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tts - Thank you very much for your response. I'll take what you said in to consideration and cross my fingers that things will change!
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RantinRave | 173 |
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Well - Just to let you guys know. Things did change around a little bit last weekend, but we'll see what happens this weekend ...
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RantinRave | 173 |
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Is there a place for archived lines? I swear the over has been hitting ALOT more often these days.
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RantinRave | 173 |
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Quote Originally Posted by yankee444: bottom line is games are fixed not all of them but there are enough to where vegas cant lose. thats why the last time vegas lost money was when sd played sf in the bowl. i know people dont want to believe it but ive seen way too many shady calls and plays and dont anyone give me they make too much money to fix games. james harrison was contimplating retiring over a 50k fine,vick killed dogs,carruth and lewis killed humans,pacman well he does it all thats illegal the list goes on and on so dont tell me that if these guys are doing crimes like these that fixing games is so immoral and they wouldnt do it.you see politicians going to prison over a few grand and martha stewart a billionaire going to jail over 400k. people cheat in all aspects of life lets not fool ourselves and think that theres no way it cant happen in sports either.wheres theres money there will always be corruption that much is guaranteed.and to answer your question when taking bets you will go through rough patches but the most important thing is getting people who are good pay you can win all you want getting the money on the street is the hard part. that my friend is your way of paying taxes in the illegal world. if you have the bankroll and good paying gamblers you will come out on the positive side. *** Ignoring the part about sports being rigged. That's a whole nother topic. Though I do agree with you on some parts *** It sucks that you say that the bookie will go through rough patches. What if rough patches is all they have seen? What if they win 95% of the over bets? - I swear it has something to do with the helmet rules in place. What if they all quit when they get down? I guess that's why it's a risk right? Maybe 11 weeks isn't long enough. Maybe magic will happen by the super bowl. |
RantinRave | 173 |
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But doesn't the bookie win by assuming the player will hit 50/50 in the long run?
So if the player makes (100) $100 wagers we are assuming that they will win $5000 and lose $5500 ($5000 + the juice). Or do we not even concern ourselves with that? If the action is to big we just put it off to another book? For example, since I'm in the rough now I would consider anything over $200 a "big" wager. So should I just put all that action on a low juice book (@ -105)? Everything seems easy in hindsight and quite frankly I would have followed these rules, but I got busted up my first couple weeks. |
RantinRave | 173 |
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Originally I thought that placing the bigger action on another book would be the smart move, but I've came to the conclusion it would have been smart to actually have a starting bankroll so that it doesn't effect me mentally the next day at work.
I agree that in time they will lose, but we're in week 11 and the book is still down. Thankfully last night most went HUGE on the over. So I was able to get back some, but still I'm way down. I'll try and offer parlays and teasers, but that might make things a little more complex. Either way, I'll be sure to keep you all updated. |
RantinRave | 173 |
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Tuppy - Thanks for a genuine response. lol.
I always thought that parlay's and teasers were the wrong route to go unless you had a a bunch start up money. For example, "this person" doesn't want a couple people hitting a 3-team $100 parlay. I mean, in the long run they are going to lose, but right now there could be some desperation for a losing week. They will be considered though. |
RantinRave | 173 |
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Thank you very much for the deep and insightful advice.
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RantinRave | 173 |
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This is all hypothetical of course..
A person loses a lot of money to online sports books and this person's local guy. He then decides to take action from close friends and some others. In four weeks he gets cleaned out for 4k. Usually a bad weekend would be -500. He's doing everything "correctly" (i.e. charging 10 cents on the dollar, taking straight wagers only, game and halftime lines, etc.) What would you do? A. Stop B. Continue C. Other PS - 50% are known degen's. The other 50% never wagered on a game in their entire life. |
RantinRave | 173 |
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• To be eligible for prizing, all accounts must have wagered a minimum of $100 or more prior to July 15th, 2009.
I'm assuming this means that I'm no longer eligible? I think I registered for an account 9-10 weeks ago, but only wagered $50. Does this mean if I somehow end up in the top 10 I won't get a prize? |
theprez | 32 |
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