orhane

I have tons of, since no one is sharing....

595-246 on the ML, i don't think it is really worth it to dial it down to the ML though.

However there are some other determining factory using Away Favs in the NBA as a starting point.

148-97 for Away Favorites after a preivous Loss as a Fav L3 seasons.

Fade any Home Dog

4 Rules:

Team A must be a Home Dog

Team A will play following game at Home

Team A and Team B should not be on a streak of 5 games of better (eliminate streaky teams)

Team A and Team B should not be on 4 games or more on rest (eliminate rested teams)

Fading these Dogs on ATS is 

860-649 since 2014 season

490-310 L4 seasons

true it does not matter if they were on the road or at home the last game. they must be b2b favs in an away game, next game is away too. nothing else.

https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?output=default&sdql=p%3AF+and+AF+and+n%3AA+and+season&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

you can see the results here.

sadly it lost a bit of steam since i posted it, but esp for the NHL it has been a gold mine for me.

as for other sports:

MLB: https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query?output=default&su=1&ou=1&sdql=p%3AF+and+AF+and+n%3AA+and+season+%3E+2011&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

works well here too. +43 units last season.

NBA:

mixed results in NBA.

https://sportsdatabase.com/nba/query?output=default&sdql=p%3AF+and+AF+and+n%3AA+and+season&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

NFL:

does not work at all here.

NCAAF:

mixed results here too.

NCAAB:

does not work here.

so in conclusion you can use it in ML sports like NHL and MLB. mainly because the effect of being on the road is overvalued by the bookies.

Play on Away Favs when they have been a Fav in the game before and their next game will be Away too.

150 Units Profit in 14 years only 1 loosing season.

This year so far: 70-38 +20 Units

If any others like to share their systems feel free to contribute. I have tons of them.

I have several working systems for different sports. Would be happy to swap.

https://prntscr.com/r4vxak here is a screenshot. no chasing, no funky or illogical angles.

I have the combined data from 1995 up to date.

Calculated the margins of total with Averages of Off and Def for both teams involved.

Fading the system since 2015 got a net profit of 360 Units.

If anyone is interested in the RAW data, feel free to message me.

https://killersports.com/nba/query?sdql=site%20streak%20%3C%3D%20-3%20and%20n%3Asite%20streak%20%3D%201%20and%20n2%3Asite%20streak%20%3D%202%20and%20n3%3Asite%20streak%20%3D%203&output=summary

here is how you can identify the first game of the series. the first link identifies teams coming of a 3+ road trip and playing their first game at home: ATS record is 496-511.

https://killersports.com/nba/query?sdql=p%3Asite+streak+%3C%3D+-3+and+site+streak+%3D+1+and+n%3Asite+streak+%3D+2+and+n2%3Asite+streak+%3D+3+and+p%3AATSL&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

this provides the teams loosing that specific game on ATS in the first game of the chase and so on.

i like to share this to show that chase systems are flawed once you can not provide winners on ATS as singles.

Looks like a 13-2 night so far. 4 plays up in the air in NCAAB.