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We're now at that part of the game where a rookie bettor pleads with God, telling the almighty that, if the Yankees win, he'll never bet again.
Veteran bettor says, ya God, I'll sit out the Boise State 1st half...
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Digitalkarma | 128 |
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Though Arrogate over Gun Runner was my prize moment today.
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TheDrizzle77 | 7 |
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Not much room for input when you have the half V6/half Herculean mastery of Arrogate in this race. Naturally he draws a beautiful post at 9, though I feel like he and Smith handle a lot better on the inside position. What should it though (PP) as this horse starts better than most I've ever seen regardless of what position.
My main thoughts go to those that you can play the OVER role on your straight exacta ticket. So my top candidates Gun Runner- who has been pretty hot as recent as the Razorback (ran the 1-1/16 in 1:40!) Easily at his absolute best right now, and that could be noticed in a really fine finish at Breeders Cup. With Geroux aboard GR he's my current top pick to come closest to Arrogate's contrails. Most impressive race I've seen from GR was the Clark where he knocked off a pretty damnn good field including Shaman Ghost and Breaking Lucky. Hopportunity- is racing well but hasn't done much in a G1 since Gold Cup at Belmont, and Effinex the only real threat in that one. Aside from Arrogate I try to avoid the over-hype that seems to attach to most Baffert horses. Hopportunity reminds me a lot of Cupid where the horse does have its G1 wins, but nobody worth raising a brow over was beat in said race. When you put some prime closers in the lineup, Hopportunity never seems to keep pace on stretch. He'll tire out in this one, I just have the feeling. Mubtaahij is clearly in a different zone on home track here. Finished out of the money just twice in nine races at Meyden. handled himself quite well behind Chrome in last years World Cup. Got beat by a freak in Shaman Ghost in Woodward. So I guess they set this one right at 8/1. And that's it. Oddsmakers are on the money with this. There is absolutely no way in hell I could consider any of these other horses. You certainly have a who's who as far as names in this race, but what have you done of any importance lately campaigns ala Keen Ice, Neolithic and the lunatic himself Lani. Early plays. Exacta Arrogate over Gun Runner Trifecta Arrogate over Gun Runner/Mubtaahij. Considering a heavy duty play on Gun Runner for place, show. No $ figures yet. Please add, share or critique!!!
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TheDrizzle77 | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ProudJagsfan: Sorry the game is in Orlando. Weird, I had sources telling me different things. That changes things imo. Who the hell needs "sources" when figuring out whether a team is playing home or away? Source 1: They're home. Source 2: They're away. Source 3: They're neutral. That's some Ace Rothstein with the chalkboard in the back room of the truck stop type info you must be catching. |
ProudJagsfan | 23 |
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He blew out a quarter mile today for final prep run.
(400m) in (22.20 seconds) to the wire. He galloped out in (37.40 seconds for 600m) and 52 (seconds for 800m). Pretty good stuff. Taking a liking to the track it would seem. With Imperial Hint out there is no doubt he'll be favorite. I just hope St. Joe Bay catches enough money to make MYB's price worthy enough. With Rosario on board it only heightens by favoritism to MYB in Shaheen. Hard to justify backing any other horse right now.
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TheDrizzle77 | 7 |
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Three things I learned from The Rebel.
1. Don't buy the hype on American Anthem, another overrated TVG up Baffert's butt pimping the horses every move because they act like everything BB touches is Arrogate-esque special. 2. Todd Pletcher and his horses are white-hot; and if JC is aboard for Derby, I will have a hard time overlooking Malagacy. 3. NEVER FADE THE RAGIN' CAGIN' ON A 99/1 SHOT TO FINISH IN THE MONEY AGAIN!!! |
mikeyp1 | 12 |
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Love Summers training this horse now. If he runs, I think he's going to boat race the field in the Shaheen (maybe St Joe Bay gives him a run down stretch.) I feel like this horse has more to him than just a late closer status. He's got serious wheels, and I really think he can get out in front as early as two furlongs and be comfortable.
I do like St. Joe Bay to place. Anybody eyeing up this race?
