WendysRox

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Member Since: April 2008

Last Activity: 22 February 2023

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Bama vs Tennessee 🏀 in College Basketball @D-Town I recognize that pic from 15 yrs ago View Post \| View Thread	NicotineFitz	6	February 15, 2023 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic We wuz Kangs n sheet! in College Basketball How about some picks? VA -16.5 NJIT +5.5 E Car +9.5 View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	1	February 15, 2023 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I had my first threesome last night in The Archives HAHAHA This is still around! And was bumped a week ago! View Post \| View Thread	fartnsniff	238	November 14, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Would you rather bet a -135 or a +135? in MLB Betting And for anyone interested, the reason I ask is that I'm struggling with a purely mathematical approach to find value in a line versus making some hard rules like "only bet fav's" or "only bet dogs." View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	14	April 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Would you rather bet a -135 or a +135? in MLB Betting To answer some questions, I was saying that you capped two games today. In the first game, you figure team A beats team B with a likelihood of 70%. In other words, of they played that game in 1000 alternate universes, team A would win 700 times and team B would win 300 times. And your getting a line of -135 on team A and +125 on team B. Basically, I'm wondering if you have had more success betting fav's because the line was cheap or if you have had more success betting high paying dogs that you don't think have a very good chance of winning. Thanks for all the input! I'm really interested in what everyone thinks. View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	14	April 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Would you rather bet a -135 or a +135? in MLB Betting Let's lay out some assumptions: you figure team A wins 70% of the time and they are a -135 fav over team B. On a totally separate game, you figure team C wins 45% of the time, but they are paying +135. You have $200 to bet today. Do you throw it all on one or the other? $100 on both? This forum doesn't always have to be about pick person, right? We can talk theory every now and then? View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	14	April 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Oops. Sorry for the double post View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Bronx, I did read that the Indisns haven't started 5-0 since '98. So I don't know if that may be playing into the mix. Who knows, maybe the fix is in and we're just not in the loop? View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Bronx, I did read that the Indisns haven't started 5-0 since '98. So I don't know if that may be playing into the mix. Who knows, maybe the fix is in and we're just not in the loop? View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Thanks for the input, tinfoils. I don't have all my data available ATM. But what I do have is Cleveland's 7 rpg to seattle's 4, Lowe's 1.98 era to Vargas' 3.44, etc. I've never seen my spreadsheet spit out a -843 suggested ML for any team before. Even if it DID fit my criteria for dropping a bet, I'd still think something's not right and probably pass. Frankly, I've been so busy at work that I haven't placed a bet in months and, therefore, haven't followed MLB at all thus far. I just wondered if someone was hurt or ... IDK. View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Hey everyone! I've been away for a great while. I'll drop in tomorrow to catch up. But, real quick.... I have Cleveland winning at an unbelievable clip tonight. I'm (probably) not betting the game because I assume my numbers are fouled up. Please help me understand why they are a 109 dog at 5dimes? What am I missing? Thanks for your help! Just for grins, I'm showing an 89% win probability and a score of around 5-3. View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic an NFL matchup page has WR listed as QB in Covers Help It's the game between Miami and New England. The page lists Marlon Moore (a wide receiver on IR) as the QB instead of Matt Moore. Just noticed and thought you might want to know... Here's the exact page: https://www.covers.com/pageloader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_summary_2.html Thanks for being awesome! Merry Christmas!! View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	2	December 24, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Chargers??? Again??? in NFL Betting who's coaching tonight? View Post \| View Thread	BlueJayz1978	8	December 05, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to my last dollar in my account did a 11 team parlay in NFL Betting Is this thread archive material? $1 to win $3300 seems unreal, but maybe I don't bet parlays enough to know. View Post \| View Thread	chuckdaduck	241	December 05, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Let's talk about travelling and trends for MNF in NFL Betting I just noticed while going over some stats that San Diego is pretty good as a Road