research

unbeaten teams with 5+ wins after beating another unbeaten team by at least 3 pts at home are 0-19 ats as well as 0-18 straight up when not favored by more than 10 on the road. miami could win straight up but i'll take 7 pts. miami +7

other two goy type plays:

kansas city +5 (32-1 system)

oakland +7 extra juice (16-1-1 system)

all plays smaller than goy type plays are killing me. will only post my best ones from now on. gl

this is last weeks thread. no way im betting houston again this week.

they can try all they want. people forget how different and less experienced this USC team is. rookie QB after his best start at this level will not help either. the guy has 5 TD and 3 int completing 60% of his passes. that's not great. those USC qb's tend to be crowned before they accomplish anything. USC won by 21 last time they were going for revenge against Oregon State. they were much more experienced back then. much more talented too. they had to salvage their season because they lost to Oregon the week before. now it is different. Oregon State Qb is two years older than back then. they have Jacquizz Rogers, a guy who had 180+ rushing yards against USC last season and 180+ rushing yards against Stanford last week. they are more rested.this season USC is finally having a schedule like majority of teams always have, and that's one bye week and not 2 or 3 in september and october (last year they had more than 6 days of rest for each and every game in first 4 weeks). USC is 5-14 ats with 6 days of rest if their opponent has at least 1 more day of rest. Oregon State is 11-2 ATS after bye if they have at least 1 more day of rest then their opponent. they won 7 in a row in this spot.usc already had a letdown after winning their first big game of the season when they lost outright to washington. they were 0/11 on third and 4th down attempts. they outgained washington big time but couldn't win. they led 10-0 and stil lost. oregon state is much better than washington. in their last game they controled the clock against stanford,  a team that usually wins that battle against anyone. as i said before, i could go on and on, but it will not change some people opinion, and changing someones opinion is not my goal by any means. as i said many times, fade, follow or ignore. its up to you. i,m not forcing anyone to play my plays.

nfl goy from last week

kansas is stil a good play but oregon state is much better

see the separate thread. gl guys i will be back tomorrow or sunday with nfl plays. i expect some big ones there as well

revenge is overrated. usc is overrated.

usc had 4 revenge games last two seasons. they covered 2 after a loss and failed to cover 2 after a win. there is a big difference between these two situations. when a team like usc has a revenge game and they also have to bounce back after a loss, it is twice as motivating as a simple revenge game. this time around they go into this game after a huge win, and many of these young guys had no idea what it is like to play and to win at notre dame. this is a sandwich game for them regardless the revenge factor. oregon state has the best coach in the pac 10. these guys excel this time of the year. give their coaching personel extra time to prepare and watch out. by the way, it is not only last year that they played well against usc. it happened in three of last 4. not many teams scored 83 pts in last 4 vs usc. not many teams can say that they played good defence against usc. fyi, oregon state defense held usc to no points in the first half last year, in the second half two years ago and in the first quarter in both of the previous two meetings. oregon state defense has been suspicious early on but in their last two games they really stepped up. they held gerhart to under 100 yards rushing (season low) and luck to 40% passing completions. their run defense was even better against arizona state. the only team that won against usc this season has something in common with oregon state. that's the 3rd conversion offense vs defense. both teams excel in this stat category. oregon state defense allowed only 5/27 3rd down conversions in last two games. i also have a 30-0-1 system for this game that i really like as well as a few small systems. i could go on and on about this game but i really have no time. fade, follow or ignore. gl !

just for the record: i don't expect oregon state to win this game. i pretty much expected both arkansas and houston to win outright. this is a game in which the dog should stay well within the line.

GOY Play:

Oregon State +21

Already posted it as regular play but i'm now upgrading it to GOY. This play is just as good as Arkansas over Auburn and Houston over Cincinnati. Expect the line to go down. This play is much better than any other play this week in CFB. Good luck.

Oregon State +21

Already posted it as regular play but i'm now upgrading it to GOY. This play is just as good as Arkansas over Auburn and Houston over Cincinnati. Expect the line to go down. This play is much better than any other play this week in CFB. Good luck.

can't be auburn, it will be one of the plays already posted. cant say which one yet as i'm hoping to get a better line latter. last two times i posted big plays (houston in the nfl and arkansas in the ncaaf) the lines moved immediately after. i'm not saying it is because of me, but it is probably because of the info i'm getting.

Quote Originally Posted by locitup2xx:

you are the man research.  I'm following some of your plays to the bank.  Keep doing your due dilligence and I'm wating on the NFL Pick.  My guess is that it's ARIZONA +7 or maybe ATL +4 or CLEV +7.  Good luck!

kinda like zona and cleve right now but definately not big

i will have a big play in the nfl this week...probably the 2nd biggest ytd

another deleated thread. not sure why. probably again some bs. guys, stay positive. this is a posting board. no need to fight each other. we have the same goal, to beat the books. i'm trying to help.

So far I have:

Kansas +7.5 (POW)
Michigan +4.5
Michigan State pk
Oregon State +21
Baylor +10
Illinois +10
Bowling Green +8
Virginia +6
Washington +10
Boston College +8.5

one of the plays could be upgraded to a GOY type play...gl

So far I have:

Kansas +7.5 (POW)

Michigan +4.5

Michigan State pk

Oregon State +21

Baylor +10

Illinois +10

Bowling Green +8

Virginia +6

Washington +10

Boston College +8.5

So far I have:

Kansas +7.5 (POW)

Michigan +4.5

Michigan State pk

Oregon State +21

Baylor +10

One of those plays is a GOY material...will update