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TheDrizzle77 | 7 |
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replied to
***Macwesties Tues. Mar. 21, 2017 * NCAAB "NIT" College Basketball Play***
in College Basketball |
Macwestie1 | 27 |
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Richmond 2 of 9 from 3-pt line, but matched TCU with 17 field goals a piece in 2H.
Ohhh but TCU 5 of 11 from the arc. Flamethrowers
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TheDrizzle77 | 4 |
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replied to
***Macwesties Tues. Mar. 21, 2017 * NCAAB "NIT" College Basketball Play***
in College Basketball
Well every circus needs a ringleader. Or at least a self-entitled bearded lady!
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Macwestie1 | 27 |
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I'm counting on TCU to be vintage you, Jamie D. Sit on that ball, run that half court deflated set where only somebody five feet from the goal with three seconds on the shot clock is allowed to shoot. Then give me switch off defenders and mismatches galore so we can finally get some ball screen and finish action. Sans offensive rebounds I hope. Spiders do your part. Richmond +1
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TheDrizzle77 | 4 |
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replied to
***Macwesties Tues. Mar. 21, 2017 * NCAAB "NIT" College Basketball Play***
in College Basketball
Glad to see Covers is still a thing, and that my account is still active!
Good to still see you smokin' college roundball too!
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Macwestie1 | 27 |
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replied to
***Macwesties Tues. Mar. 21, 2017 * NCAAB "NIT" College Basketball Play***
in College Basketball |
Macwestie1 | 27 |
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Chevy test group commercials with people that unequivocally signed up just to be on television, hoping that kissing the bumper of some sh*tbox Chevy Silverado after saying something witty will somehow catapult them to film stardom.
If that doesn't irk you, then you have become another snack for the never-stuffed stomach of the advertising boogeyman. |
JEFFMARKETCAP | 26 |
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And when I say "they" playing Wazzau in '12 I mean Pitt. I am aware that JD has only coached the Hornys for a year.
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Cantiflas23 | 9 |
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Line and movement are the two most overused, overrated and no-substance having words consistently used in the history of Covers.com.
I've been betting regularly for well over a decade and line movement has and will never play a role in my picks. Why should it? So Floyd Mayweather drops 100K on a college basketball game and the line swings heavy, and naturally Floyd is the "sharp?" Situations happen like this all of the time. "Sharps" can be a herd of public buffaloes with a giant lion costume on. I know that wasn't you that talked about this, OP, but it drives me nuts to see it in a reply. You are spot on with Richmond IMO BUT with the pts. Being very familiar with Jamie Dixon and his style, he scares me in a tournament that is NOT the NCAA. It's all about practice right now and not so much the game itself (reference his pressor right before they played Wazzau in CBI finals in '12.) Practice-heavy, no real pressure = a JD team close to its best. So with that I just think in this situation you are going to see TCU close to its best with half court defense. Defense-first, defense-middle, defense last type coach. If this is the case, his players are consistently some of the best in 3 pt fg % defense, and that could cause a problem with Mooney's agenda. You could see them defending the 3 better and better as each game goes by. They (Richmond) still have other answers like Kline in the post, and a couple of slashers that can handle themselves on-ball. Surely they won't limit themselves to the behind the arc, but will they get as good of looks as they've had the last two games? I'm doubting that for 1H anyway. I see Spiders down a lot early, but resilient with comeback. I got TCU just finishing them in a 4-6 pt finish between two teams that are simply playing their best basketball. 1H TCU for me. Full game Richmond. Just some bums rotten opinion though. Go with your visceral feeling. GL!!!!!!!
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Cantiflas23 | 9 |
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They won the 2017 championship game of the Mid-American Conference over the runner-up Akron Zips, 70-65 at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio on March 11.
I believe that is how they became eligible for the 2017 NCAA Tournament.
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hillardoh1 | 17 |
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And I had Houston -4.5 in the 1H.
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jrgumpert | 20 |
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I've had worse beats. Not many of them though.
2H Under 30. Implausible to handicap a total with one team that plays full field transition basketball and the other team has Tommy Tuberville.
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jrgumpert | 20 |
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I can't remember the last time I even won a half under bet, but under 30 tonight with a 2-0 score in a settled 3rd quarter.
Feelin' great.
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TheDrizzle77 | 2 |
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