Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
i thought teams actually WANT to make the playoffs..
|
themouse | 7 |
|
|
is this a preseason game for them??
|
themouse | 7 |
|
|
replied to
Biggest Parlay play of my LIfe this weekend.. but want to discuss one of my plays
in NFL Betting
for kobe and prospect
my 7 picks are phil +3 oakland +1.5 washington +1 seattle +1.5 KC ML Buffalo ML N.E. ML
|
themouse | 9 |
|
|
NFC
1. DALLAS 2. SEATTLE 3. WASHINGTON it is not the vikings. they will lose in phil this weekend and then lose the next 3 out of 4 games AFC 1. New England 2. New England 3. Tied between Buffalo & Kansas City Pitt without ben will go 5-5 or 4-6 starting. oakland gets 4th place
|
themouse | 1 |
|
|
replied to
Biggest Parlay play of my LIfe this weekend.. but want to discuss one of my plays
in NFL Betting
i like to bet parlays only. it challenges me to have to really cap each game since all must hit to get paid. and i learn from my mistakes.
last weeks two losses where raiders and pitt. KC coming off bye. (i knew andy reids 15-2 after bye record) but i ignored there running game and focused to much on oaklands passing game. they are a better road team then home. the pitt game was fishy to me cause everyone and grandma was on pitt to cover over dolphins but the line never moved off 7 that was a red flag laying 7 on the road. the week before i hit 6 games but i took jets at home against seahawks. taking a bottomfeeder QB against a top 3 defense was sadly over looked. this week i am very comfortable on all my 7 plays. |
themouse | 9 |
|
|
created a topic
Biggest Parlay play of my LIfe this weekend.. but want to discuss one of my plays
in NFL Betting
i have a 7 team parlay this week. i am 6-1 and 5-2 last 2 weeks on 7 team parlays. so this one is for a six fiqure payout.
i want to talk about one of my plays minn @ phil +3 (open 2.5) when looking at minn first glance at 5-0 you would think it looks good at under a field goal but in NFL betting we all know when it looks to good its probably not. The vikings have beaten: Titans - road packers - home panthers - road giants - home texans - home if you look at these wins these are not top ten teams right now. now they are going into phil. who is on a 2 game losing streak( both on road) who must win this week to keep up with the toughest division in NFL. the opening line of -2.5 is a trap play. the books know it was going to 3 to lay the 5-0 record will entice the opening money and again they are right. now a home dog of +3 against a 5-0 team who has not beaten a top ten team. phil is 2-0 at home so far this year and i get a field go to boot after 2 straight road losses. phil +3 is the right play here. |
themouse | 9 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by Mancity: So garbage I don't know where to start lol You have better chance picking all dogs ! Mancity, there are times when you know one team will show up and play harder than the other, then you look at talent, then as a bonus if they are at home. in that case you take the favorite but to increase your chance to win the parlay and not get greedy you kill the point spread and just win the game. the advantage is in the game itself not the points in a spread. i look for these type of games. which usually one happens in the playoffs.
|
themouse | 22 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by cxxx27: absolute lock ... tailing you a smart man....... go for the big one..
