STLTarHeels

UM-Kansas City +4

The Roo's are losers of three straight, all on the road, and now get to come back for some home cookin', and get the Jackrabbits who are 0-6 SU on the road this year, and have in state rival South Dakota on deck. 

Southern Utah +11

Grand Canyon has played exactly 2 games on an opposing campus this year, and lost both of them. Their big advantage is the atmosphere at home, and when they don't have it, they struggle.  Double digits at home is too hard to pass up for a "get up" spot here.

Lindenwood +1.5

This game is about 15 mins from my house, I may attend. The Lions are a tale of two teams.  At home they are 7-1, when they hit the road 1-10.  Although this isn't but a two hour drive for the Redhawks, it's still a foreign gym, against a team that seems to be comfortable there. 

UC-Davis +1.5

Hawaii has to travel back to the mainland, and has two big ones on deck vs Irvine and San Diego, and Davis has won back to back games away from home and must be feeling pretty good. Give me the small dog to win against a lagged Hawaii team, with bigger things on their minds. 

San Francisco +10.5

St Marys hasn't played a top 140 team since before Xmas, and it shows in their six game winning streak.  But the Dons bring more to the table than any of those foes.  The Gaels start the gauntlet of their schedule tonight, and they get their moneys worth .

Illinois -5.5

The Illini are an offensive juggernaut at home, they are back to full health, and although Maryland is 0-4 on the road, every game has been competitive, but this arena is gonna be different.  Super tough place to play, and ILL needs a bounce back from the Sparty loss. 

UC- Santa Barbara +9.5

The Gauchos are coming off a loss to Davis that they should have won, but maybe they were peaking ahead to this game.  It's a revenge spot from December, and I think you get a focused effort from UCSB and keep it within single digits.

GL everyone

6-5 yesterday. 

Campbell -3.5

Stony Brook is one of the bottom 50 teams in the country.  They've lost seven in a row, and do absolutely nothing well.  If they were close to good at something, its shooting from the perimeter, but the strength of the Camels D, lies on the perimeter.  The Wolves turn it over too many times and give Campbell too many offensive chances. 

Northeastern -3

Northeastern hasn't played a home game since Jan. 4th, and they dropped 3 of 4 on that trip.  Now they come home, to a Drexel team that just had to claw its way back to a win at home vs a solid Hofstra team, and is hitting the road for the first time in almost two weeks.  Better coach on a short line.

Wichita St/Memphis Under 155.5

The number has already come down 2.5 pts.  I think people see the style/tempo that these two teams play and think high scoring, but the last two meetings have had similar totals, and both came WELL short.  Memphis shoots the 3 really well, which if they get hot can spell disaster, but I'm banking on Coach Mills having a similar plan to the last two games, and slow it down and muck it up to try and keep it close. It's their only chance.

North Alabama -1

This line opened at Lipscomb -3, so def missed on the best number here, but this is a BIG game for the Osprey, and I fully expect Lane and Fields to be on the top of their game.  Its a big jump in competition for the Bisons too, as their last three have come against teams ranked 302nd or worse. This is actually the best team Lipscomb has played since Kentucky way back in November.

Sam Houston St +1.5

Biggest home game of the year for the Kats, and they are coming off a two game roadie where they lost both.  MTSU is entering on a 3 game win streak, but they were all at home.  The line tells us all we need to know I think, and SHSU gets the needed win on the home floor. 

UT-Arlington +1.5

The Mavs have lost 4 straight in the conference so desperation for that first win should be starting to set in.  They've had a week off to regroup and I'd imagine we get a A+ effort out of them.  Seattle on the other hand is riding a 3 game win streak, but once again, they haven't played a road game since Jan 4th.  The travel to Arlington can't be easy either.

6-4-1 yesterday. Home teams went like 7-30 ATS yesterday.

Youngstown St -3

Really tough spot for the Colonials.  4th game in 10 days, third straight on the road in 6 days, and coming off a win at Milwaukee.  I think the train probably runs out of steam here.

South Florida/Charlotte Under 144

Neither game last year between these two got to this number, and both teams have gotten significantly worse on the offensive end since then.  The 49ers haven't scored more than 68 in a game since Xmas, and USF coming off a game in which they held Tulsa to 56. 

