rg3skins

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replied to NFL Week 3 in NFL Betting Saints -3 (5 units) This is a fade of a Falcons team playing their second straight game on the road, moving from West to East against a division rival that is much better at home. Add in the fact that it's Monday night, and the Saints look like a good pick. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	14	September 24, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 3 in NFL Betting Tough loss with the teaser, serves me right for betting against the best coach in NFL history. Bengals -3 -135 (5 units) This number has moved to -3.5, so I was forced to buy half a point here. The Broncos are off to a 2-0 start behind their great defense and solid running game. But the Bengals have been a very good home team for the last few years and I think they get it done here. Despite Denver's success, Trevor Siemian has been one of the worst starting QBs in the NFL, throwing only 1 TD to 3 INTs. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	14	September 24, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 3 in NFL Betting Teaser -130 (5 units) Texans +7/UNDER 46.5 Waiting for this to turn into a PK and locked in on this nice teaser. Look for a highly conservative offensive gameplan from Belichick with their third-string rookie QB starting his first game on a short week. Gronk is playing but he'll be on a snap count and probably used more as a decoy. The Texans front can generate pressure and I expect the Pats D to really step up and play a great game. Look for a low-scoring game. Only reason I'm not taking Houston ATS is because I can't go against this legendary coach at home. But the teaser looks solid. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	14	September 22, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 3 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by AlexLifeson: Nice picks....I got Bucs -4.5 a few days back and added more Bucs at -4.5 with a Jaguars PK parley. Also thinking of adding SF -9.5 and Pitt -3.5. Your thoughts on Denver and Giants game? I like the Bengals -3. Cincy has been a very good home team the past three years and I still don't buy the Broncos as a anything more than an 8-9 win team despite their early success. I'm a Skins fan so I won't bet against my team, but they've stunk at the Meadowlands the last few years. We could see a bounce back, but that Giants D has looked very good so far. On the other hand, their offense has struggled so who knows. I'd lay off. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	14	September 22, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 3 in NFL Betting 49ers +10.5 -130 (5 units) Don't get me wrong, the Niners are one of the worst teams in the NFL. But Chip Kelly has a knack for making bad QBs look better than they are (see Foles and Sanchez). This is still a division game and you can bet we'll see a better SF effort than we saw against Carolina. This play is more of a fade of the Seahawks right now. Russell Wilson is really banged up, their o-line is in shambles, and they don't have much of a running game right now. If Wilson was healthy, this is a perfect spot for a Seattle bounce back, but he's not, and I see the Niners putting a scare into the Seahawks. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	14	September 22, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 3 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by WussieMan: Thoughts on the jags, bills, or Miami? I lean Jags since I think they're better than they've played the first two games and I just can't see the Ravens going 3-0. The Bills are always tough at home but they're a mess right now so laying off. And I love Miami, which brings me to... Dolphins -9.5 (10 units) Originally I was only going to have one 10 unit play, but I've reconsidered. The Dolphins are much better than an 0-2 team. They started off the year @SEA and @NE which is about as difficult of a stretch you'll see in the NFL. Coach Adam Gase is great with QBs and I see him helping with Tannehill's development. I think he'll shred that weak Browns' secondary. The Browns are missing promising rookie DE Carl Nassib and rookie WR Corey Coleman, who is virtually their only threat through the hair. They're starting their 3rd-string QB, rookie Cody Kessler, a guy who Adam Schefter reported "is not even close to ready." The Browns are a disaster right now. I know it's tough to trust the Fish with so many points but they should be able to win by double digits. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	14	September 22, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 3 in NFL Betting Bucs -5 (10 units) The Bucs were media darlings following their Week 1 road win in Atlanta, with pundits going as far as calling QB Jameis Winston a darkhorse MVP candidate. After getting throttled in Arizona, Tampa looks to bounce back against a Rams team ripe for a let down after their "Super Bowl" win over Seattle. LA has scored 9 points in two games. The Bucs are holding opposing runners to 2.9 YPC and can contain LA's only threat in Todd Gurley. LA has to travel out East after that big win. The Bucs are missing leading rusher Doug Martin, but Charles Sims is a highly capable backup. All we need is Tampa to win by a TD. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	14	September 21, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NFL Week 3 in NFL Betting YTD: 8-1 (+49.2 units) ATS: 6-1 (+38.2 units) 10 unit ATS: 3-0 (+30 units) 5 unit ATS: 3-1 (+8.2 units) Parlays: 1-0 (+6 units) Teasers: 1-0 (+5 units) Week 1: 5-0 (+36 units) Week 2: 3-1 (+13.2 units) Week 3 Picks to come... View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	14	September 21, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 2 in NFL Betting 3-1 (+13.2 units) Get on this train View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	15	September 19, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 2 in NFL Betting You're right, but this play is mostly a fade of the Ravens laying 7 or more points on the road. While their offense is much improved with the addition of Mike Wallace and return of Steve Smith, they still can't be trusted yet. Plus I think Hue Jackson is a good coach and will have his team playing hard in their home opener coming off of a blowout loss. