, but that’s what I meant by “inevitable” - impossible for the under to hit if the match plays out. |
Digital_Media | 11 |
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@jvarghese Yep. This is the way. A book that immediately pays out when the over is inevitable regardless of final match result. |
Digital_Media | 11 |
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You know something’s up when the live game spread for a +400 dog is only +3.5. JJ burned me a couple weeks back. He’s prime fade material until he proves he can beat a top 300 player. |
rus_madman | 49 |
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Got in at +165. Was at +280 during the 4-3 Anderson service game but I wasn’t quick enough. Let’s get it! |
tanis74 | 2 |
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Keep an eye on his matches moving forward. He tends to gift a break back in the 2nd or 3rd set and you can snag the dog spread at +++.
Simon +3.5 (3rd set only) was at +120 down 3-0 in the third. And Fed was nice enough to throw away a service game. He just gets a little loose once he has that initial break. Glad he won as a fan, but definitely won't trust him with my money.
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sportswagers | 29 |
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That Fed serve... Getting wrecked this tournament.
Over hits, and Simon will have a hard time not covering his +4. Wishing any crazy Fed backers the best of luck in this 3rd set. He looks frustrated.
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HitikoriSB | 21 |
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Well dammit...
A sure winner turns into a push.
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sportswagers | 29 |
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He's been prone to 2nd set letdowns this year. They were offering Simon +2.5 (2nd set) at +120... hedged out Fed at -1.5 (-110) to try and hit the middle about 1 game later.
Can we get a 7-5 Fed 2nd set and everybody wins?!
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HitikoriSB | 21 |
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On it! Let's get some $heckle$
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sportswagers | 29 |
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Good cap. Nice when unlucky = push vs. loss.
On to the next!
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sportswagers | 4 |
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Match is on Fed's racket. But he's struggled more against players who get everything back than against the big hitters.
See: Djokovic, Coric, Millman, etc. If he's up against a big hitter he's more comfortable in rallies because he knows they won't last that long. Good luck whatever you decide.
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HitikoriSB | 21 |
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Nice work, congratulations and good luck!
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CantPickAWinner | 12 |
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Always fade the American... especially when they're in winning positions.***
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CantPickAWinner | 3 |
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My apologies as I followed you... obviously that means what appeared to be a good spot turned into a dumpster fire in an instant.
Who knows, maybe Struff will actually try to get the ball in the court instead of swinging as hard as he can every time.
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sportswagers | 3 |
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Only hope is that Coric lets his guard down to start this 3rd set given how putrid Pouille's play was in the second.
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packersbackers | 34 |
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Yeah...When you think, "Great. Now he could lose 6-4, 6-4 and we'd cover... Ohh.... nevermined."
Just feel sick right now at the way this match has played out.
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packersbackers | 34 |
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Nothing like a friendly break gift to give your opponent some confidence starting out the 2nd set.
Collapse engage! Pouille is done.
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saikush | 10 |
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Kuku having quite the resurgence this year.
Thought for sure he would fade away about a year or two ago but he's been beating some big names recently with pretty much no true weapons in his game. Crazy.
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AceDiamonds | 4 |
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Better to break for the set. If he breaks to 5-3 he would have to serve it out and nobody wants that kind of pressure.
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akitch88 | 8 |
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The stats from the second set border on comical...
Stephens won 27% of her service points. <30% on her first serve... then comes back and ups that % to 63% in the 3rd. Assuming the match was on Kiki's racquet and she just littered the court with UEs in the final set, but wasn't watching.
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sportswagers | 14 |
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