trace_mcdirt

Memphis is a sucker bet. Memphis only needs 2 wins from their remaining games to lock up 8 seed. They will eventually get it, but with team being too young and inexperienced, they won't make it easy. They won't get a win here. They will get a win in their next game and one win at the end against teams that are probably resting starters.

Plus, NBA wants the Pelicans and Zion to still be alive for the race for 8-9 seeds, along with Spurs and Blazers. If they lose here, season over. This is why Spurs vs Pelicans on Aug 9th is scheduled to be on ABC. Because that game will be an important game and Pelicans won't be dead yet. That means they win here.

It's the age of being offended by everything LOL what a sensitive little B!tch you is

your mom is a trailer park trash sucka!

The truth is these white ballers are just not as skilled and athletic as the blacks. Handles, athleticism are on another level. Doncic is a normal white average player. 

[/Quote Racism from a guy named 'MCDIRT' ... let us know how your 5.00 wager turns out.[/Quote]

How was this racism and why are you accusing me of that?  Did I say anything negative towards whites or blacks or any race? Man just be quiet. 

Phoenix is actually the better team here. 

Doncic is severely overrated and all hype. Too many flaws. Not efficient scorer. The truth is these white ballers are just not as skilled and athletic as the blacks. Handles, athleticism are on another level. Doncic is a normal white average player. He is tall for a guard, always handling the ball and offense runs through him that's why he has good stats with rebounds and assists. Starting JJ Barea over Doncic wouldn't make them worse. They would have the same record w/out Doncic. 

Booker is a better player, more efficient scorer and Phoenix has better roster, more depth. Booker and Ayton are all stars, Doncic and Porzingis are not. Apart from Doncic, Porzingis and Hardaway, Dallas has a terrible roster. 

Suns win, worst case they lose within the number, because Dallas with a average inexperienced Doncic as leader, has a major problem closing games out.

First of all, the Lakers are not as good as their record says. They aren't a complete team and have a very choppy roster. This is because LeBron basically picked this whole team and told the Lakers who he wanted and the Lakers went and signed/acquired those players. This is very bad because this is not a player's job. LeBron is a hooper not a GM.

LeBron mostly recruiting players that have rings or been in many playoff games. Or guys who competed against him in the past and earned his respect (Dwight and Rondo). Team has experience, but can you rely on guys like McGee Dwight Danny Green to contribute enough on offense? No. McGee and Danny Green were on teams that won rings, but honestly they weren't even really needed and what they contributed made no difference.

This team will fall short. Mainly because the supporting cast is too bad/inconsistent on offense. Who's their 3rd guy that they can rely on that can be clutch/can knock down shots? None of them. KCP? Waiters/JR Smith? Those guys kind of shitty.

Mostly they got players that are more useful on defense than offense, only good thing I see from this roster is good rotation of big men a very solid frontcourt that gives them rim protection. 

As for this game, take the Raptors. Another thing with LeBron is he doesn't show up every night and doesn't go 100% effort in the full game like a Westbrook. He picks his spots.

Lakers only need one or 2 wins to lock up number one seed and home court that doesn't even matter because they play on neutral court w/ no fans. Do you think they will go 100% here? No. Do they need to? Absolutely not. If LeBron gets a chance to not show up and not go 100% he will take it for sure.

These games are meaningless for the Lakers. They would rather rest up. LeBron's first year in the tough west. He knows long road ahead and they could possibly face a very good well coached and healthy Portland team in the first round. They need all the rest they can get.

How LeBron usually plays these games is just make sure to do enough in the game to keep the Lakers in it till the end and then take over. 

Take the Raptors over this choppy Lakers team that's about to do some BS tonight again like they did vs the Clippers.

Don't get tricked by KC. They mostly played bad teams all year. And just played 2 bad teams Texans and Derrick Henry to get here.

Don't fall for the Mahomes hype. The guy is not ready and can't win the big games vs the good teams yet. When it matters, he falls short. 

And can you trust that Chiefs defense? Hell no. It's still a garbage defense. I said all year Chiefs defense is the great equalizer, no matter how great Mahomes and offense is, the defense will dirt it up and screw them. And now vs. Shanahan great schemes and plays? It's over.  

9ers will keep Mahomes off the field. They will succeed 100%. Seen way too many times worse teams go on 7-8 minute drives and cash in 7 points vs the Chiefs. Chiefs defense doesn't come up with key stops when you need them to that's just how it is. 

This is a bad bad match up for the Chiefs.

Mahomes needs to have a perfect game and play lights out for them to win. Small chance that happens. 1 choppy Mahomes drive where they have to punt or 1 turnover/INT and it's pretty much game over for KC.

