vcdplaya3007

Riding with you mr Starks!

Pelicans didn’t get their order of beignets in today.

Mattress Mack is not gambling for profit.  He is betting $10 million on a game because he’s a massive gambling addict.  He is going to eventually lose all his money betting this recklessly.  Good luck to him!

I will never EVER understand how Taylor could call for a Perine run up the middle with the entire season on the line.  When you fuck up that bad there are consequences for those failures.  The Seahawks have never been the same since the Marshawn no run playcall.  The Seahawks might not make a super bowl for another decade for that fuck up.

Taylor definitely blew this game.  The rams were begging to lose it but Cincy let em off the hook.  Needed to punch in a td after the early interception in 2nd half.  Then the rams kept going three and out for like five drives in a row and Cincy refused to put any pressure on the rams and their offense kept wetting the bed over and over.  They finally get to midfield on the final drive and hand the ball to Perine.  Game was lost right there the moment Taylor called a Perine run up the gut.

Taylor did nothing special in the Tennessee or the KC game.  Both teams self destructed right before his eyes and he cautiously stepped right over them.  He didn’t do anything egregious to lose them I’ll give him credit for that.  But the second half yesterday was a disaster.

The bengals did not deserve to win the game.  The game was 20-13 and for the next 25 minutes of game time the Bengals did not even put themselves in field goal position the rest of the game.  They simply failed to execute offensively.  The offense let them down.  Defense was good enough to win them the championship, but football requires competence in all three phases.  Not scoring for 25 minutes is simply a failure.  The end.

That’s the NFL for ya.  There is a reason why they print money every year.  It wasn’t built on winners or winning tickets.

The bengals will not be back in the super bowl for another 40 years.  The organization biggest play of the year and they put the ball in Samaji Peerine’s hands. There is simply no excuse for this decision.  Taylor should be relieved of his duty for the play calling on the final drive.

@TJZags598

 Definitely agree i rewatched it a hundred times and just cannot believe how Perine didn’t get the first down.  Bengals will have nightmares for next seven months for calling a Perine run when literally anything else would have worked.  Sweeps or jet motion easily get you that one yard, and they hand it to the fattest and slowest RB on the team.

The bengals running Perine was so egregious when you look at perine’s effort to make the first down and only needing one yard.  He allowed the defensive tackle to hold him in place while on the ground and also using his left hand to hold the offensive lineman in place.  It’s truly remarkable how Perine doesn’t get the first down considering the circumstances it took to prevent it.  Just a total clusterfuck of bad bad play calling in the final 25 minutes of the game.  I would compare the choke similar to the one the Seahawks gave vs New England.

There was reason he dropped it.  He was about to get completely decked if he catches it.

I definitely agree the team totals market and full game totals markets are extremely sharp.  You cannot beat them long term, and if you want to bet them in game is the only time you will be presented with numbers you can actually beat.  The oddsmakers are very good on the totals.

The bengals played not to lose after they got up 20-13.  Didn’t even test the defense once down the field.  They assumed 20 points was enough and they assumed wrongly.  Have to run up the score when you have the momentum and can’t just rely on your defense every time.

25 minutes of game time and the bengals never even got in field goal position on any drive.  That is shit coaching.  They did this same limp job against the raiders and same vs Tennessee.  Luck didn’t turn in their favor as the raiders and Titans threw the game away with costly picks and bengals got away with shitting the bed on offense in the second half.  Not this time.

Bengals went into turtle mode after the game went 20-13.  Offense completely fell apart the rest of the way.

If you take away the two super bowls which both nfc west and afc west played each other then yes I’m right.  Only denver beat Carolina was a scenario in which an afc west or nfc west team won vs a non afc west or nfc west team.

If you blindly faded the AFC or NFC West the last twenty Super Bowls you would have only lost one time as Denver beat Carolina. Take the Bengals straight up as the NFC west is a bunch of losers.  Good luck.

If you listen to RJ bell podcast he has a great thesis as to what happened.  Definitely worth a listen.

If both offenses are struggling and that is the way you handicap the game script similar to the Tennessee game then yes this is a fantastic bet.  The only way you lose is if you get an Edelman like performance out of the one of the wide receivers.  If you think rams win and it goes under, Aaron Donald is your guy.

I have a better stat for people who like superstitions instead of stats for handicapping.  If you go back last twenty years and just faded the AFC west or NFC west team in any given Super Bowl here is your record.

7-1 overall straight up if you simply faded the super bowl team from the AFC or NFC west divisions in the big game.  Two times a west division winner won was when both the AFC West and NFC West were both in the super bowl.  Kanasas city beat 49ers, and Seattle beat Denver.  

Denver beating Carolina was the only time in last twenty years this system failed.