TCU +7

Hiccup spot here for the Jayhawks.  Coming off the Sunflower Showdown win, and they host Houston on Saturday.  TCUs got the 6th best home court advantage according to KenPom, and KU has lost 8 of their last 12 road games SU. 

Xavier/St. Johns Over 149

This one is at the Garden, so it should add a little pep to the step of everyone on the floor, and both teams have no issues with going up and down.  It's certainly preferred for the Red Storm, but Xavier is no stranger to that game flow.  The Musketeers should be able to take advantage of the aggressive defensive style of STJ, and get to the foul line, where they excel. They played on 1/7/25 to a total of 154.

IU-Fort Wayne +1

I can't figure out why this line is the what it is, and it's likely its a trap, but I know I'll kick myself in the ass if I pass on this and they do what I think they will.  

Radford -3

Radford comes home after a very disappointing loss to Charleston Southern, and Longwood is coming off a huge win vs High Point, and this is a rivalry game.  Real bad spot for Longwood.

Syracuse +15.5

Clemson is coming off a huge OT win @ Pitt, come home for this snoozer, and then hit the road again.  I think its a sleepy spot for the Tigers and the Orange do enough with Starling and Lampkin to keep this one within the big number.

Temple/North Texas Over 130

UNTs defense is always gonna be a real strength, and threaten to keep any game under, but I think the Owls try and speed up the Green, shoot a lot of FTs, and UNT makes enough 3s to get this in the mid 130s.

USC/Nebraska Over 143

Nebraskas offense at home is very good, and while they don't run like we used to seeing them do under Hoiberg, they are still very potent.  USC is open to that style of play too, and when I looked at teams that I'd say play a similar style to Nebraska, USC has gotten their fair share.  Kinda scary that this number isn't in the 150 range. 

Georgia -1

This line opened at Arkansas -3 but with no Fland, I'm not sure where they turn for offense.  Georgia is going to need these kind of wins to stay in the at-large talk, so I'd expect a pretty focused effort from the Dawgs as they hit the road into a really tough place to play.

Utah St -6

The Aggies are coming off a game they should have won at UNLV, so I think coming back home and getting a test, is what they need.  Nevada is coming in winners of 3 straight, but against much inferior opponents.  This is a big jump up in competition from Fresno, Air Force and San Jose St.  Utah St offense at home is a machine. 

Gl Everyone

4-4 yesterday.

Bowling Green +9.5

Miami OH has the battle for first place in the MAC on deck @ Akron, and I'm thinking they forget about BG until its too late to blow them out.

Tennessee -8.5

Shit spot for Miss St, as they are coming off the OT win in the Egg Bowl, and get a Tennessee team that just lost to an in-state rival in Vandy.  Jans may be the better coach, but Barnes has the better players, and they take out frustration on a Bulldog team that will crash back down to earth.

Butler +13

Butler has covered this number @Marq and @St. Johns, and both of those teams are better than UCONN. Creighton showed the Huskies just aren't a very good team (considering the last couple years that is), and Matta is a good enough coach to exploit that 3pt defense, or lack their of. 

Texas Tech -1.5

Cincy is a fraud I'm afraid.  313th hardest non-con will lead to a lot of wins, but unfortunately, they have to play real teams in the Big12 which is why they are just 2-4 since league play started.  Tech gets physical on D, creating TOs and easy buckets at the other end.  I don't think this one is competitive for long. 

Boston College/Virginia Under 124.5

This should be one of the ugliest basketball games you could ever watch.  Both offenses are anemic, but at leasts the Cavs play some defense.  As long as both teams are forced to make jump shots, this one barely sniffs 110.

UTSA/UAB Over 162

The pace will for certain be there, and with how UAB plays defense, the Roadrunners should be able to get what they want, keeping this game competitive until late.  UAB brings the most efficient offense in the AAC though, and ultimately pulls away late in a high scoring game. 

Bradley -3

This offense is a wagon, and Belmonts defense is suspect at best. Bradley needs to rack up quality wins, to try and avoid HAVING to win the conference tournament to dance. Their only losses come to top 90 teams, and they are 3-3 in Quad 2 games. 

Seton Hall +12.5

This is a fade of Shaka Smart being a double digit favorite. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a double digit favorite, 

DePaul +7

Creighton is coming off the win @ Uconn, but has to hit the road to a freezing Chicago, against a team that just got their first Big East win since the Regan administration. I think the Devils are riding high, and give Creighton (who has only won twice on the road this year) all they can handle. 

