Tony1979

Tony1979
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replied to WNBL
in Other Pro Basketball

Bit unlucky a late 3 pointer after an offensive rebound with 15sec left. Got me

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Tony1979 3
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replied to WNBL Townsville -3.5
in Other Pro Basketball
Good luck Noclue 

The Fire overall are the better team. It be a good game this one. Got no bet but if I was I be leaning towards the Fire. 
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noclue 5
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created a topic NBL
in Other Pro Basketball
NBL on tonight. A good game. 

Adelaide 36ers versus New Zealand Breakers. 

This game is set up for the 36ers to cement their spot in the top 4 after the Tapains lost last night. At home and they are a good team that can beat anyone. Sometimes thoe they do go missing and have cost backers in recent times. 

The Breakers, They been better than what most thought this year. Like Perth but not as good they just don’t have bad seasons. At home they are a fortress. 

36ers lost their last two and they are more than due. Breakers form not the best either in recent times. Winning 2 out of their last 5. 

What most interesting is that the 36ers have won their past 2 games this season against each other including that big 15 point win in NZ. 

To me this shows that 36ers are confident against the Breakers. And I think they will win. The start is 3.5. Is that too much. I saying no. 

My bet Adelaide 36ers -3.5 

Good punting Good Luck. 


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Tony1979 1
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created a topic WNBL
in Other Pro Basketball

Hi to everyone. 

A good night of cards on the WNBL tonight. First up is the Adelaide Lightning  v Bendigo Spirit. 

My betting ideas and reason why. 

Adelaide have been big improvers this year. At times they looked really good but have shown a lot of times as well that they are not in the same class as Lynx and Fire. 

At home tonight in a must win game playing a team who just want the year over. The Spirit have been the big club in Victoria for the last few years but have lost that mantle truely to the Rangers and Boomers. 

The Lighting and the Spirit have played twice this season. One game going OT. That game was at Lighting which they end up winning and not long later they meet in a return leg that Lighting had a good 13 point away win. 

Both teams have only won 1 game in their last 5. 

Lighting thoe in their last 5 had a lost in overtime to a quality team in Sydney. A 2pt lose and a 1pt lose. So their finishing off close game is a worry. 

Spirit has had a good solo win in their last 5 over Rangers. But had 3 games where they have lost by 30 or more. That a team that lost confidence and just wanting the season over. 

I taking the Lighting tonight -13.5. This game is not only a must win but a confidence booster. They are at home and the big start I don’t mind. This is a chance for them to get into that finishing teams off mode that they lacked in recent games. The Spirit will try and if it close they may get stubborn. I only give them less than 10% of winning the game. I think they get wooden spoon so they not really playing to avoid that. Good luck. 

My bet Adelaide Lighting -13.5

Good Punting Good Luckcool

 

 

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Tony1979 3
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created a topic AFL
in Rugby
Western Bulldogs ml $1.96. Ladbrokes 2units. 

Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide Power. Two teams fighting for a bottom spot of the finals positions. 

I like the Western Bulldogs in this one as i think there form is not too bad. Thoe they havent hit the heights of last year and they are a team who not getting things to fall for them like last season finals i think they are still a play off finals team. They are at home and i think that the do or die situation will get them over the line. 

Port Adelaide Power had such a great start to the season winning all the time but second half of the year have run out of gas, lost confidence and look like they have ran their race. Not a fan of them on the road either. 

For those reason mainly i like the bulldogs while it not an in depth write up. Sometimes you got to not look into it too much. This is one of those games. 

Cheers, Good punting. 
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Tony1979 1
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created a topic Hello
in Rugby
Hi everyone. Thanks for those that send positive comments on my post last week with my afl correct and Nrl before hand. I going to write up another write up and thoughts on another game later this week. Sports betting to me is a bit like the stock market got to sell out of teams that runs are coming to an end and at times take a team with the start who had hit their lows in previous losses with the line. Collecting past dividends with a team either with the line or head to head as we know dont always stay the trend for long. 

The write ups allows me to have a birds eye view of what in front of me. It easy to just see one angle and say i going that way and that it but as we know "trap bets" are everywhere in the forest of betting it up to us to use our tools to spot danger and go with gut feeling to final destinations

I been on the forum in patches over the years. I not one to say i the best and always right.  I am a bit like Target2million i here to help others  with some knowledge that could be useful. What i may see or say might be a light blub moment for your betting that results in a win either if it against mine. Cause at the end of the day we are a bit like Robin hood in our endavour of sports betting. 

