VegasFishman

Love the overreaction spot in game 2.

Lines are inflated. I love the Raptors +7.5. 

Not in love with the Mavs, but I saw the line go -5.5 to -5.

My favorite pick is the Nuggets. Love them to cover and potentially win tonight. The bets and money hit the warriors, yet the line moved down from -7.5 to -7

What say you?

After losing a series to the Marlins and they're a strong favorite tonight against the 6-3 Rockies. 

I'm on the Phillies ML tonight.

ALSO!

The total is high at 11. The under is getting 74% of bets, but the over is getting 58% of the money.

I'm following the money here. 

Phillies and Over PLS!

I'll take em!

68% of bets are on the Rockies. Line should be moving in their favor, right? Well it's not. The line isn't moving at all. This seems VERY fishy to me, and for that reason, I am taking the cubbies.

Chicago +1.5 let's ride

Rays -240 vs A's -- Seeing a lot of chatter on Twitter that the A's have cashed 3 times this year as +160 or better. I'm sure the public are going to be quick to start backing the A's now (if they haven't been already). Unfortunately, I don't think it bodes well for them today. The Rays went from -210 to -240 and I think they handle business today.

Give me Rays ML and I'll even dabble for .5U on -1.5

Brewers -140 vs STL -- I know Milwaukee had a lot of hype going into the season. I too am on their future bets, but they're off to a slow start. No need to panic! The bullpen almost blew a 4-0 lead yesterday in Baltimore. Now the Brew face a 3-1 Cardinals team who are throwing Wainwright, and popular pitcher. The public are all over St Louis here. Bad idea.

Give me Brewers ML

Last but not least!

Mariners -120 vs White Sox -- Another team with high expectations that's off to a slow start, the M's. Again, don't panic. Chicago is trendy as they should be, off to a 4-1 start. But the Mariners went from dog to favorite today, despite getting 37% of bets. Follow the money.

M's ML

I like this one!

A system play of mine is to always bet on a pitcher making their debut. No matter how young or old, I like that the batters have no familiarity, and you can usually get some good value.

Please welcome to the stage Mr. Nick Lodolo! Good luck today kid.

Reds -130

The 3-1 Cubs are only -130 in Pittsburgh today.

Hendricks is pitching his 2nd game. In the opener, he went 5IP with 1ER.

The Pirates are throwing Zach Thompson. This is his debut. He was 3-7 last year with the Marlins.

This line is TOO SHORT! Give me the Pirates +1.5 please and thanks.

How about those Cubbies?!

Okay, got a few that catch my eye today.

CWS -130 @ Detroit -- This seems a little low to me. The White Sox have all the hype this season. A trendy pick for most to go over their 91.5 season win total and to make the WS. I know Tigers have improved, but still the haven't proved anything yet.

Give me the Tigers +1.5 -155

ALSO!

SEA vs MIN -110 -- This is a pick em?! Mariners are throwing new ace and former Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. Another trendy pick, which I myself have taken the M's over, but this line is strange.

Give me the Twins

AND ONE MORE!

TEX vs TOR -180 Total 9 -- I'm not taking a side here, but everyone and I mean EVERYONE is loving the Blue Jays. Rightfully so, in my opinion. They're a loaded team and will do well. But I don't think the bats get going right away. I'm not taking a side here, but I think this one is on the ugly side.

Give me the Under 9

GOOD LUCK!

@davemsh

 Bingo. I usually always bet on teams when a star player is out (injured or rested). It goes directly against public narrative.

Leaning C's for sure.

Tatum and Horford out. line makes sense now. OFF THE BUCKS!

1-1 last night. Bulls stink, that line was bizarre. Onwards!

Okay, this Bucks/Celtics line is catching my eye. I know the Celtics are on second leg of B2B after Chicago last night, but Milwaukee opened -6 and now up to -7. What is going on? Is someone out?

My data showing me that the Celtics are getting the majority of bets. Covers showing it, as are others. I'm seeing that Bucks taking in sharp money though. Hmmm....who knows what?

