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Tenn +4.5 and over 39 AR
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Covers | 43 |
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if -5 looks good and -4 even better...why is no points bet look bad? if you are so sure that your team will win and cover why don't you take a no point bet (even at 4 to 1 odds)? just a thought...
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Covers | 9 |
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Rams have been playing very good the last two weeks but those wins might be contributed to the lowly teams they faced.
Have to think this is another low scoring defensive battle and getting more than a field goal sounds like easy ATS winner for Arizona Cardinals. Final Score Prediction, Arizona Cardinals win outright as underdog 19-17.
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Covers | 60 |
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The Falcons will definitely have some weapons to attack Green Bay’s secondary with, most notably Julio Jones.
And any success through the air should help a running game take advantage of the Packers’ true defensive weak spot – stopping the run. Green Bay is 28th against the run, giving up 4.5 yards per carry and 132.3 yards per game. Atlanta rushed for 142 yards last week against a Cardinals defense that still ranks among the best in that category. Expecting Atlanta to run run run the ball...
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Covers | 64 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Noonkid: I NEVER tease games...but I kind of had the urge for some reason. I got Bowling Green +8.5 and Under 54.5 GL GL
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Covers | 71 |
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Bowling Green Falcons (6-3, 6-3 ATS) Ohio Bobcats (8-1, 4-5 ATS) On one glance, it really looks like the 8-1 Bobcats that have only lost to the Miami Redhawks should be able to beat the 6-3 Falcons at home. However, the insinuation that the oddsmakers have thrown out there right now is that Ohio is in a whole heck of a lot of trouble, and I have no choice but to agree. There are two different facets of this game that I like about this one. The first is as well as Bowling Green’s defense has played this year, especially of late. The 27 points allowed to the Toledo Rockets doesn’t look so bad, and there was really no expectation going against the Virginia Tech Hokies the week later on the road. Knock those two games out, and the Falcons have averaged allowing just 7.7 points per game this year. In the last five games, the Falcons have outgained teams by a whopping 219 yards per game. The second is how badly the Bobcats really have played in spite of all of their wins. The win last week over the Eastern Michigan Eagles didn’t do anything for us, especially when you consider the fact that there wasn’t a win before that by more than a touchdown against an FBS team since September 8th makes this all the more dangerous. This might be a nice game to tease, but I also think that the Falcons are going to win this game outright when push comes to shove. Bowling Green @ Ohio Tips: Bowling Green Falcons
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Covers | 71 |
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Quote Originally Posted by THE_PUNISHER: hmmm, well certainly you couldnt take trends from the past 4 years into perspective could you? i mean you could prly 2 years at most, but any college ball nothing is ever consistent.players,coachs,even Confrences change. BOL to your under. I love the over. |
Covers | 80 |
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Quote Originally Posted by THE_PUNISHER: hmmm, well certainly you couldnt take trends from the past 4 years into perspective could you? i mean you could prly 2 years at most, but any college ball nothing is ever consistent.players,coachs,even Confrences change. BOL to your under. I love the over. |
Covers | 80 |
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Arkansas State (4-3) at Louisiana (4-2)FACTS & STATS: Site: Cajun Field (31‚000) -- Lafayette‚ Louisiana. Television: ESPN 2. Home Record: Arkansas St. 3-1‚ Louisiana 3-0. Away Record: Arkansas St. 1-2‚ Louisiana 1-2. Neutral Record: Arkansas St. 0-0‚ Louisiana 0-0. Conference Record: Arkansas St. 2-1‚ Louisiana 2-1. Series Record: Louisiana leads‚ 21-18-1. A pair of Sun Belt Conference foes currently sporting 2-1 league records meet on Tuesday night‚ as the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns entertain the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Arkansas State have won back-to-back games for the first time this season‚ beating FIU (34-20) and South Alabama (36-29) to move to 4-3 overall. The Red Wolves have played well away from Jonesboro over the past two seasons as they are riding a five-game road winning streak against conference opponents‚ although they haven't beaten the Cajuns in Lafayette since 1992. Louisiana opened the season with wins in four of its first five games before losing on the road to North Texas last Tuesday night‚ 30-23. The