Favorite. However, when I looked closer, most of their wins as road fav's came while playing on the western part of the country and most of their losses came when they traveled to the east coast. So I looked at other teams such as Seattle, San Francisco, and Arizona. And I definitely noticed that they won more as a road team when playing on the west coast; and lost more when playing on the east coast. So, does that old "west to east coast - Sunday 1:00 game" myth mean anything on Monday night? View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	2	December 05, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Vegas vs KenPom Week 2 in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by giant56: Quote Originally Posted by Atherton: For me that's like one week of betting. I don't look at the total amount bet in aggregate. I look at the bets i make each day and hope to make money at the end of the week. If i'm up I'm happy. I bet regardless and do so to have fun. I never expect to win or lose more than i care about. So yeah....I have no problem betting $2K and being up $100 $2000/week=$104,000 (risk) to win and "be up" $5,200 at the end of the year. .05%. Call Dow Jones. He's looking for a hedge fund manager that wants "to have fun." You must be a trust fund kid. $5k is 5.00% of $100k, not 0.05%... and a 5% ROI is not terrible as far as I know. You must be a high school drop out. View Post \| View Thread	beaverfan23	165	December 03, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Early games injury reports Friday nov 25 in College Football So, someone at the USF/Lou game just tweeted that BJ Daniels is on the field warming up. No word on if he's starting, but how could he not? Does anyone know if Schilz will be starting for Bowling Green? I think they are an auto-bet if he is playing. View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	4	November 25, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Texas at Texas A&M (11/24/2011) in College Football Quote Originally Posted by 978whereisleep: i havent been following up with these 2 teams but i will deff take texas a&m and the over In other words, you have no idea who will win, but you're putting some money on Texas? View Post \| View Thread	Covers	56	November 24, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Florida International at Arkansas State (10/18/2011) in College Football I noticed that there are a couple of WR's for FIU that have been out, but are playing tonight. FWIW View Post \| View Thread	Covers	130	October 18, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to These new ads are for the birds in General Discussion I'm sure you know already, but...THIS and THIS and THIS will solve your problem. I haven't seen an ad on covers in 3-4 years. View Post \| View Thread	I_Need_A_Detox	25	October 12, 2011 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Bama vs Tennessee 🏀 in College Basketball @D-Town I recognize that pic from 15 yrs ago View Post \| View Thread	NicotineFitz	6	February 15, 2023 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic We wuz Kangs n sheet! in College Basketball How about some picks? VA -16.5 NJIT +5.5 E Car +9.5 View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	1	February 15, 2023 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I had my first threesome last night in The Archives HAHAHA This is still around! And was bumped a week ago! View Post \| View Thread	fartnsniff	238	November 14, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Would you rather bet a -135 or a +135? in MLB Betting And for anyone interested, the reason I ask is that I'm struggling with a purely mathematical approach to find value in a line versus making some hard rules like "only bet fav's" or "only bet dogs." View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	14	April 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Would you rather bet a -135 or a +135? in MLB Betting To answer some questions, I was saying that you capped two games today. In the first game, you figure team A beats team B with a likelihood of 70%. In other words, of they played that game in 1000 alternate universes, team A would win 700 times and team B would win 300 times. And your getting a line of -135 on team A and +125 on team B. Basically, I'm wondering if you have had more success betting fav's because the line was cheap or if you have had more success betting high paying dogs that you don't think have a very good chance of winning. Thanks for all the input! I'm really interested in what everyone thinks. View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	14	April 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Would you rather bet a -135 or a +135? in MLB Betting Let's lay out some assumptions: you figure team A wins 70% of the time and they are a -135 fav over team B. On a totally separate game, you figure team C wins 45% of the time, but they are paying +135. You have $200 to bet today. Do you throw it all on one or the other? $100 on both? This forum doesn't always have to be about pick person, right? We can talk theory every now and then? View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	14	April 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Oops. Sorry for the double post