Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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What's his name?
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PLAYAAAA1969 | 13 |
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Good to know that you haven't lost any money on these NOs because you will. YES or no play. Historically the YES hits at just over 50% and is highly correlated to the full game O/U.
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Wally1317 | 12 |
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You probably should put the lines you are playing on all these NOs as you are likely playing a lot of chalk. You can't win playing the NO. 95% of the time the correct play is either YES or no play. You'll figure that out soon enough. GL
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Wally1317 | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by DanTos8715: can't blame gray for this they can't hit Exactly. 2ER in 8IP for Gray. Good enough for the win most nights. |
doggydog | 76 |
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Shocking.
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otmshank | 12 |
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lostboyca | 3 |
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Over the long run, you're gonna need +105 or better on games where the O/U is between 7 and 9. Those are all coin flip games over the long run on the first inning prop.
GL with your plays. |
thetomcat1 | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by whodamanny76: I think you should skip the game and spend some extra time in English class ! |
baronman | 10 |
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Did you get +money on each of those lines? All 6 of those games are basically coin flips, between 48% and 52% chance on the YES.
GL |
thetomcat1 | 4 |
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Cool story bro.
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joker1000 | 18 |
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Without digging into the numbers, I would suspect that the % of games going into extra innings is correlated to the size of the ML favorite.
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adbelt | 21 |
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The hold on those 3 way MLB bets is usually 3 to 4 times higher than the hold on the 2 way bets. It's ridiculous.
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adbelt | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by dimndimn: doesn't know that an mlb draw is just another recently created prop with extremely high hold percentage usually played by suckers THIS^^^ |
adbelt | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT: For August its Yes 129 No 128 really close Yup. Like it's been the last 9 seasons I've been playing/tracking this prop. The YES hit 52-53% of the time from 2005-2007 and now around 51% of time since then. |
KiefferJDs1 | 11 |
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Looking at those first inning pitcher stats, you would think that the YES rarely hits on that prop. Actually, the YES hits more often than the NO.
GL |
KiefferJDs1 | 11 |
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It all depends on the line with the first inning prop. You're likely getting bent over badly on those NO prices.
GL |
DRE-DAY | 2 |
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Looks like this thread is getting moved too.
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shiveringheights | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by radiobam: fixed i tell ya. More inside info? Just like this thread? https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=41&sub=101666507 |
radiobam | 19 |
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Just like the Wednesday Det game where you were convinced it was fixed, right?
Another day, another fixed game thread by radiobam on covers. |
radiobam | 19 |
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Quote Originally Posted by rammerjammer10: I played $50 in yes score in 1st inning. +105 The first inning prop on all games of O/U from 7 up to 9 are pure coin flips. Any time you can get +odds on the first inning prop on any of these games, take it. Give me +odds on a coin flip every time. GL |
mlbwatch11 | 10 |
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