Cajuns are happy to be back home as they have one of the SBC's best home field advantages at Cajun Field. They have won eight straight games in Lafayette‚ with their last home loss coming in November of 2010. These two programs have played a very tight series dating back to 1953‚ with Louisiana holding to a slim 21-18-1 lead Arkansas State possesses one of the best offenses in the conference‚ averaging 31.3 points and 448.7 yards per game‚ including a Sun Belt-best 215.1 rushing yards per contest. It does a great job protecting the quarterback as well as the offensive line hasn't allowed a sack in four of seven games. Ryan Aplin is one of the top quarterbacks in Sun Belt history and he ranks third among all active FBS players in career yards with 10‚569. This season has been no different for the senior signal-caller‚ as he has passed for 1‚591 yards with 11 touchdowns against only two interceptions while rushing for another 244 yards and three scores. Alongside Aplin in the rushing game‚ David Oku has played well at running back‚ carrying the ball 125 times for 544 yards and seven touchdowns. Rocky Hayes has also made an impact with limited touches‚ gaining 231 yards on only 21 carries (11.0 ypc). Freshman receiver J.D. McKissic (46 receptions‚ 493 yards) has stepped up his play of late‚ scoring a touchdown in three of the last four games (all ASU victories). Josh Jarboe has also been a reliable receiver with 31 catches for 321 yards and three scores. Arkansas' defense has not held up to its end of the bargain this season‚ allowing nearly 29 ppg. The unit surrendered 29 points to South Alabama in its last game‚ which is the second-lowest scoring team in the conference. Nathan Herrold has a team-high 69 tackles and also has an interception and two forced fumbles. Tim Starson has seven tackles for loss and 1.5 sacks‚ but as a team the Red Wolves have just nine sacks total. Among Sun Belt teams‚ only ULM scores more than Louisiana (35.5 ppg)‚ although it is coming off a game against North Texas where it only recorded 12 first downs. Quarterback Terrance Broadway has played even better than the man he replaced in the injured Blaine Gautier‚ and he's coming off 349 yards of total offense and two touchdowns last week. He's completed more than 60 percent of his passes on the season for 877 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions while rushing for another 219 yards and four scores Alonzo Harris and Effrem Reed split time in the backfield and have been effective‚ as both average 5.1 yards per carry while combining for 657 yards and six touchdowns. Javone Lawson (321 yards)‚ Harry Peoples (315 yards) and Darryl Surgent (273 yards) each average more than 50 receiving yards per game. Lawson and Peoples are tied for the team lead with three touchdown receptions apiece. The defense has been suspect in allowing more than 422 yards of total offense per game‚ but with a scoring defense of 25.3 ppg‚ it surprisingly ranks second in the Sun Belt. Rodney Gillis has accounted for four of the team's 13 turnovers with three interceptions and a fumble recovery. Cordian Hagans has 2.5 of the team's nine sacks. In a showdown that features pair of quarterbacks that can make plays both within and outside the pocket‚ this midweek matchup is sure to have plenty of fireworks. Arkansas State seems to be hitting its stride offensively‚ but it still has plenty of issues on the defensive side of the ball‚ which will come back to haunt the Red Wolves in a hostile road game. Predicted OutcomeLouisiana 34‚ Arkansas State 31 |
Covers | 80 |
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took ULL -170 on money line & teased ULL +3 1/2 & over 55 1/2
good luck!
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Covers | 80 |
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Why isn't anybody taking home team on a money line? You won't have to worry about any spread.
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Covers | 80 |
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Quote Originally Posted by eddothebook: No. You are basically doing what I like to call an "anti-parlay". Your odds of winning are good but the risk/reward is shit. It's like someone else making a parlay against YOU, the bookie. Whenever a player makes a 4-team parlay against me, I am always sweating bullets because the payout is so big compared to what I can win, even tho I only need 1 out of those 4 to lose. They usually lose but sometimes they win, wiping out several week's (or months) losses in one shot. Thank you - Let me think about this...
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RantinRave | 173 |
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I came up with is a system where if you bet the same game (teams and over/under) you are GUARANTEED to win 3 out of 4 outcomes.
The wins are: Win 1 $30 Win 2 $40 Win 3 $90 But, if you lose, you pay $225. Is this something worth trying?
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RantinRave | 173 |
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Anyway - I WAS so close to have it perfect - except that Italian defense fell asleep at the 2 goal.
