tuco

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to MLB 6/13/17 in MLB Betting Sir, please do not let your record deter you on your quest to discover losing sides in mlb competition. Your record speaks for itself and please go on on your godly guest. View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	26	June 14, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Game 7 For All The Marbles in MLB Betting that's probably a good game to stay away from and just enjoy the spectacle. good luck) View Post \| View Thread	cjm2008	15	November 02, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 8/06/16 in MLB Betting Brilliant call. Congrats!! View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	33	August 06, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 7/06/16 Nicolino Is Hopeless in MLB Betting that was not the box, but the c word that u r, just as u r csmocker View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	32	July 08, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 7/06/16 Nicolino Is Hopeless in MLB Betting hey, you dumb box, FU View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	32	July 08, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 6/18/16 Some of you ain't going to like this card in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement: Forgot one laugher there. I believe that is your first 5 Star Laugher this season. this is a rather unusual/unexpected from someone who's having the day you're having now. you must be either filthy rich or in a state of enlightenment beyond most of us, degenerates.. or playing with monopoly money. View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	43	June 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 6/18/16 Some of you ain't going to like this card in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement: //// Now I can sit back and await the usual. Too much juice! Too many road teams! Yer nuts! Yer stupid! *BOL* well, let the numbers speak for themselves. your understanding/interpretation of probability, as stated here, though, does indicate a flaw in your decision making process. View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	43	June 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 5/15/16 With Humility in MLB Betting mets are probably not in the good spot, with no days off since apr 28 (I believe) and series with washington coming up. View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	30	May 15, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 4/29/16 Friday Night Fights in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement: Yes, I am aware Gordon has been suspended and that does not effect the play. but the fact that miami arrived in Milwaukee around 0500, about 12 hours before kick-off, after being on the west coast for several days certainly should. View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	23	April 29, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wednesday MLB Plays in MLB Betting after watching 2 innings is looks like gray has difficulties controlling his pitches. hard to get ahead in this business. View Post \| View Thread	cjm2008	14	April 27, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to we don't get fooled again - week 4 in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by phixer: wow, one single post and already a record of 10-4-1. not bad. that's probably because he's too modest to mention 100 - 0 season he had last year across several sports. it's been a rough (but expected after such a great start) week in the nfl. people, pls, just look at Phixer's record to decide if he is any good (in this biz there are many princes but no one is the king) and treat his stories as a source of amusement. No reason to get personal and pollute the thread. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	462	October 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to we don't get fooled again - week 4 in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by phixer: 1-2-1 on that strangest of the games lately "strange" is probably an understatement in this case. so far we've have had starting QBs getting injured/underperforming, teams imploding and books loosing money two out of three weeks. all prime time games have been disappointing so far and this week does not look like breaking this trend. I wonder if all the latest attempts on gambling legalization changed some kind of implicit existing balance of interest between the league and "vegas" and the former decided to show the latter who is the boss. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	462	October 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to don't get fooled again week 3 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Rip100: line move games such as this maybe are fades going forward I don't think we'll ever know what caused line fluctuation in this particular case, much less learn anything that could be profitably exploited going forward. there is a constant struggle between books and people with enough financial-computational-informational resources, we'll always be a step behind (lucky in streaks and losing long term). View Post \| View Thread	phixer	713	September 29, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to don't get fooled again week 3 in NFL Betting while I most certainly do not subscribe to the "NFL owes..." theory, money and line movement seem to agree with Phixer's conclusions (picks). and bookies were complaining on espn about their loses on late games yesterday (on top of bloodbath in W1). in this biz money probably the only thing that does not lie (too often). good luck, Phixer and everybody. