StocktonShorts

Ruin lives. Then Ruin lives.

Most suspect result of this bowl season....and it happens in the Bronx....not a coincidence

Money heavy on Pitt Yale over, two teams can fill it up push pace

Football game in the lane, twice had to stop play because players were injured. Had an intentional foul on a face break, where a guy jumped ontop of a another players back.  Every shot in the lane guys are getting hammered in the head, pushed, arms hit. Every screen is getting bumped, pushed, several players hit in the head on jump shots. Several times players dribbling were shoved and ball was knocked loose, no foul. 3 times a player made a shot, but it was waved off because of a foul but "before the shot" even though the whistle came after the basket was made.


Entire 1st half, Pitt and Yale shot 2 free throw2.


Everyone sit back and think about that. Think about what you've been watching and these "emphasis" calls and 2 free throws were shot the entire first half. Only 8 fouls, even though players were getting injured it was so physical.

2 Free Throws.


Keep telling me they "Always call it tight early in the year" They absolutely do not, they call it however way they bet.

Well its under if the refs want it under. Then they wont call any fouls, like you see in the Oregon Tenn game. Body checks all day long, guys getting hammered in the paint without calls, Oregon with a steal and in a break away and Tenn wisely intentionally fouls him, no call ball goes out of bounds.

If the refs wanted over, thered be 30+ FTs by now.


They have complete and total control and for everyone that says "Oh yeah they call it tight early" they don't. They call it however they want early. You cant claim all games are called tight and watch this Tenn/Oregon game and say the same thing. This is as loose of calls as it comes OH except for offensive fouls. They're calling those juuuuuuust fine.

Emphasis is on freedom of movement, so allows refs to call a ton of defensive fouls at their leisure, so if you're a ref and want to make an extra $500, just call all the fouls you want until it goes over and collect, and nobody would or could ever know and its all under the guise of "emphasis"

But look at Tennessee Oregon right now, heavy money on the over, both half and game, and look how its being called. Offensive fouls taking away points and they're hammering players in the paint with no call, keeping people off the line, letting the game get sloppy for an under.

If you cant see these things I cant help you

Exactly, its a "Hey refs you can make some extra cash so you don't beg us for more money" early in the season

So is everyone aware of it, or are they blind?

Rambling thoughts


-The elephant in the room Jacoby Brissett. Really had trouble vs back side blitz vs Miami. Rest of the time he looked fine.

-Houston relies more on the edge rushers and up the middle blitz from LBs then backside blitzing

-Houstons D had trouble vs Chicago AND KC with their short passing game and the Houston DLine is bad at run tackling. Watt and Clowney both get too far into the backfield (looking for sacks) and while Wilfork takes up a ton of room, the guy isn't agile enough to stop a RB from reaching the hole if its not directly at him. Cushing used to clean that up for them, but he's out. Houston better against QBs who hold the ball and look deep.

-Conversely New Englands entire offense is quick hitting underneath stuff and we all can probably agree we'll see a fair amount of Blount tonight, who is already tough to tackle, and should exploit Houstons weakness with run tackling.

-Houstons offense has been underwhelming, really a lot of average stuff, and on top of it they've gotten deep one on one catches down the sidelines from Hopkins and Fuller to bail them out. Take those plays away and Houston really hasn't done much so far this season. All else is failing, throw a deep jump ball to Hopkins or Fuller outside the numbers. That's been their gameplan this year. 

-Osweiler has a great deep ball. Really gets a nice loft on it with good velocity, and it drops right down to the WRs. However he has no touch with the underneath stuff. 5 yard outs are tough for him. Slants usually are not thrown where the WR can continue running. Osweiler throws everything like its a fastball, leaving the 5-15 yard routes to be a dicey proposition.

-New England is really good against the deep sideline routes. Their safeties (McCourtney,Harmon, Chung) are very good at keeping a top on WR routes and they have the speed to get sideline to sideline. Usually when you throw deep to the sidelines vs NE you have to drop it over the DB but infront of the safety, rarely is it an easy jumpball (like Houston has feasted on so far). You can pass on NE with short stuff and deep middle stuff in front of the safeties. Osweiler hasn't been very good at either.

-Osweiler is very good at burning blitzes if you can't land. He stands tall, and finds and exploits one on ones. Hes pretty good in the pocket, but you can rattle him coming up the middle on a blitz where he doesn't have anywhere to step up into. Not crazy mobile.

-I believe this is Osweilers 4th road game as a starter, and 1st in prime time. Also Houstons first road game, and on a short week, after an emotional win over KC (revenge).

-Houstons kicker can't reach the endzone on kick offs, if you believe in NEs special teams, that semi important. NE will choose to short kick, but with more loft and hangtime.

-Gronk is back, but has never caught passes from Brissett, even in practice (until yesterday)

-My personal feeling is this is a bad spot and matchup for Houston BUT BUT BUT BUT BUT Jacoby Brissett. That's the real question here. As the MIami game went on, Brissett did look better, and he has good feet, able to get away from trouble, however did not do great stepping up in the pocket, would rather run out the side. Houston has Clowney and Watt rushing deep edges, preventing that and creating the pocket. Brissett will be throwing short and handing off to Blount all day (both Houston weaknesses), but do you trust him on 3rd and mid? Will he turn the ball over on a strip sack? That's what you're betting on if you ask me. 

Give me your thoughts and lets figure this game out.



 

It was the matchup. Trae Waynes was left by himself on Adams while Jordys had coverage over the top and on him for the back shoulder and they clouded the mid routes for Cobb. So Adams was basically one on one with a much smaller Waynes who was getting flags thrown on him all night and really playing awful.

I agree Adams and Rodgers have never been on same page, Rodgers looks like he wants to kill Adams most of the time.

But that's why he threw that way so many times. Jordy could run a perfect route and still be covered where as Adams was essentially open at all times (by NFL standards)

Over 43 tonight is a decent play just because any positive plays either team have, will probably be big ones.

I expect a ton of 3 and outs, and big yardage plays. Not a lot of dinking and 3rd and shorts.

Going to need Red Zones to be good tonight, Chicago is going to jumpball it in the red zone and I like their chances. However don't know what Philly will do. No Ertz, Wentz looked great on deep posts, but not so hot throwing the 5 yard out, so in the Red Zone don't know where he'll go with the ball. Runs I guess?

Also Wentz will throw a pick tonight (Chicago ball hawks better than they actually cover) and Cutler will too and might even fumble on a sack. It just depends on if those happen in the redzone or the other side of the field. You get 2 of those on the other side of the field, and your golden. If two of those happen in the Red Zone, then jump out the window.