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tadlodz | 7 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Iainsc2: So far so good? you had 400- 100 under 1.5 goals and got 1/2 of this back
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tadlodz | 7 |
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So far:
Lost 400 on the under 1.5 at the half Won 200 on Spain leading at half time and Spain pk at half time Will at least push on over 2 goals - but this one is most likely a win Still need Italy to score Corners 4 - need 6 more yellow cards 1 each - need more by Italy (I'm sure they will be coming) and 1 more by Spain 2 half pick: Over 1.5 goals risking 200 to win 220 |
tadlodz | 7 |
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So far so good
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tadlodz | 7 |
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Also, took over 2.5 yellow cards for Italy risking 140 to win 100 and over 1.5 for Spain risking 120 to win 100
In the last game Italy got 4 cards and Spain got 3 - so boths bets might work
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tadlodz | 7 |
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Spain vs. Italy: Euro 2012 Final Preview and Prediction On the third day of the tournament, defending champion Spain started their attempt to remain champions of Europe by facing Italy. Spain, who remained the juggernaut of the tournament in the first match, found themselves stopped by Italy in a 1-1 draw. Using their classic defensive approach, Italy played a strong match. On a warm afternoon in northern Poland, Italy's three defenders stymied the attacking options of Spain. Italy did this through a variety of different tactics. They applied more defensive pressure in their defending third, which was evident in Spain completing just 80 percent of their passes in that area, while they completed 92 percent of their attempts on the other two-thirds of the field. The Italians' pressure allowed them to successfully complete all 15 tackles that they attempted, along with intercepting 35 passes. Those 35 interceptions of Spanish passes is the highest total registered by Italy in any of their five matches in the tournament. Italy's defense was stupendous against Spain in their prior meeting. Spain's quality has not been questioned much in recent years. After defeating Italy on penalties in the Euro 2008 quarterfinals, Spain have been on an unprecedented run that saw La Roja win their first European Championship in 48 years, along with the first World Cup in Spanish history. Heading into this Euro, no one knew what to make of Spain. Already without two Barcelona superstars in David Villa and Carles Puyol due to injury and with reports of a divide in the Spanish camp, Spain were no longer considered to be the favorites to repeat as champions. But Spain unified as a squad and have been superb since that 1-1 draw on June 10. After three wins in regular time and a victory on penalties against neighbor Portugal, Spain find themselves in the final. Spain has watched different players star on the offensive, despite not using a striker for a majority of the tournament. Spain's midfield has been their biggest story of the tournament, thanks in large part to their successful use of a six-man midfield. The five players who have started every match in that midfield—Xavi, Andres Iniesta, Sergio Busquets, Xabi Alonso and David Silva—have all been superb. Not only have they created numerous chances, but they have completed over 1,700 passes at an 88 percent clip. Other midfielders, such as Cesc Fabregas and Jesus Navas, have been stars whether they have been afforded the opportunity to start or come off the bench. Both players were responsible for important Spanish wins in Euro 2012, and are the x-factor for their success. Italy have found their success through a strong defensive effort. In Euro 2012, the Italians have conceded just three goals, despite facing the likes of Spain, Croatia, England and Germany. Defenders such as Georgio Chiellini, Andrea Barzagli and Federico Balzaretti have brought a strong mix of experience and youth to this Azzuri side, propelling Italian football forward. But Italy's most important player has been Andrea Pirlo. After missing most of the 2010 World Cup due to injury, Pirlo has once again proven that he is one of the world's best midfielders with a performance worthy of UEFA's Player of the Tournament. Pirlo does have a goal and two assists, but by passing at an 88 percent clip and his 15 chances created have provided major dividends for Italy. Pirlo was exceptional against England, with a cheeky penalty in the shootout highlighting a great performance. But Italy have been more than just Pirlo; players like Mario Balotelli and Danielle De Rossi have also been superb. Balotelli's brace against Germany and De Rossi's strong play in both midfield and defense have been critical parts for Italy's success. Both sides have gone with steady formations throughout the tournament. I think, instead of using a six-man midfield again versus the Italians, Spain will employ three traditional midfielders in Silva, Fabregas and Iniesta on top. Italy will maintain that defensive framework that has worked wonders since the final match of the group stage. In the last 318 minutes, the Italians have only conceded one goal against opponents such as England and Germany. The only goal conceded was on a penalty in extra-time to Mesut Ozil in the semifinal. The midfield of Claudio Marchisio, Pirlo and Di Rossi will be the most important part of the Italian game. They provide the critical link that starts counterattacks, which may be the only way that the Italians have a chance of scoring. On top, Balotelli and Cassano have worked well together in the tournament. The play of Balotelli has been critical, especially considering his poor performance against Spain in the group stage. Balotelli has shown signs of maturity and is in position to win the Golden Boot for this tournament with three goals already on his record. Spain have met Italy seven times in major tournaments, but have never managed an outright win. The only success La Roja has achieved against the Italians came in a penalty shootout at Euro 2008 in the quarterfinals following a 0-0 draw. The last two Euro finals were decided by a single goal. But considering how Italy absorbs pressure and how Spain attacks, it is probably safe to guess that this could be a scoreless draw. Only once before has a European Championship been decided on penalties. That took place in 1976, when Antonin Panenka took his now-famous penalty to give Czechoslovakia the trophy. I think Spain will come out attacking (the same way as Germany did), but they will be more successful and will score at least one goal. Spain 2 Italy 1 (1:0 at halftime) Bets: Under 1.5 at Halftime risk -400 to win 100 Spain pk at halftime risk -200 to win 100 Spain to lead at halftime risk 50 to win 100 Total over 2 for the game risk 100 to win 105 Spain to win risk 100 to win 115 Over 10 corners risk -280 to win 200 (in the first game there were 9 corners 7 for Spain and 2 for Italy). This time I expect more than 9 - at 10 it will a push Both teams to score risk 100 to win 140 Good Luck!