Wake Forest -1

UNC sucks.  Still no inside presence, and now the guards can't even shoot.  Spillers and Reid are gonna feast in the paint.

BYU -5

The big advantage the Buffs have at home is the altitude, but BYU plays at altitude as well, so no advantage there.  BYU is a finesse team, so teams that are physical on defense give them problems.  The Buffs aren't going to make them uncomfortable, to the point where they can't run their stuff.

Good luck everyone

11-8 Saturday.  Took yesterday off.

William and Mary +6

Penn/Harvard Under 140.5

Yale/Dartmouth Over 152.5

Brown +8

Drexel -3

Georgetown +9 (buying myself out if Sorber doesn't play)

Rutgers/Penn St Over 156

Montana St -5.5

Good luck everyone

4-4 yesterday.

Virginia/Louisville Over 130

UCF +13.5

Detroit +10

Georgia +6

Fairfield -8

Xavier +10

Virginia Tech +4

Queens +5

Stanford/UNC Under 155

USC -1

Tennessee -5

Loyola Chicago +10

Notre Dame -4

UMASS-Lowell +4

West Virginia +6.5

San Jose St +13

Mizzou -6

Northern Iowa -5

San Francisco -3

GL Everyone.  Another great Saturday slate.

7-5 yesterday, but should have been closer to 10-2.

VCU/Saint Josephs Over 143.5

Villanova -9.5

Robert Morris -6

Youngstown St/Milwaukee Under 146.5

Indiana/Ohio St Under 149.5

Iowa +6

Fresno St -4

Boise St/New Mexico Over 151.5

8-5 yesterday.

Temple +7.5

Coastal Carolina -1.5

St. Peters -1.5

Michigan/Minnesota Over 144.5

William and Mary -3.5

James Madison -6.5

Jacksonville St +3.5

UM-Kansas City +8.5

UT- Arlington +1

Rutgers/Nebraska Over 146.5

San Francisco -6.5

Oregon St +9

GL Everyone

6-6 yesterday

South Carolina/Vanderbilt under 142.5

Wake Forest -6

UAB/South Florida over 156.5

southern Illinois/Missouri state over 137

Iowa State -5

Massachusetts +1

California/North Carolina over 160.5

Colgate -3

FAU -2

Colorado +3.5

Pittsburgh -3

SMU/Virginia under 135.5

Texas +2.5

good luck everyone

I took a week off in Orlando to play some golf and reset. Let’s see if it worked.

Xavier -3
Miami, Ohio -10.5

Indiana +4.5

Texas A&M +7

Mississippi state +7.5

St. Louis +10
Syracuse +8.5

Northern Iowa -13

Missouri/Florida over 154.5

San Jose State +9.5

Iowa/USC over 161.5

Baylor +5

Good luck everyone

@GiantS-Unit07

 On Vegas insider, Ballys and BetRiver have a 7. Interesting. Scores and odds also at 7. I see 2.5 too.

Why did it jump to 7?  Injury I'm not seeing?

Man, I just took almost a week off cause I was getting slaughtered.  It's been a gauntlet.  You'll rebound, no doubt. 

Rhode Island -6

Temple +3

Bradley -1.5

Arkansas -3.5

UCF -6

St. Bonnie/SLU Over 142.5

Rice/North Texas Under 123.5

Penn St +9.5

Texas AM/Oklahoma Under 147.5

Stanford -9

Virginia/California Under 129.5

GL Everyone.  Another great slate of games.  SLU/Bonnie and Drake/Bradley should be awesome. 

7-7 yesterday.

LaSalle +2

Villanova -1

Seton Hall -3

Many more to come but these tip soon

2-8 on Sunday.  Real good stuff. No sense in wasting peoples time with why I'm gonna lose, so here are the plays to fade.

Xavier +1

Akron -8.5

Florida -3

Duke/Pitt Under 143.5

Clemson +3.5

UAB -8

Iowa -4.5

Kansas St +2.5

Baylor -5.5

Auburn -10

LSU/Missouri Over 151.5

SMU/UNC Under 167

BYU -1.5

UCLA -2.5

Great night of games.  GL everyone.