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	15	September 14, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 2 in NFL Betting Teaser -130 (5 units) Panthers PK/Cardinals +6.5/Lions +7.5/Giants +8 Put in my other 3 leans with the Cards. The Panthers should blow out the Niners but I don't feel confident laying 2 TDs. The Lions have a great offense and will be tough to beat at home this year, but I also don't feel comfortable laying too many points with them yet. The Giants' D looked much improved vs. Dallas, essentially shutting down the 'Boys vaunted running game. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	15	September 13, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 2 in NFL Betting Colts +7 -135 (5 units) Bought a point here. This is purely a fade of Broncos QB Trevor Siemian. There's no way he should be laying a TD. The Broncos are getting love here since they knocked off the defending champs, but in my mind they are still a 7-8 win team with that QB situation. Siemian did not impress me at all in the Thursday win. Denver will be in a lot of close games this season. They don't have the parts to blow out a team and I will be fading them when they lay TD+ points. QB Andrew Luck is finally healthy and showed it in a dominant performance against the Lions. The Colts have also had recent success against Denver, winning the last two meetings. Indy could win this one outright. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	15	September 13, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 2 in NFL Betting Cardinals -6.5 (10 units) This is my favourite play of the week and will be my only 10 unit pick. The Cardinals had an embarrassing loss on SNF, falling to the Gronk, Solder, Ninkovich, and Brady-less Pats at home. 'Zona took the Pats too lightly and paid for it. Now they take on an emerging Bucs team that got a huge road divisional win. This is a prime letdown spot for Tampa and a bounce back for the Cards. Don't overreact to Week 1, as the Cards are still a Super Bowl contender. I do think the Bucs will challenge for the division, but this is a bad spot for them. Cards win by double digits. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	15	September 13, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NFL Week 2 in NFL Betting YTD: 5-0 (+36 units) 10U: 2-0 (+20 units) 5U: 2-0 (+10 units) Parlays: 1-0 (+6 units) Swept the board in Week 1. Browns +7.5 -135 (5 units) I bought half a point here (Browns are +7 -120 on my site). The Browns looked like one of the worst teams in the NFL in Week 1, getting shredded by rookie QB Carson Wentz (who looked fantastic). But getting more than a TD at home vs. their division rival Ravens is a solid bet. In the last 9 meetings between these two, the largest margin of victory was 10 points. This is a Ravens offense that looked a bit anemic in Week 1, scoring only 13 points despite being gifted solid field position against a banged-up Bills D. It's tough to lay so many points with a mediocre offense on the road. But the main reason I'm taking Cleveland here is due to veteran QB Josh McCown, who's an upgrade over RG3. Josh does a much better job moving this offense. He faced the Ravens twice last year, winning 33-30 in Baltimore and losing 33-27 in Cleveland. McCown played well in his eight starts last year, throwing 12 TDs to only 4 INTs. This looks like one of the few winnable games on the year for Cleveland. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	15	September 13, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Kaepernick is a douche but he will make you a winner in NFL Betting Yup, Kaepernick will help you a lot sitting on the bench... View Post \| View Thread	tpr09	17	September 12, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL WEEK 1 in NFL Betting My bad on the double post, it showed that the message didn't send on my phone. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	18	September 12, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL WEEK 1 in NFL Betting Week 1: 5-0 (+36 units) I don't think I'm going to be making any plays on MNF. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	18	September 12, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL WEEK 1 in NFL Betting Week 1: 5-0 (+36 units) I don't think I'll be making any plays for MNF. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	18	September 12, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL WEEK 1 in NFL Betting View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	18	September 11, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL WEEK 1 in NFL Betting Adding one more play: Bucs +3 -135 (5 units) Bought half a point here. The Bucs are going to be a much improved team this season. QB Jameis Winston showed some flashes of brilliance in his rookie season, and the jump from Year 1 to 2 is always significant for good young players. Tampa has a ton of playmakers on offense with guys like WR Mike Evans, VJax, RB Doug Martin and Charles Sims. They have continuity on offense with former OC Dirk Koetter now the head coach. Rookie CB Vernon Hargreaves is going to be a stud and this defense looked great in preseason. The Falcons are not a good football team. No pass rush and a declining Matt Ryan. These are two teams headed in opposite directions. The Bucs swept this Atlanta team last season and will get it done on Sunday. View Post \| View Thread	rg3skins	18	September 09, 2016 View Post \| View Thread

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