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Quote Originally Posted by ZiggyDawg:
and MSTR is still blowing up Blew up, then blew down. Crazy day. BTC up, MSTR way down. |
superbeets | 410 |
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100K btc incoming |
superbeets | 410 |
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TO THE MOON BOYS! |
superbeets | 410 |
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Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:
@vanzack As long as he doesnt keep bumping his average buy price too close to spot price. Yeah as long as BTC goes up MSTR should move higher too. Another stock I follow MARA has been doing the MSTR debt/buy scheme and they did a 1B debt deal yesterday and I read over the details of the unsecured terms and it is as I mentioned above the kicker is the conversion price. So in this case MARA is at like 19 per share now and the conversion price is 26 so someone who owns the debt has a call option on MARA at 26 and anything higher than 26 they are in the money. The debt is due in 2030 so you get your principal back at least by then and you own a call option at 26 and will profit off that. Just for comparison I looked up on their options chain and the cost to buy a 27 strike call option for 2027 is 9 bucks or 900 per 100 shares. So someone could use options and sell naked calls to generate income knowing they have a call option in theory on the debt. If BTC keeps going up the debt holders here will do very well. I saw MARA doing the same thing. The advantage MSTR has is they are earliest to the party. They already own 1.5% of the worlds BTC. Not sure how anyone can catch them, but being 2nd to the party is way better than being 200,000th. Because if you believe in the concept - then every company will buy BTC at some point. Not as their primary business - but as a way to store their wealth that is inflationary proof. I think this is what people misunderstand about BTC. It is not going to replace the dollar (or fiat in general), it will coexist. Fiat is for smaller transactions, BTC is a store of wealth. Example: If a company has 100m in dollars, they can choose to keep it and be exposed to 7% US govt printing per year + inflation, which devalues their 100m in a year to 90m. But if you put it in BTC, then take it back out in a year, you have 110M in USD - because BTC will not deflate. This example of course is stripped of any premium on hype, reddit, bitcoin bros, or anything else. This is static price BTC. |
superbeets | 410 |
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Quote Originally Posted by CravinMorehead:
@vanzack One more question. I have a good bit of money in draftkings and Flutter(Fanduel). if it were you would you sale some of it to buy the Bitcoin as well I am not a financial advisor and I dont like to give financial advice. Everyone is different. I can answer matter of fact questions, but I cannot answer personal finance questions and future performance predictions. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by CravinMorehead:
@vanzack One more question. I have a good bit of money in draftkings and Flutter(Fanduel). if it were you would you sale some of it to buy the Bitcoin as well I am not a financial advisor and I dont like to give financial advice. Everyone is different. I can answer matter of fact questions, but I cannot answer personal finance questions and future performance predictions. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by CravinMorehead:
@vanzack Van I’m fixin to buy now. Are you suggesting the IBIT over just buying straight Bitcoin or does it matter? thanks again buddy It really doesnt matter. IBIT will follow BTC price exactly.
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vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Chetmee:
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: NO BET TONIGHT ON MNF TEXANS / COWBOYS GL to all yes, pls don't post the prime time bets, still no bueno amigo...it's taking a bad beating Thanks amigo. My best work is done at 1pm PST, in games with bird mascots and a relative humidity above 72%. I am 3-1. I will continue to find these opportunities. Please alert me to other pitfalls. |
vanzack | 187 |
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@wallstreetcappers Thanks for the insight. I think what you are saying is as long as BTC goes up, there are clear skies ahead for MSTR. |
superbeets | 410 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:
Here’s one that never seemed to get answered well. Im starting from zero. Am I supposed to buy bitcoin itself, where, how, and the whole offline storage thing. If I was starting from zero... Do you have a brokerage account? 401k? If so, you can buy ticker symbol IBIT for any amount you want. Sell whenever you want like any other stock or ETF. This is the simplest way to expose yourself to BTC. If you want self custody (you keep actual BTC)... Open a Coinbase account, deposit dollars to coinbase, buy BTC, transfer out of Coinbase to your wallet. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by CravinMorehead:
@vanzack Van if I missed it sorry but please share any and everything you’d suggest in the Bitcoin market. Would you buy any Doge? I currently have Marathon and Bitdig. Anything else specifics you suggest. sorry if it’s already been covered Posts #141, 142, 144. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:
Bitcoin can never replace fiat currency there is not enough supply to fill the worlds need for trade Unless everyone agrees to trade is fractions of bitcoin, which makes no sense. As I said above.... Totally agree. They work together. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by GTBuzz:
@vanzack Thank you for taking your time to help educate us on this topic. Are you saying it's better to buy BTC or buy MSTR or both? Neither. I am saying educate yourself to BTC. Learn the language. You will be in the top 1% of the world population if you do it now. Then you can make the decisions that are right for you. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by 1TimeLucky1:
Downside of IBIT and the other ETFs are the fees. Yes. .25% per year in fees, to have custody of your BTC. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:
Ponderings: 1.) How soon will BTC replace the dollar (and other currencies) as the world's money? Isn't this starting to happen now? and will the Trump administration move toward making this happen? 2.) What will BTC do to the price of gold? Are the two tied together or will gold eventually become a worthless metal, replaced b y BTC as? As a kid I remember an old Twilight Zone show, the underlying theme being that gold became valueless in the future. Intriguing. 3.) I recall a teacher telling me that economics is essentially the study of money. What will BTC do to how we understand economics? If it is indeed inflation proof as you intimate, won't its use as a currency bring about a radical change in the macro economic theory? Are we at the dawn an economic revolution now and most folks don't realize it yet? Interesting. 4.) Won't increased BTC usage necessitate alternative sources of energy such as solar? It's not hard to imagine bitcoin data centers powered by solar energy stations in the future. RT2 1. I think you need to think of them as co-existing. Bitcoin is not a currency. It is a commodity. So dollars are transactional, while bitcoin is a store of money. Think of it like this.... You are a high net worth person, or a company. Where do you put your dollars? Whether you buy real estate, stocks, bonds... They are all subject to inflation and degredation and costs. But if you just put it in BTC, there is zero costs, zero worry - and it is not deflationary. So when you need dollars to transact, you simply bring some back to dollars and transact (in chunks obviously). Imagine if BTC because a strategic reserve for countries (which I think it will). Then debts could be settled with BTC instead of currency transactions, currency exchange rates etc. It is a much more efficient system. 2. The gold market cap is around 17 trillion, while the BTC current MC is 1.8T - so roughly gold is 10X what BTC is currently. That will flip one day. Gold in not finite. It is hard to move gold. Gold cant be digitally transacted instantly. Gold does have properties of utility though - and that will continue to have value. 3. YES YES AND YES. BTC will revolutionize economics. It is a perfect commodity. This is why it is just the beginning. 4. I am not an expert on the energy aspect of mining. I only go by what I hear from experts much smarter than me who say that it takes less energy to have a BTC economy than a fiat economy. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by gotime: @vanzack What also is in the 21 million count is this. How many BTC are in lost or forgotten forever wallets? We may never know. Correct. The 21M BTC is after everything is mined. There are also estimated at least 3m btc lost, locked, or dust (too small to be valuable). So the general thought is that there is 18m maximum. It is the only asset in human history to be non-inflationary. That is the value. Thoughts on Bitcoin mining stocks? they're going through the roof! WULF, CLSK, MARA And Mara is buying BTC also, they announced today. Mining stocks will grow also. Good diversification to core BTC holdings. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by chauwagerline:
Isn't it too late to buy bitcoin at this price? What is your price target in the future? Not too late. You are still early. At current growth rates, conservatively it will be 1M in 10 years. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by gotime:
@vanzack What also is in the 21 million count is this. How many BTC are in lost or forgotten forever wallets? We may never know. Correct. The 21M BTC is after everything is mined. There are also estimated at least 3m btc lost, locked, or dust (too small to be valuable). So the general thought is that there is 18m maximum. It is the only asset in human history to be non-inflationary. That is the value. |
vanzack | 187 |
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Quote Originally Posted by arubadk:
Ibit??? I know it’s an etf aren’t they trying to mimick mstr IBIT is a strict 1 / 1 with BTC. If you buy 10 dollars of IBIT, you have bought 10 dollars of BTC. It is an indexed COMMODITY ETF. MSTR is a company. It can do different things with its treasury. It has human intellectual capital. MSTR is not just a BTC ETF, although on the surface it looks like it should be. It trades at a premium - currently about 3.4X (Stock price X shares outstanding = market cap. Market cap divided by holding BTC value is 3.4). A couple of reasons:
That is how I understand it. There are some betting (shorts) on the premium flattening. But there is certainly a mania around the stock right now. It is around 250th in market cap, and probably going to be included in the Nasdaq 100 soon (they are 60th I think). |
vanzack | 187 |
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@KC_4_LIFE XRP (anything other than BTC) is explained above in a couple of previous posts. Once again, just my opinion. |
vanzack | 187 |
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