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tadlodz | 7 |
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Italy For 120 minutes Italy dominated an ultra-conservative England side. The woodwork was struck twice, the offside flag halted celebrations as the ball finally hit the back of the net, but after 35 shots, the Azzurri could not register a goal. A victory on penalty kicks brought a euphoric reaction but as the dust settled, Italian coach Cesare Prandelli must quietly have fretted over his side's inability to turn their fine play outside the box into goals. Mario Balotelli had a fine match; he never gave the English central defenders a moment's peace and looked a menacing presence in the box. Yet the maverick striker failed to make the most of the several opportunities that fell his way. Like Balotelli, the rest of Italy's forward contingent possess undoubted quality, but there remain doubts over their ability to become a decisive factor in tight games against true quality opposition. Antonio Cassano, who has started each of Italy's matches so far, has in many ways exceeded expectations at this tournament. Another controversial figure, Cassano came into Euro 2012 having only returned to first-team action with Milan in April following heart surgery last November. The 29-year-old looked in fine fettle as Italy's impressive performance against Spain owed much to his causing problems drifting in behind the Spanish full backs. But in that game as in each match since, Cassano's performance dropped off before he was inevitably substituted. Having played 78 minutes on Sunday, there must be doubts over the former Sampdoria star's ability to be at full fitness against Germany. There is even a suggestion that Alessandro Diamanti may get his first start of the competition as a true trequartista having impressed against England after replacing Cassano. Prandelli's other selection dilemmas against Germany are in the key area of midfield. Last time out Italy began with a narrow four, with Riccardo Montolivio making his first appearance of these finals at the head of a variation on a diamond. There is likely to be a strong temptation for Prandelli to start with Antonio Nocerino, after the Milan midfielder look a real threat breaking into the box after coming off the bench late on against England. But it could be Thiago Motta that comes in to offer a better defensive option against the Germany's intimidatingly-strong midfield three. Germany Germany has been dominant in the middle of the pitch so far at Euro 2012. Sami Khedira has demonstrated that he is much more than just a tough defensive presence as he is often restricted to atReal Madrid. Alongside him Bastian Schweinsteiger has perhaps not yet reached his peak, but showed his quality with two fine assists to Mario Gomez against the Netherlands. At the head of the trio, Mesut Ozil's displays have been the pick of the bunch as he has looked imperious going forward. The young player that burst onto the world stage two years ago is now a controlling fulcrum of this side. Against Greece some of the one-touch link up play he was involved in with the exceptional movement of those around him was a joy to behold. This is a German side that has moved on considerably from the counter-punching outfit of the 2010 World Cup. Yet Joachim Low is far from resting on the laurels of what his side has achieved thus far. In the quarterfinal with Greece, the long-standing coach left out two of the stalwarts of his side in Lukas Podolski and Thomas Muller in favor of youngsters Andre Schurrle and Marco Reus. Particularly with Reus the move paid dividends as Germany produced some scintillating attacking football. Not only was the move perhaps a wakeup call to any overly contented members of his own squad, but it was also a demonstration to the competition of the awesome strength in depth they possess. Certainly, in Europe, only Spain can come close to the wealth of options at their disposal. Also impressive in the quarterfinal was Miroslav Klsoe. The veteran front man came in for his first start of the competition and scored a typically headed goal to stake his claim to be named ahead of Mario Gomez against Italy. The talent that Germany can count on to threaten in the box is what could well the difference in this semifinal. However, Germany has looked far from impregnable at the back. Conceding two goals despite dominating a limited Greek side will not have please Low. While part of their porousness can be attributed to the team's attacking ethos, there are also doubts about some of the individuals in the German defense. Jerome Boateng has looked especially vulnerable playing out of his Bayern Munich position at right back, while there is a feeling that Mats Hummels and Holger Badstuber are not yet a rock solid pairing in the middle. The question remains whether Italy can exploit the openings that may come their way. In what promises to be an entertaining matchup featuring two positive-minded teams, chances should not be at a premium. Yeah… it is likely that Italy's lack of firepower up front will finally cost them as Germany's greater attacking threat will be the difference in a close encounter. |
tadlodz | 3 |
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