Plus you have dirty Bill Vinovich ref crew. Every time this dirt Vinovich is the ref, the favorite dirts it and the underdogs always cash in. You can go check this and go check the games.

Ya'll are tripping and falling for the sucker bet Green Bay + the pts.

-7, -8 at some places for a Conf. championship game? lol. That's ridiculous. The correct play is SF.

Just like how Seattle fell short vs GB, GB will fall short here vs SF. 

All you suckers trying to be too sharp and too cute going on Titans + the pts. 

You have to know when to be square or sharp. 

Now suckers who taking GB + points gonna get dirted and lose.

You have to be square here in this spot. Both KC and SF both have to cover and both look equally good heading to the SB. There won't be no damn win but no cover. The dogs TEN and GB here are too shitty and mismatched.  

This one will get out of hand for GB.

Too many things need to happen for GB to win or even cover. They need multiple turnovers and a disaster game from Jimmy G.  It's too much to ask for.

Rodgers got only 1 good receiver that he trusts. Jones is a good RB but SF run defense solid and not going to get gashed. 

GB hasn't showed anything haven't beaten any good teams and really isn't anything special this year.

SF too many weapons.

Still dirty. Shitty. Boring. The whole offense it's just Derrick Henry running with the ball. Nobody wants to watch that crap in the Superbowl. 

You're reaching bro. Trying to be too sharp and trying too hard to call the upset. No way it happens.   

These teams already played each other in the season. Titans and 49ers won.

If results repeat - we get Titans 49ers SB

If results switch - we get Chiefs Packers SB

One result repeats, one switches - we get either  Titans vs Packers or Chiefs vs 49ers.

I predict Chiefs will meet 49ers. Jimmy G will face the team that he tore his ACL and got injured against (last year causing him to miss the whole season) Two great playcallers Reid vs Shanahan. Reid hasn't won one yet and Shanahan going back (this time as HC) after the 28-3 disaster with ATL. 49ers 1 yard from being a 5 seed. Too many good storylines for the rigged WWE NFL to pass up on.

It's the matchup that if you made a poll and asked fans which SB matchup they prefer to see out of the possible 4, Chiefs 49ers would be the one. So there you go. 

There's absolutely no way Titans or Packers pull off an upset. Who the hell wants to see dirty Tennessee with their bs boring offense in the superbowl? Who wants to see a team that only shows up for 1 half like Green Bay? NFL not gonna dirt themselves and have low ratings.  It's the 100th anniversary NFL season, we are going to get a great matchup with two great offenses that will score many points. After last year's 13-3 low scoring shitshow superbowl I highly doubt we see a team that makes it possible for another low score boring SB. So that means it's the end of the road for the Titans and Packers. 

The only way books and rigged NFL can make it tricky for us gamblers is to make the conf. championship games erratic and tricky for live betting. One of the games might be really close and one of the favorites might win but not cover. But keep in mind, in the end it will be Chiefs 49ers both winning outright.

Chiefs -7.5

hedge with:

Chiefs to win by 1-6 pts winning margin

Chiefs to win by 7-13 pts winning margin

If you can live wager this game, be prepared to add more bets on Chiefs if Titans take a lead. (Like in last game down 24-0 vs Houston)

Tennessee ain't doing jack. Tennessee is a dirty joker bookie team. They are only here because the books needed a 'upset' team to scam people and help them rake in more cash. In the wins @NE and Baltimore, books made a killing. Imagine parlays, teasers that died with NE and Baltimore and not to mention in game live wagering on NE and Baltimore too. 

But now it's 100% the exit round for the dirty Titans. They can't advance further because that will sabotage the TV ratings for the SB. No way Chiefs lose back to back home games in the AFC championship. No way NFL lets Tannehill go to the big game instead of Mahomes. No way it's gonna be Tannehill and Derrick Henry over Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Kelce, Watkins, Hardman.

SF -7.5

hedge with:

SF to win to win by 1-6 pts winning margin

SF to win by 7-13 pts winning margin

Use same tactic and strategy with SF. If they take a lead and stay ahead of the spread, just let it play out. SF won and covered easily when they met in the season, but this one should be closer. This game could get a bit tricky because Garroppolo still has a bad weakness that he holds on to the ball too long and takes too many costly sacks. Rodgers can keep this close within 1 score but will fall short. GB is not that much better than Minnesota. 49ers handled Minnesota easily. GB similar to Minnesota. Minnesota they have only 2-3 players at skill positions that can do damage. GB really only has 2. WR Adams and RB Jones. Not enough.

49ers just the better team, better on both sides. More weapons on offense. You can't really trust Garroppolo, but he's backed up well by this team and coaching. 49ers get it done.   