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	713	September 28, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to don't get fooled again week 3 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by phixer: i didn't have a losing season last year. i had a losing season in nfl for the first time which was well made back with nba. i was never ever down 100 units (). i dont care you follow or not and i also dont care being admired or not - but when you touch my records - either get your facts right or just no, I'm neither following no giving advise, when it comes to money. also, I do not maintain any records for anyone who posts here or follow your posts (or picks) in any other sport. you may as well made money in nfl last year for the whole season - what I do remember well is that your record in nfl since december was rather poor. I do remember some very desperate 10-20 units plays that were nowhere close to paying. in any case, just a fare warning for all of those who'll lose money they cannot afford to while chasing something that does not exist good luck anyway View Post \| View Thread	phixer	713	September 26, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to don't get fooled again week 3 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by vinnievibes: i think we have a cult started here...god, you people are sickening greed will always be part of human nature. phixer has been on a good streak so far and that always brings cheer-leading imbeciles in droves. what they seem to ignore (or forget) that: 1. phixer went through very rough patch to end last season (if memory serves me right, he was down well over 100 units in the last couple of months). 2. there is inverse correlation between performance of books (as per espn) and phixers record so far even though he thinks that he is "on the side of the books" 3. no one ever got rich while following another man's advice. Luck is bound to turn, so let's enjoy the ride while it lasts -)) View Post \| View Thread	phixer	713	September 26, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to don't get fooled again week 2 in NFL Betting under was a good (if such word applies in sports market) play. money movement/split is most reliable indicator of the "right" side, barring insider knowledge. it is not possible to win every bet. those "champions" who manage to win "super contests" are no better than mexiacan janitors winning super lottos' View Post \| View Thread	phixer	483	September 18, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to SF Line Movement? in MLB Betting 84% of spread money as well as 74% of ML money is on San Francisco, and yet the line goes from -170 to -130. this is a classical case of "reverse line". the move here either no bet or the bet on the dog. at least wait until game time, see if the reason for such line move becomes known, and then make decision. View Post \| View Thread	jm894	2	September 15, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to don't get fooled again...week 1 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by phixer: .... now - please remember that every "expert" that charges you money for his picks is a cheat. because, otherwise he wouldn't need your money for his picks because he's be making money on his own picks if they'd be winners. like i do. .... don't get fooled by freely available information about the percentages and the quantities of the bettors on sides, spreads and totals. ..... don't get fooled by a consensus info available for free. i know what im talking about because for a true info you gotta pay a lots of money and be a member - like myself. i get the right info - always and i pay for it. i am willing to pay for it because it is helpful in determining the outcome by analyzing the big money moves. and finally - don't fool yourself you can catch vegas off guard. won't happen. you better join vegas than fight them. being on the winning side in a stable fashion means being on vegas side ... just a few quick (I hope) notes. 1. this biz is all about money, not percentages of correct pick. So, there are two distinct activities: picking (handicapping) and trading (actually determining bet size, hedges, exit points, etc.) there are people who are doing very well (about 60-65 percent) when it comes to determining winning sides, even ATS, but they still manage to lose money because they cannot deal with emotions involved in dealing with money. someone who can would be better off paying for picks with proven record (one only needs to establish consistency in generating long streaks, either way for a semi competent trader to make money) 2. all publicly available info does have its value. One only needs to identify meta data trends to come up with profitable strategy. Unless you have doctors/lawyers/team insiders on your payroll, whatever you're paying for is not better than whatever is available on the inet. 3. the mechanics of vegas price generation process are becoming more and more available. it is far from optimal - not may people have mental discipline to take advantage of it, but it is another story. anyway, good luck to all. PS: that bears "over 50" seems to be wrong to me (just my opinion, but after doing dozen of years in chicago i think i know the bears somewhat.) View Post \| View Thread	phixer	433	September 09, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Monday bases in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by tuco: I see H. Santiago being listed as a starting pitcher for the Angels. Was it a typo? never mind - it was an error on betfair. seems to be fixed now, shoemaker it is. good luck to all View Post \| View Thread	indiansrock	13	August 10, 2015 View Post \| View Thread

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