Ricodamus

Leg 1:  Love Anytime TD (100% hit rate) [-135]
Leg 2:  Leonard 150+ passing yds (85% hit rate) [-198]
Leg 3:  Lovett 25+ receiving yds (93% hit rate) [-188]
            -Went 0 rec for 3 targets last week.  Definite bounceback spot here.
Leg 4:  Stockton 150+ passing yds (100% hit rate*) [-225]
             *Beck hit 150+ in all 12 games.  Georgia is still Georgia.
             -ND allowed 360 to USC QB, 274 to LOU QB, 269 to GT QB.

Parlay pays out (+400).  Good luck!

NYR/FLA understood the assignment.

Shesterkin has allowed 3 goals in each of his last 3 games vs. FLA.  Bobrovsky has allowed 3+ goals to NYR in his last 6 games on HOME ice.  NYR has given up 5 and 6 goals in their last two AWAY games, FLA has given up 4 goals in both of their recent HOME games.

Pick:  NYR/FLA Over 5.5

Freiermuth understood the assignment.

@vaas187

 Circa Sports

"The Good:"  WR receptions vs. KC  Pick:  Pickens (PIT) Over 4.5 rec 

KC limits receiving yards at the expense of giving up short receptions.  Here are the last 3 games...

      vs. HOU -- Nico Collins (7), Tank Dell (6)

      vs. CLE -- Jeudy (11)

      vs. LAC -- Jordan Palmer (6), Quentin Johnston (5)

"The Bad:" RB Rec yds vs. KC  Pick:  Warren (PIT) Under 19.5 rec yds

KC ranks 3rd best at limiting RB receptions (49).  Warren has hit 19+ rec yds in 6 of the last 7 games, and yet this line is sitting at 19.5.  No thanks, Vegas, I'm not taking the bait.  Here are some notable KC games...

     vs. Mixon (HOU):  14 rec yds (1 of 2 targets)

     vs. Hubbard (CAR):  2 rec yds (1 of 5 targets)

     vs. Irving (TB):  10 rec yds (3 of 3 targets)

"The Ugly:"  KC defense vs. TE's  Pick:  Freiermuth (PIT) Over 28.5 rec yds

KC ranks dead last in receiving yards allowed to the TE position.  KC's defense is #7 in fewest rec yds allowed to the WR position, so Russ will probably be looking Freiermuth's way a lot.  Based on his most recent two games you would think this line would be closer to 19.5 rec yds, but it has been set all the way up at 28.5 rec yds.  Follow the money.  Also, you might want to take a stab at his anytime TD (+400).

Merry Christmas!!

 Devils understood the assignment.

The Under 6.5 is 9-0 this month in Devils games, including the first game being a 5-1 W vs. NYR.  Quick's last start vs. NJD as a Ranger, he held them to 1 goal.  Markstrom's last 4 starts vs. NYR went Under 6.5.

Pick:  NYR/NJD Under 6.5

Texas Defense has never allowed more than 204 passing yards all season.  The 2nd highest allowed was Carson Beck (175 passing yards).

Pick:  Klubnik Under 218.5 passing yards (Fanduel)

Columbus is just 2-7 covering the puck line on the road since November.

Pick:  WPG (-1.5)

  5-2 on O/U picks in the last 7 days.

Husso has a .818 SV%, 4.92 GAA in 3 games.  In relief of Talbot, he allowed 3 goals in not even a full 2 periods of play.

Before the BOS @ DET game on 11/23, the last three times that Swayman held DET to 1 goal, the next game of the series he allowed 4 goals.  Guess what he did in his most recent start vs. DET -- he held them to 1 goal.

Pick:  DET/BOS Over 5.5

@Athalon

 That was a disgusting beat. 

Zibanejad Over 0.5 pts is 12-4 (.750) in the last 16 games of this series.

Hischier Over 0.5 pts is 10-2 (.833) in the last 12 games of this series.

Parlay:  Zibanejad 1+ point / Hischier 1+ point (+167)

 5-1 in O/U picks this Thanksgiving weekend. 

Shesterkin allowed 3+ goals in his last 3 HOME starts vs. NJD, which all went OVER 6.5.

Markstrom has allowed 3+ goals in 6 of his last 7 AWAY games inside the U.S.

NYR are 5-1 to the Over 6.5 in the last 6 HOME games.

Pick:  NJD/NYR Over 6.5

 Primeau understands the assignment.  BOS 3-0, End 1st.

 Westbrook-Ikhine understood the assignment.

 McBride understood the assignment.

 Talbot got injured, and Husso wasted no time giving up the lead.

 Najee understood the assignment.

"The Good:" Cam Talbot vs. VAN  Pick:  DET ML (+110)

Talbot is 8-2-1 in his last 11 starts vs. VAN.  DET is 5-1 vs. VAN in the last 6 of the series.  Lankinen has lost his last two starts @ DET.  Lankinen is a perfect 9-0 on the road.  Regression is coming soon.

"The Bad:"  Blue Jackets on the road  Pick:  CHI ML (-105)

CBJ is 1-7 in their last 8 AWAY games.  Mrazek is 3-0 in his last 3 HOME starts, and those were against the top teams in the league (DAL, FLA, MIN).

"The Ugly:" Primeau vs. BOS  Pick:  MON/BOS OVER 5.5

Primeau has allowed 3+ goals in 8 of his 9 starts.  His last start @BOS, he gave up 6 goals.  His save % is only .800 vs. BOS.  Swayman has allowed 3+ goals to MON in 3 of his last 4 starts.  MON has played three other back-to-backs -- the first back-to-back had a total of 10, and the other two had a total of 7.

Goalies understood the assignment.

4-1 this Thanksgiving weekend (+3.4 units)