Illinois/Washington Over 154

I expect a little regression from Illinois offense off the 109 pt showing @ Oregon, but the pace will still be there, and this offense is very very good.  The European guys can really play, and Boswell has been a huge addition at the PG spot.  I think ILL still gets to the mid 80s so Wash only needs to get to 70 for this to hit. 

Oregon -4.5

I just think the Ducks get a response win here at home after getting their dicks blown off by the Illini.  They hit the road after this, so definitely need a win before a Big 10 road trip. Maryland on the second game of a looonnnggg road trip, just doesn't seem like much of a get up spot.  They've got a 10ish hour flight to look forward to afterwards. 

UCF +5

Kansas is 0-2 SU on the road, so getting points here is nice.  UCF has already beaten A&M and Texas Tech who I'd compare to KU, and UCF has always played well in their own gym.  KU just got beat on their home floor, so would expect them to be fairly sharp today, but their road woes worry me, and UCF getting points on their home floor is enough for me to pull this trigger.

Memphis -8

North Texas' defense is very good, but so is Memphis', and its the Tigers offense that separates these two for me.  Haggerty and Dainja are quite the duo and they are wayyy to athletic for UNT to keep up with, especially on the road. Their offense just has too many gaps in scoring, while Memphis has a couple guys to get a bucket to end a drought. 

GL Everyone.  And thanks to Penn St for coming out of the locker room at the half. 

9-8-1.  It's not a loss. 

Penn St -8

No Reneau for IU, who is by far their best offensive player.  Penn Sts only home game at the Palestra this year, so the place should be going bananas.  Penn St by double digits and I don't think its even a sweat. 

Loyola MD -1.5

Lehigh has a lull spot here I think.  They just beat Bucknell in OT on Thursday, and now hit the road to a team that is desperate for a win, who haven't played on their home floor since before Xmas.  Also, Lehigh has to stay on the road next, @ Colgate, which could prove to be a match up of the top teams in the Patriot at the end of the year. 

Canisius +11

My biggest concern is the Griffs come out showing some rust after having two weeks off for the holidays.  But if any team could use a reset, its an 0-13 team headed into conference play.  They also played a top 100 non-con schedule, so probably a tiny bit better than their record would suggest.  Sacred Heart probably shouldn't be a double digit fav to anyone right now anyway, as they haven't won against a DI opponent in over a month. 

Rider -2

Another team coming off a long break, but again, the break came at right time.  The Broncs have lost 7 straight, but now get a fresh slate, and need to get in the W column in conference.  Manhattan just played on Friday, and lost a heartbreaker in double OT @ Siena.  Now have to go play a desperate team in their gym.  Rider being a fav in this one should be pretty telling.

Marist -1.5

In a one possession lined game, I'll almost always take the home team, especially one that is used to winning.  Their schedule hasn't been tough by any means, but learning how to win can't be understated. Both teams sit top the MAAC at the moment @ 3-0 along with Merrimack, so it should be a pretty spirited effort from both teams.  Two contrasting styles as far as tempo goes, and the home team usually is able to control that more with the crowd, so give me Marist in a rock fight. 

Holy Cross +7

American hasn't won a game in a month, and just lost @ Navy by 20+.  Holy Cross on the other hand is feeling pretty good about things, as winners of 4 straight.  Two teams headed in different directions.  According to KenPom, American has dropped nearly 40 spots in the power rankings since the beginning of the year, while HC has jumped 40 spots.  Almost scary that I'm getting so many points here. 

I'll be back for later tips in a bit.  GL everyone

2-5 yesterday.  Auto fade until further notice.

Oklahoma St +8.5

Detroit Mercy +8.5

Arkansas +12

VCU/Loyola Chicago Under 139

BYU +10

Fordham +6.5

Drexel -5

Rhode Island +1

SMU +8

Kansas St +3.5

Northern Iowa -4.5

Marshall +1

Missouri +18

Virginia +5

Radford +2.5

Pittsburgh -9.5

Texas Tech -2.5

Texas AM -6

GL everyone, I hope someone makes money today.

4-7 yesterday.  Just shit. 

Akron -6

Temple -1

Iona -3

Iowa +6.5

Ohio St -2

SLU -2

New Mexico -5.5

Tons of chalk.  What could go wrong.  GL everyone