Score should stay close to the lines.

GB wins but doesn't cover.

Russell Wilson won't go down easily. Seattle should get 2 TDs + 1 or 2 FG. (Don't see them scoring more than 2 TD)

GB seems to score around 20s mid 20s but doesn't get to high 20s or 30s often. Last 4 games their total scores - 23, 23, 21, 20. They will go over 20. But their score should stay in the range 20-27 max.

GB to win by 1-6 pts  4/1

Seattle/GB 1st half/2nd half result. (Seattle win 1st half but GB wins game)

Seattle +4.5 

This will be a hard game to watch if betting NE.

They will not be winning and controlling the whole game. It won't be easy. It will be a hard fought win. Titans plus points.

Patriots have been dirty

Outcome of the game will look very similar to AFC Championship NE vs Jacksonville.

Where Titans will look like the better team for most of the game and have a lead + momentum late 3rd or 4th qtr (this will trick people to live bet on Titans ML)  

Then Patriots will win with by scoring a game winning drive, then stopping Titans on defense. Win by 3 or 4,

This game bookies will kill people who bet

-NE original spread

-people who will live bet on Titans ML

-double whammy on people who bet NE original spread but then flip flop and jump ship on Titans ML on live bet.

CAROLINA +6.5 and CAROLINA moneyline.

Carolina is going to beat Seattle.

The week 17 game between the 49ers vs Seahawks will be a meaningless game. 49ers will clinch division and number 1 seed by winning their next two games becoming 13-2 while Seattle will be 11-4 after they lose to Carolina and then beat Arizona in their next two.

Seahawks are going to take a dive and throw this game. They are packing it in and are going to take the 5 seed. I know Pete Carroll. They are not going to play hard and risk more injuries. They will save themselves for playoffs and take the 5 seed - which means they play the winner of the NFC East Cowboys or Eagles which is basically same as a first round bye.

No point trying to cap this game. Seahawks can win if they want to, but they are not going to play 100% here.

Carolina is one of those unpredictable erratic teams that win when they are not supposed to. Good spot to take them here.

W

Even if Eagles fluke a win, it's very very very unlikely they cover.

If you are betting Eagles, you need atleast a 3 score lead atleast 17 pts lead in 4th qtr for your bet to be safe.

That is asking too much of Wentz, who is one of the worst qbs in the league. 

Giants already backdoor covered a couple times this season.

Eli is one of the best when it comes to garbage time. Even if they are losing by 14-15 points if Eli has the ball at the end, you know the NFL and dirty Eagles will let Eli have his garbage time TD. 

Watch the perfect example, watch from 9:28 onwards. Pathetic Eagles defense even let crap Keenum drive down and backdoor them.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=noqSAKL-GSo  

Warning becareful laying pts with such a pathetic team and qb.

Eli starting is good news for Giants. Eli is experienced, doesn't make mistakes or hold on the ball for long time like Daniel Jones.

Eli gets it out of his hands quick. Daniel Jones messes up more and puts team in bad position by eating sacks. He's like a garbage Mariota when he holds on to the ball too long. Eagles might cover this bs -8.5 spread if it was Daniel Jones, but won't cover vs Eli.

NYG +8.5 and NYG moneyline.

There's no way Eagles cover or even win. If Eagles cover I will jump off a building.

More talented team and more to play for doesn't matter at all if you're talking about the Eagles. They had the more talented team and had more to play for vs the tanking Dolphins yet still managed to lose. 

Eagles are a pathetic franchise. Should never be -8.5 to anybody. Wentz the bust is too trash. Wentz is one of the 3 worst active qbs in the NFL. Along with Dak Bortles and Kyle Allen. Eagles are limited with Wentz he's about the same skill level and rating as a Brock Osweiler. This is the truth.

For the dirty Eagles, there is no deep ball threat. And there's no way this Wentz guy can sustain long 10-12 play drives capping it off with touchdowns without screwing up along the way. This Wentz guy is too choppy with his play. He might lead a few drives to redzone, but will settle for field goals instead. Eagles receivers well known for dropping passes this season. Can easily see Wentz throwing too hard of a pass that gets tipped by own receiver and gets intercepted. Crap Wentz usually good for a few fumbles, interceptions each game. Also should get sacked quite a few times.

The only game that matters for the Eagles is in week 16 when they host the Cowboys. Winner should win division. Since Cowboys are losing next game vs Rams, Eagles can lose one of their next two games and just beat the Cowboys at home.

This is how it will play out, both teams will be 6-8 before they meet.

Dallas (6-7)

vs Rams L (will be 6-8)

Eagles (5-7)

vs Giants L (will be 5-7)

@ Redskins W (will be 6-8)