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Bad week last week, hoping to get back on track.
Browns +7.5 1u Browns/Ravens 1h U 22.5 4u Texans +2 1u Vikings +2.5 1u Broncos +3 1u
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ratbehr | 34 |
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Broncos +1 3u
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ratbehr | 34 |
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Jags +7.5 1u
Rams +3 1u 49ers +4 1u
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ratbehr | 34 |
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Bucs +4.5 1u
Browns +8.5 2u
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ratbehr | 34 |
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Week 8 Card:
Titans -3 1u Titans/Jags U 1st H 21.5 2u Browns +3 1u Bills +6 3u |
ratbehr | 34 |
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Quote Originally Posted by HoustonSports: I keep saying this every week and no one listens, meanwhile I keep making money playing the pats. They are 6-1 ats, their only ats loss was when they lost to Buffalo in game 4 and since Brady has been back they are 3-0 ats I don't think this is a good thing. It's not like the Pats will go 15-1 ATS on the year. If a team has been killing it against the spread, Vegas will move even extra in their favor, eliminating any edge they have.
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bpickin | 25 |
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Lets not forget before this week Buffalo was the #3 team DVOA team on Football Outsiders. One week of Ajayi going crazy on you on the road coupled with the Pats beating up on a Roethlisberger-less Steelers doesn't completely change that.
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bpickin | 25 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TreyInventor: How much money did you have on the Steelers today bro? The same amount I put on the Dolphins and Eagles. You could probably solely blindly bet home dogs and make a decent profit on the year. People need to understand the difference between picking teams and picking lines. Bills +6 at home is wild, that implies if the game were in New England it would be Pats -12. At what point do you take the other side of the "Brady and Bellicheck are playing more motivated than everybody else?" -20?
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bpickin | 25 |
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The fact everyone hears 'motivated Tom Brady' and then blindly backs them regardless of the spread is music to my ears. Going to keep fading the public, especially road favorites.
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bpickin | 25 |
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Putting 3u on Bills +5 right now. Line looks way off to me, and want to beat out any movement.
Will probably have a big card this week. Lots of road favorites to fade, and may add some 1H Under as those have been consistently killing it for me.
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ratbehr | 34 |
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This will likely be my biggest bet of the week. Brady and the Patriots have been killing it, and the public has been eating it up. I usually just fade road-favorites in general, but I really like this one.
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bpickin | 25 |
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Chasing bets, or just betting on games your going to watch is a good way to lose a lot of money, lol. But I feel your pain, definetely been there.
If you absolutely have to bet on a game you plan on watching (like me), than just put very small amounts on it. I'll roll with $20-30 bets on games I really don't have a feel for or don't see any apparent edge in.
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Jrod6 | 18 |
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Lots of home dogs this week, will probably just load up on those and add a couple of 1H Under plays potentially. Fading road favorites has worked for me for the most part so far.
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porcelainfist | 11 |
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I always wonder what people mean when they say the game is 'fixed'... as in the officials or as in the game is a big conspiracy and is actually pre-planned, a-la WWE?
If it's the latter that is ridiculous, if you believe the former than it was bad coaching and garbage-play that lost you money tonight, not the zebras.
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alsounknownas | 59 |
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Coaching across the board seems to be as bad as its ever been this season. Wonder when coaches will learn to make decisions that maximize their team's chances of winning
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TreyInventor | 17 |
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Sorry, my FansUnite page can be found here: https://fansunite.com/profile/RatBehr
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ratbehr | 34 |
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Sorry about not posting my updated record sheet, I've been mainly tracking my plays on FansUnite which can be found here in case I continue to be lazy about updating my record on plays posted on here (will be slightly different, as there lines/juice is a bit different than standard Vegas and FansUnite doesn't have 1st H lines, which I've yet to lose on): I've got my record on here at 23-13 +8.05. Possible I made a mistake in counting, it's late and I'll double check tomorrow.
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ratbehr | 34 |
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Saints +7, Dolphins +2.5, Eagles +3, Steelers +7
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ratbehr | 34 |
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Bears +7.5 1u
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ratbehr | 34 |
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Redskins +3 2u
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ratbehr | 34 |
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