|
themouse | 22 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by sideJOBplay: Rams fisher is 8-1 vs TB last 9 game rams just emptied there tank to beat seattle with def at home. now traveling across country.no offense
|
themouse | 22 |
|
|
Gentlemen , i rarely ever post here but i have the best 8 team parlay here i have ever seen in one week and put together and im going big on it. it pays 19.8 to 1
Betting $2500 to Win $49,772 i may bet $5,000 to Win almost $100k Im going to spread the wealth this week boys. This is worth a bet. #1 Miami ML -485 Against Browns at HOME Miami at home can beat anyone. starting out 0-2 at Seattle and at N.E. played them both tough now against the worst team in football (browns) hungry for a win with season home opener LOCK #2 Green Bay ML -319 against Detroit at HOME Season Opener coming off division loss to Division Rival with another Division Rival who lost at home to the titans. LOCK #3 Tampa Bay ML - 218 against Rams at HOME Another Season opener at home against a rams team who has no offense. who scored a total of 9 points in 2 games traveling across country. and TB coming off loss to a pissed off arizona team who lost to pats TB Defense at home plus a well improved TB offense LOCK #4 Carolina ML -295 against vikings at Home No Peterson leaves just bradford in his second game against carolina def plus cam and company bradford in the dome is one thing to barely get 17 points in carolina on grass in hostile enviroment at least 2 picks by bradford #5 Dallas ML -325 against bears at Home. Dallas D plus Dak and Offense against second worst team in nfl no offense and cutler hurt. LOCK #6 Giants ML -205 against skins at Home. Giants at home are just to good of a team with to many weapons against a division rival who is sinking can take hold of division with win giants to strong here #7 Chiefs ML - 153 Against jets at home. KC is on a 8 game home winning streak and is a different beast at arrowhead. they dont quit which showed against chargers. jets on road was 4-4 last year. jets lose this one #8 Raiders ML +110 against Titans on road. Oakland plays better on the road scoring 63 points in last two games while tenn has scored half that at 32 points in 2. the raiders should be favored and is a bad line. they are the better team also coiming off home loss opener. they bounce back. comments welcome. someone please tell me any reason one of these picks are wrong and why.. these weeks dont come along like this very often. anyone want a piece of this.. THIS IS A WINNER...... Good pickens to all... The Mouse out....... |
themouse | 22 |
|
|
"Time to put it rest. Tom Brady is the GOAT at QB with 5 Superbowl Rings"
|
themouse | 2 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by porkdinner56: you might be right. i see chiefs playing better football all around then the steelers and they host championship game gives edge to chiefs IMO. eveyone is all over carolina and cards. its the 2 time defending NFC champions seahawks that are the scariest team right now and they are beginning to peak at the right time again. they are one bumbling stupid call away from back to back championships. Seattle vs. Pittsburgh if you got 3 downs, one time out left and only 4 yards to go to win the game you hand the Fu#$in ball off to the best running back in the league..
|
themouse | 23 |
|
|
AFC #5 chiefs will beat #4 texans #6 steelers will beat #3 bengals #5 chiefs then at #2 patriots chiefs win pats are to banged up and poor defense #6 pitt at #1 denver . steelers win AFC championship #6 steelers at #5 Chiefs at home. they beat the steelers NFC #5 packers at #4 redskins Redskins win #6 seattle at #3 vikings seattle wins big #4 redskins at #2 cardinals cardinals win against avg. team #6 seahawks at #1 panthers . GAME OF THE YEAR. lynch will be in lineup i see seattle win cam gets dominated by legion of boom in playoffs #6 seahawks at #2 cardinals. seattle stomps cards again like today palmer is flustered whole offense goes to shit. Prediction Seahawks vs. Chiefs Superbowl 50
|
themouse | 23 |
|
|
went 6-1 last week with only loss with pats at home.. but i love my picks. alot of talk show hosts and people picking opposite of my plays makes my plays stronger.
steelers +3 eagles pk 49ers +1.5 lions -3 colts pk saints +4 texans +3.5 packers -7 steelers- close game steelers are peaking and i like the free 3 points gives the edge bet to steelers eagles - at home tied for division lead, they have alot of play makes on all sides of the ball. the win in n.e. has boosted confidence in team. bills lays eggs on road games 49ers with gabbert are a better team than most realize against bad browns team.people think johnny manziel is johnny unitas. hes not. lions are playing good football right now and should have won last week against g.b.. defense has stepped up notch and stafford is looking good now last 4 games. against nick foles.. lions maul rams just like on the african plains colts- i see a great bounce back game against division foe tied for divsion lead and hassleback is 4-1 as starter. pitt is that good...colts are not that bad. jax lays another 4th quarter egg for colts saints- everyone is on bucs here with defense but the edge play is the +4 with brees. winston is a game manager not TD tactitioner. i actually see saints outright win here or cover the 4 points. texans - pats on road with low reciever core. texans defense will rush and sack brady and the defense for n.e. has cracked. i see a double digit win by houston in this game. packers - at home does boost gb even though 2 losses to lower divisions rivals this year at home. packers is really due for a breakout game high scoring win. all the money is on dallas. im with the books on this one. i see a double digit big win for green bay here. time for the mouse to get a big piece a cheese for the big bad cats (books). good pickens to all..... |
themouse | 14 |
|
|
i would like to see a top ten list each week of the worst game changing,point spread change worst/corrupt ref calls in the nfl.