I not one to write my past history results nothing against those that do. I never get 100% correct and no punters has but my results will determined in the long run anyway of how i going. As betting is winning or losing. 

Cheers. Good punting. 


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Tony1979 3
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replied to EuroBasketball
in Other Pro Basketball
It depends on the style of ball they play. i think it go unders but no play for me. Greece will have to have it overs if they win. 
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Tony1979 2
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replied to AFL
in Rugby
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Tony1979 4
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created a topic EuroBasketball
in Other Pro Basketball
EuroBasketball Womens. 

Turkey -5.5 against Greece. 2u

Quarter final match. Turkey undefeated in their pool games. Did it in quite good style with just the one close game against Italy. Double digit win against Lativa Belarus and Slovakia. 3 teams that are only middle of the road but did the job well. I like the fact in two of these games they won on the defensive with teams scoring only 50 point range. 

Greece. Had 2 win and 2 loses in their pool match. I think there group was a little tougher than Turkey. Lost to France and Slovenia. But creditable wins against Serbia and Russia. Two of the better European womens teams. 

For that i think the line is smaller than what i think it be for not that win against Russia. Turkey won their only 2 appearance both two years ago. Recent one by 11. 

Just like the Turkey team. I think they will continue the strong performance they done so far this tournament. Greece needs it close for most of the game. If the Turkey team shoot well early i think Greece will be pressured too much. 




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Tony1979 2
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created a topic AFL
in Rugby
Thursday night AFL. 

Hawks +50.5 against Crows. 2u

On paper a lop sided game. A flag favourite at home. Playing the hawks who are a lot like a world champion boxer that had went on one fight too many. 

Hawks. A season that has been one of there worst so far in modern time. Just the 4 wins this year. A couple of players that are on the veteran list and some players that just not quite ready to spread their wings. Last week they had a bye. A time to reflect after a lost to the Suns who they have dominated in recent matches bar this one. They have showed at team a team like their yesterday finals days. Wins over Swans and Demons who both are making good winning streak at this present shows their is still life in them. 

Crows. A team that is favourite to win flag at various time this season. A high scoring team when in the mood can destory teams and they can tonight once again. Love playing at home and at night. Thoe they had some strange losses. Kangaroos one was out of the blue and this sort of moody football do happen to be in there game. They had a strong win over the Saints last round after a tough lost to title hopes Cats. 

After a look into the form and situation of the two teams. I think the Hawks will show some fight tonight. They are second last on the ladder but are better than that. While i dont see them winning this game or making the final. 50 start is a good start to have. This start is big due to the high scoring Crows as i have mention earlier but they do have their lapses. I can see one tonight. But the Crows will win around the 30 mark. 
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Tony1979 4
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replied to NRL
in Rugby
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Tony1979 2
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created a topic NRL
in Rugby
Rabbits -10 2units. 

Rabbits at home playing an away Titans team to start a shorten round of only 4 games. 

Two teams that sit 13th and 14th on the ladder both on 4 wins from 13 games. For and against has the Titans slightly in front of Souths. 

Looking at the past 5 games of these teams to try and get some understanding on where they stand. 

Rabbits last week played a Top 4 team in Brisbane Broncos. Rabbits have been slow starters in this game and in fact a lot of games this year. In this Brisbane game they hit back after beening 12-0 down and look like it was lights out. But when the game was on the line the Rabbits just cant push forward and Brisbane once again shoot away with Rabbits hitting back with the game beening over. A trend that has happened a few times this year. 

The week before they played the Eels a winnable game but couldnt reel them in after a slow start again. Some say because the play in Perth against Storm the week before but i think it no excuse. It been a pattern of their play this year. 

The game at Perth they were in it all the way against Storm and have been quite well. They can match it against the big guns but have hadnt a win since they played a troubled Tigers team that really showed the white flag this year already and fighting a battle with knights for the wooden spoon.

Titans last 5 games have lost 3. Recent games was against a warriors team who havent won in Australia for a long while. Titans scored early and looked to go on with it but a quick reply back was pretty much ended their attack. 

