OBDOC

Watched the Eli:Peyton MNF commentary.. had Tom Brady on as a guest and they talked about it. Guy got more things than initially reported - $1000, two Brady signed jersey/hats, season tix.. Brady said he was also going to give him a bit coin ($60k). So not horrible… but yea he did leave 500k on the table

except McCoy’s last mnf game - a few years back AT DALLAS.

Just remember he played for the Browns....... He may surprise some people tonight

People are so quick to react. How is this a stupid question? He didn't ask what the Max play was this week -- but what is his Max NFL bet? That is a legit question to understand how 'strong' his strongest play is.

Typically, LC's TOP 'game of the year' play is 10x. His 5x and 6x plays are like 'play of the week/month' type of plays.

Good luck all

BAL ML

LAC ML

SF +10

KC ML

JAC +4.5

LAR ML

GB ML

MIA -3.5

WAS ML

100 to win... 16,000. HAHA always love rooting for a long shot! Good luck everyone!

Saints @ Cowboys

- The Cowboys have been resurrected from the dead... amazing what a 3 game winning streak does to public perception. It seems that one WR is all this team needed to turn their entire season around

- Do not be fooled - The Cowboys do NOT have a good offense. 31 points against the Redskins was very misleading (2 blown coverages gifted them 14 points). They barely cracked 20 against a bad Falcons Defense. This team will not be able to keep up with the Saints. 

- The Cowboys are generally a public favorite - which is a gift to Saints backers. The general consensus is that the line has been boosted to -7. I feel like it is in reality being brought DOWN to -7 due to the public being enamored by Amari, Zeke, and the epic 3 game winning streak (who did they beat again?)

- Sean Payton excels in prime time games. He will be peddle to the metal all game long. I don't expect a blowout, but I think the Saints with by 10+.

- After this game, I think the line will read "The Cowboys are who we THOUGHT they were".

SAINTS (-7) - 2 UNITS

SAINTS (ML) - 3 UNITS

Regardless of who you back, please do yourself a favor and shop around. Bovada is (-8) and 5 dimes is (-8.5) --> If you back the Cowboys, you better not do it at -7 (most books).

~ DOC

Posted NFL Bets: 6-5-2 (+13.08 units)

Teasers - 1-0 (+3.57 units)

Parlays - 0-1 (-1 unit)

bovada is 8.

Within you 'clear plays', are you able to further stratify plays to identify those that are are 'play of the month' or 'play of the year' type candidates? I'm always looking for ways to ID these types of games as over the long run it can make a massive difference to ones roll =) Keep up the great work!

Nice winning day so far.

Giants @ Eagles (Game of the WEEK)

Giants (+6) - 3 units 

Giants (+175) - 1 unit - Loss

Giants/Eagles (over 47) - 2 units - push

Giants (+10.5 ALT Line @ -245) - 10 units -  Big winner!

Seahawaks @ Panthers

Panthers (-3) - 2 units - Loss

Patriots @ Jets

Patriots -10 (-123) @ 2.5 units (bought the hook) 

+ 5.5 units heading into tonight! Pick out soon

LC, I love your picks and threads.... but this logic works both ways. Remember the miracle Cardinals cover over SF? Had no business winning that game but in the end, you did. The craziness of the NFL works both ways. Keep up the great work and good luck tonight!

rough week brother... next week will be better!

Giants @ Eagles (Game of the WEEK)

- The Eagles are coming off two crushing loss. Yes they can still make the playoffs, but to me their chances were shot with their home loss to Dallas. You simply cannot win in the NFL in 2018 with as banged up a secondary as they have. The Giants are a flawed team... but their Offense has weapons that will take advantage of the Eagles non-existent secondary. I have this game capped at Eagles -3. Bovada (which loves to inflate the line) had this at Eagles -6 as of Saturday PM. I will take the points and expect a high scoring game. A Giants WIN is very much possible as well. Another big ALT line bet as well. 

Giants (+6) - 3 units

Giants (+175) - 1 unit

Giants/Eagles (over 47) - 2 units

Giants (+10.5 ALT Line @ -245) - 10 units

Seahawaks @ Panthers

- Great spot to fade the Seahawks who are making a cross country trip to Carolina where the Panthers have played well this year (5-1 ATS). Don't have time to give the full writeup, but Cam is in a good spot. Back him here. 

Panthers (-3) - 2 units

Patriots @ Jets

- The Patriots coming off a WHOPPING get to their archrival Jets... who are starting Josh McCown and have a middle of the road defense. I wouldn't touch this game with Sam Darnold @ QB... but I like this game with Darnold OUT.

Patriots -10 (-123) @ 2.5 units (bought the hook)

More to come ...

Sorry, math error - overall 10.57 units profit. Even better!

do you know what Jason Garrett’s thanksgiving record is ATS? 0-7 .

wouldnt be so sure you are on the right side laying 7 pts to a division rival in such a critical game for both teams.  Best of luck !

colt mccoy article

https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/redskins/sometimes-backup-quarterbacks-are-backups-for-a-reason-but-sometimes-/2018/11/21/63da890c-edb3-11e8-baac-2a674e91502b_story.html?utm_term=.01c2abdac5ab

Teaser – 7 pts

Washington (+14.5) + Bears (+3)  – 5x

Parlay (for fun!)

Washington ML + Bears -3 + Saints -13 (+1267) – 1x 

Washington (+7.5) - 5x

Washington Alt Line (+13.5 @ -250) - 25x

Washington 1half (+4.5) – 1x

Washington ML (+294) – 0.5x

Dallas under 24.5  - 1x

Washington over 15.5 – 1x