this is what you have to deal with on top of beating a point spread. 1. offensive holding (10 yard penalty and cancels any gains on play) kills offensive drives 2. defensive holding (5 yard penalty but automatic first down) gives new life to offensive drive 3. phantom roughing the passer (15 yard penalty auto 1st down) gives new life to offensive drive 4. defensive pass interference ( spot of foul auto 1st down) gives offensive drive new life and free points 5. late hit out of bounds when runner is just pushed out to stop gaining yards but runner fakes severity of push and makes it look excessive force was used. (15 yard penalty auto 1st down) gives offensive drive new life ' please add what other b.s. that affects the out come of games. comments welcome
|
themouse | 2 |
|
|
after watching this double ass raping by pats offensive play callers and the bought off refs. i now expect brady when you have a 4 point lead in a road game in shitty snow ass cold weather with 3:30 minutes to go and your opponent has 1 time out left and in stead of running the ball for 2 downs get 6-8 yards (or more). kill 90 seconds off clock and then run or pass on 3rd down for remaining 2-4 yards to get first down and win the fu&king game like any normal peewee league flag football coach from nowhere can figure out to do. even if 3rd down fails. you killed last time out and 2 min off the clock. and everyone is dropping passes due to weather anyways.
why go deep???? phantom calls by refs im disgusted with the NFL as a sport. it is not. its all about money and thats it.
|
themouse | 5 |
|
|
spent more time capping games in detail. made a couple of changes. i scratched seattle, phil, chargers from my parlay and i like dallas ML, arizona ml,.
so here are the plays.. Road - Dallas ML Home - detroit -1 Home - bears +1 Home- vikings -1 Home - carolina ML Home - arizona ML Home - Patriots ML $1k Wins $30.49k pays 30 to 1 |
themouse | 1 |
|
|
pats at home monday night is a great teaser with carolina
|
98ITR | 4 |
|
|
making the bet in the morning one hour before game time. im removing the seahawks at -13 and replacing it with phil ML -260
to many points on seattle to kill my parlay.
im uping the bet to $1k to win $30.56k pays 30 to 1. home field advantage week. |
themouse | 7 |
|
|
Home- bears +1
Home- chargers +3 home Detroit - -1 home minn - -1 home pats ML -320 Home seattle -13 home carolina ML -325 $700 to win $30k ok fellas, last 3 weeks were freak weeks many upsets and should not win wins happened. this week is the correction week. the home teams here win and cover. 1. bears - i like bears at 4-5 want to be 5-5 with jay at home testing another good defense. back up QB for denver on road. i see another loss for denver here. 6 games left for bears at 5-5 is division run or wild card 2. chargers - chargers at home in primetime they play well with rivers. hes always dangerous. division game and i get 3 points at home. chargers are the play here 3. detroit - the win in green bay gives detroit huge confidence against raiders. i like the home field edge when everyone will be on oakland 4. minn - im all aboard the vikings cover every week train. at home to get 2 games lead on g.b. with better defense and run game. pressure rogers and you got the game. 5. seahawks -13 i like seahawks at home off loss to cards against s.f. i see a big game by seattle here. they will score 40+ points here- blow out 6. Carolina ML at home undefeated. redskins on road. dont like the spread but i like the home win by carolina. 7. pats ML if my parlay is still alive for monday night game and if i had a gun to my head and was told to bet everything i had on football. i would take an undefeated patriots at home on monday night football with brady and company with no spread just win. this week is home field advantage week. what should happen will happen this week. The Mouse looking for a piece of cheese from the big bad cats (books) and may the refs be with you........luke skywalker |
themouse | 7 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.