Week before they lost to the Cowboys without Thurston. A game that even up their chance but didnt take. Their last win was against the top team of Storm who had their strong team was able to scored 38. This Titans team can do this. This was the team biggest win of the season. But it looked to be once in a blue moon win. 

After looking at their recent games the Titans have lost Wallace and Hayne. Two players who can help change games and start a rally. No rabbits players are in Origin. They have a better forward pack on paper and think the backline is at least even maybe a tad better. 

I liking the rabbits their losses in the past two week have been not that bad. They are at home and i think playing the Titans at the right time. It near on season ending for the loser and that may be a bit of a worry for the line to cover. But i think if the rabbits start well they will go on with it tonight. 
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Tony1979 2
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replied to Battler's NRL Round 1
in Rugby
Welcome Aussie. Hope you have a great season champion. I am on the Sharks as well with the start. 
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Aussie Battler 6
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replied to T20 Big Bash 2016/17
in Other
Hey Battler mate. I like the Hurricanes too tonight champion. They been a bit unlucky will be stronger with Bailey in the team after not named in ODI. Thunder are gone. Cant backed them they had their glory last year. Wooden spooners this year to me. Good luck. 
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Aussie Battler 27
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created a topic Houston ML
in NFL Betting
Houston can sow up a playoff spot with a win over the unpredictable Bengals. Houston have such a great home record at Texas with just the sole lost to San Diego recently and this season.

They have a great rushing team. And can take some risk knowing that if they lose today they have another chance to clinch the division against Titans who lost a major player this week.

But Houston will win and i taken the money line only, as that is a great price. Houston has been always good in recent times during the regular season and i believe they add another division title today.
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Tony1979 1
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created a topic Gasquet Sock.
in Tennis
Two players once again well match up in terms of rankings. Gasquet 19, Sock 24. Both had good pevious win. Gasquet won a recent title where Sock still waiting to win another one since Houston 2015. Head to head record once again is interesting 3-0 to Sock 2 on hard court one on grass. The grass game was this year. Both players had good results on hard court Sock record 27-15 Gasquet 22-11 this year. Gasquet do get injured at times he had a recent one but seems to be ok. Sock played a few games in recent times and seems to enjoy the iron man style of tennis. He more the risk taker of the two players where Gasquet plays a smooth game with technique. I going with Gasquet. He win this match to me. The longer the game the more it play in Gasquet hands as he mentally tougher player. Gasquet to win 1u.

Good Punting.
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Tony1979 3
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created a topic Cllic Goffin
in Tennis
Two players on around the same ranking, Cllic 10, Goffin 12. Interesting game. Cllic coming off a solid title win in Basel. While Goffin had a win lose win lose ratio in his past 2 tournament. Goffin got a 3 -0 head to head record against Cllic which i was surprised to see. All of these wins have been this year. 2 on hardcourt and one in Davis Cup. Cllic is the better player in my eye. He got more weapons and when he on he on,and in the last week he been on. Goffin is a crafty player works on you but just missing something. He hasn't won a tournament for a couple of years now suggesting that his game is not threating and needs errors from better players. Cllic has at times play a fair bit below his best he can be hot and cold but to me he on fire at the moment. He won a glam slam and can stay on the hot mode for a least a few weeks. Goffin will feel and know that he can beat him as i mention earlier he holds a credit record over the Croatian. But i betting on the Gameline. Cllic -2.5 1u. Set betting a bit dodgy and not confident in be straight sets. Goffin may take a set. I taken the game line as i feel that Cllic can win a set on quick time and wipe that minus in no time.

Good Punting.
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Tony1979 1
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replied to Is this the year of the Sharks.
in Rugby
Well done Sharks.
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Tony1979 10
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replied to AFL GRAND FINAL 2016
in Rugby
Western Bulldogs played their grand final last week. But me too would like to see them win the flag if they do they have more than earn it. With away win against Eagles. Beat defending champs Hawks and roll talented Giants. If they top Swans it be a finals team best result for years.
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peekay89 8
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replied to Is this the year of the Sharks.
in Rugby
Well well. The fairytale continue. Who be the wicked witch Storm or the Raiders. Think the Sharks will win it from here.
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Tony1979 10
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