slamspurs

Dominated the Pistons, especially in Detroit? I don’t know where you get that idea.

Game 1 Pistons were winning comfortably then crapped the bed and allowed the Knicks to cover late.

Game 2 Pistons pretty much lead wire to wire. Knicks made it interesting at the end but Pistons covered.

Last time they played in Detroit the Pistons won and covered as a favorite. 

So i dunno where this “Knicks have dominated them as of late” comes from. 

Keep killin it brotha 

Wolves shooting 20% from 3. If they bump that to 30% this is a single digit game within striking distance of the cover. 

Is Lebron's age gonna show eventually? Usually players that turn 40 can't even jump high anymore. 

Taking Miami. One of these play-in teams needs to show some bite. 

Claw, I appreciate your weekly insights on the NFL. Definitely helps confirm what I'm thinking sometimes because we think alike.

With that said, NBA is probably the worst sport for the way we think. The obvious stuff wins in the NBA a lot. 

You ever try bases? I'm not a baseball fan or really interested in that grueling baseball season, but it turned out to be probably my best sport somehow. 

I play NBA sparingly, and even less during the playoffs. Dunno how you can cap two teams playing each other 6-7 times in a row back to back. 

I didn't watch the game, so I don't know at which point in the game you're talking about. Like how much time was left. I assume the Heat had the ball.

Let me give you a hint though. As someone who has played on the apps a while and checked my cashouts constantly. If the cashout feels generous when you're barely winning, it's more than likely a winner (like your cashout is your stake + 40-50% when you're winning but losing is still very possible). If the cashout feels crappy when you're winning, then don't get too comfortable. A crappy cashout is like your stake +10% when you've got a decent lead. 

If you're losing and it looks pretty bad and the cashout seems generous, then have faith. I've noticed that when a cashout seems generous when it feels like it's over, that team doesn't always win, but they usually make it interesting. And if a team makes it interesting, then your cashout will probably get better.

I assume it was pretty late in the game and down 6. If it looked horrible and the cashout was 33%, that's pretty generous. 

I'll tell you when it's over over and you're going to lose, your cashout is around 10% . I actually used to take those pretty often. 

Next time you decide if you want to take a cashout, decide if it's generous or not. Most of the time when a cashout is worth taking, you still have a pretty decent chance of winning. When it's over and your cashout is so crappy that you might as well keep it, is when you shouldn't. 

@Sharieff

 Bro I did that before when I first started. Frankly, someone who is on a long winning streak is more likely to lose than not.

it’s a 50/50 proposition. Winning 10 in a row is defying probability. And over the long term that person will even out and go 10 under .500. 

This is pretty odd that a 2 seed would be an overwhelming favorite to win the title over all the 1 seeds. It was UCONN vs field in the futures during the final 4. And to be giving this many pts to the team that won the national championship last year gives me pause.

Like last year I think Caitlin Clark was pickem or plus points? Not the case this year. 6.5 is a lot of points, but not really when every women's game has pretty much been a blowout cuz you've got a bunch of sloppy teams that go on long scoring droughts, while one team has that player that can get consistent buckets. 

If he wasn't the overwhelming favorite to go #1 overall i could see him staying. But the NBA rookie wage scale is ridiculous now. I dunno how he can turn down a guaranteed $25M over 2 years. If he's a halfway decent player, he'll get all of it, which is $57M over 4. 

I dunno if he's religious or not, but Utah has a very godly community, and some of the best fans in the sport. If he ends up in Washington, then I dunno. He grew up in Maine, so I don't think he cares about a big market. 

Padres are probably in control the whole game, but Braves keep it close enough to make it interesting. 

Braves +2.5 -115

Padres are probably in control the whole game, but Braves keep it close enough to make it interesting. 

Braves +2.5 -115

NBA is a joke. Wizards were up 17 yesterday against a bunch of bench warmers and lost the game. 

Not even worth watching until the last 5 mins maybe. No lead is ever safe. 

I've seen it all when i saw OKC tie the game down 12 with 2 mins left. Or last night Brooklyn was up 9 with 3 minutes left and had to get a bucket with 13 seconds left to win the game. 

I had Temple -3.5. When they lost the lead I grabbed them again at -200 ML and they couldn't pull through. So not every favorite won today.

I was waiting to take Cal Poly second half tonight. I coulda grabbed them at -115 ML with a minute left, then -1.5 -110 right before the last possession. That 3 pointer at the end pretty much ruined everything. Taking Cal Poly -4.5 with the game line at +4.5 seems like such a ripe opportunity for a middle. 

From the looks of it, Cal Irvine is probably going to cover the +4.5 or they're going to lose badly by double digits. 

If they reach the west finals it'll be a success IMO. They reached there sooner than the Clippers did. 

Celtics didn't win it their first try either. Celtics are extremely well coached, solid all around, and they cut every lead OKC had that whole game until the very end. 

If the spurs lose every game from now on they may get a top 3 pick. I guess that’s the plan.

Dunno why the NBA doesn’t flex. Nobody wanted to see this game.

Thanks for fixing it to show actual record, rather than just ATS record. Probability wise, everyone's around .500 ATS, doesn't tell me that much. 

Big difference between a 25-31 ATS Wizards team and like a 26-32-1 Minnesota Timberwolves team. 

Yes, I was looking at that game, but I'm ultimately going to pass or play it small.

Yes, the Lakers are off a huge blowout win at Denver which was Luka's coming out party. Normally a good spot to fade.

However, I believe Dallas is 4-1-1 after the trade, and the majority of that was without AD.

9.5 seems like a ton of points to be getting for a team that's only lost once ATS in their last 6. Like should be more like in the 5.5 to 6.5 range, not more than 7.5. 

The all star games in the NBA and the NFL are a joke now.

The best part of both weekends are the skill competitions. Flag football and no defense all star games are weak. I dunno what you mean by personality. 

When you're making 50-60-70M a season it's hard to get up for these things. Even the rookies make bank nowadays. The #1 pick has a guaranteed $58M contract. 

Team Candace +6.5

No, the Patriots already have their franchise QB. Drake Maye is gonna be at least a middling QB. 

The draft class is weak. Atlanta and Denver were smart to reach and draft Penix and Nix last season.

Anyone tanking for Shadeur Sanders? Sanders frame isn't going to hold up to NFL hits. Cam Ward will probably end up being more Dwayne Haskins than CJ Stroud. 

Marvin Harrison Jr. isn't even going to crack 1,000 yards this season.