I'm going to follow the money and lay it with Milwaukee.

ALSO!

Sixers went from dog to favorite. Opened +2 in Toronto, and are now -1.5. This is typically a system I follow.

Any thoughts on the move? My only concern is that not only is Philly taking in the $$, but they are also getting majority of bets. That tends to scare me a little when it's TOO lopsided. I prefer reverse movement, when the team is getting bets, but not the money, and following the money.

Leaning Philly ML here but going to monitor.

LAST THOUGHT!

Nuggets opened -3 now up to -5.5 hosting the red hot Grizz. I know Dillon Brooks is DTD but nobody officially out. Wondering what reason for movement is. That's a lot to lay against the Grizzlies, and for that reason, I just may do it.

Recap:

Bucks -7

Philly ML

Nuggets -5.5

@DB51daBEARS

 Thank you for sharing. This makes me like the over a bit more, but perhaps explains the line. 9.5 (opener) felt high for two respected pitchers on day 1.

HIP HIP HOORAY! We made it. Opening Day. Gosh dang I love betting baseball.

Okay, I am wasting no time - we are getting right into the filthy contrarian plays and fading the public. From day 1 to day...whenever the season ends.

Brewers -185 @ Cubs -- Look, I like this Brewers team. Like them a lot. I picked them as my WS champs 17/1 (along with the Rays 13/1) and am over their season win total. HOWEVER...I do not like them today. Why don't I like them today? Because everyone likes them today. Milwaukee is getting 75% of the bets and 86% of the money. Typically, I follow the money, but not when the betting % is also high and it's this lopsided. So in this spot, I want to be on the side of the house.

Give me Chicago +1.5 (-105)

NOT DONE YET! I have another thought...

Doesn't this total seem high? It opened 9.5 and has now dropped to 9, because the under is getting hammered. I'm seeing 73% of the bets and money on the under. I'm going to dabble with the over here, in another very contrarian spot.

To recap: Cubs +1.5 (105) and OVER 9 (-105) for me

Good luck to all. If you like anything, lmk!

@Contrarian21

 I use a few things. Action Network app is great, but you have to pay for it. I got a special for $25 for the year. I also use Covers.com and Bleacher Report App, which I believe syncs to Draftkings.

Well the Bulls absolutely stink. Outrageous line by Vegas, but oh well. Got the Mavs easy at least.

Props to anyone who jumped on the Clippers. Bit of a scare at the end. The line wasn't quite as fishy there once the news of players resting came out, but someone definitely knew something. Money was pouring in heavily on LAC before anything was official.

Celtics -7 @ Bulls...really? Only 7? This seems low. Milwaukee was -6.5 last night in Chicago and won by 21. So after an easy cover, and now the Bulls are on second leg of B2B, they are getting similar number to Bucks? That doesn't seem right.

I think this is a trap and a half. Give me the Bulls +7.

OTHER THOUGHT!

The Pistons are 17-0-2 ATS in their lsat 19 games as an underdog. The Mavs are in Detroit and laying -8.5. I'm showing Detroit getting 64% of the bets, but the Mavs are getting 58% of the money. Love the discrepancy here.

Give me the Mavs to roll and put these damn covering Pistons to sleep.

Agreed. If anything, now I want to buy low on the Avs

uh oh! I did not know Mckinnon was out. Yikes, I don't bet against teams with star players out. Too obvious of a narrative. I am off. Thank you!

I'm following the money here. Was a little surprised to see Calgary as the favorite. I know Avs struggling a bit but still, they're the better team overall.

What say you?

Thanks all. Great feedback. I'm glad to see that I'm not alone in thinking the line was a little high. Pistons are so scrappy, and bettors respect them. Getting 14 just seems crazy.

Good luck everyone.

Wow great feedback all around. People helping people - that's why I love this place.

I'm going to go light, but taking the Ducks +1.5 here. I have it -170. Just risking 1U because I think someway, somehow it just might be one of those head scratching games.