View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Bronx, I did read that the Indisns haven't started 5-0 since '98. So I don't know if that may be playing into the mix. Who knows, maybe the fix is in and we're just not in the loop? View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Bronx, I did read that the Indisns haven't started 5-0 since '98. So I don't know if that may be playing into the mix. Who knows, maybe the fix is in and we're just not in the loop? View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Thanks for the input, tinfoils. I don't have all my data available ATM. But what I do have is Cleveland's 7 rpg to seattle's 4, Lowe's 1.98 era to Vargas' 3.44, etc. I've never seen my spreadsheet spit out a -843 suggested ML for any team before. Even if it DID fit my criteria for dropping a bet, I'd still think something's not right and probably pass. Frankly, I've been so busy at work that I haven't placed a bet in months and, therefore, haven't followed MLB at all thus far. I just wondered if someone was hurt or ... IDK. View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Make a case for seattle tonight (4/18) in MLB Betting Hey everyone! I've been away for a great while. I'll drop in tomorrow to catch up. But, real quick.... I have Cleveland winning at an unbelievable clip tonight. I'm (probably) not betting the game because I assume my numbers are fouled up. Please help me understand why they are a 109 dog at 5dimes? What am I missing? Thanks for your help! Just for grins, I'm showing an 89% win probability and a score of around 5-3. View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	8	April 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic an NFL matchup page has WR listed as QB in Covers Help It's the game between Miami and New England. The page lists Marlon Moore (a wide receiver on IR) as the QB instead of Matt Moore. Just noticed and thought you might want to know... Here's the exact page: https://www.covers.com/pageloader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_summary_2.html Thanks for being awesome! Merry Christmas!! View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	2	December 24, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Chargers??? Again??? in NFL Betting who's coaching tonight? View Post \| View Thread	BlueJayz1978	8	December 05, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to my last dollar in my account did a 11 team parlay in NFL Betting Is this thread archive material? $1 to win $3300 seems unreal, but maybe I don't bet parlays enough to know. View Post \| View Thread	chuckdaduck	241	December 05, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Let's talk about travelling and trends for MNF in NFL Betting I just noticed while going over some stats that San Diego is pretty good as a Road Favorite. However, when I looked closer, most of their wins as road fav's came while playing on the western part of the country and most of their losses came when they traveled to the east coast. So I looked at other teams such as Seattle, San Francisco, and Arizona. And I definitely noticed that they won more as a road team when playing on the west coast; and lost more when playing on the east coast. So, does that old "west to east coast - Sunday 1:00 game" myth mean anything on Monday night? View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	2	December 05, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Vegas vs KenPom Week 2 in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by giant56: Quote Originally Posted by Atherton: For me that's like one week of betting. I don't look at the total amount bet in aggregate. I look at the bets i make each day and hope to make money at the end of the week. If i'm up I'm happy. I bet regardless and do so to have fun. I never expect to win or lose more than i care about. So yeah....I have no problem betting $2K and being up $100 $2000/week=$104,000 (risk) to win and "be up" $5,200 at the end of the year. .05%. Call Dow Jones. He's looking for a hedge fund manager that wants "to have fun." You must be a trust fund kid. $5k is 5.00% of $100k, not 0.05%... and a 5% ROI is not terrible as far as I know. You must be a high school drop out. View Post \| View Thread	beaverfan23	165	December 03, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Early games injury reports Friday nov 25 in College Football So, someone at the USF/Lou game just tweeted that BJ Daniels is on the field warming up. No word on if he's starting, but how could he not? Does anyone know if Schilz will be starting for Bowling Green? I think they are an auto-bet if he is playing. View Post \| View Thread	WendysRox	4	November 25, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Texas at Texas A&M (11/24/2011) in College Football Quote Originally Posted by 978whereisleep: i havent been following up with these 2 teams but i will deff take texas a&m and the over In other words, you have no idea who will win, but you're putting some money on Texas? View Post \| View Thread	Covers	56	November 24, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Florida International at Arkansas State (10/18/2011) in College Football I noticed that there are a couple of WR's for FIU that have been out, but are playing tonight. FWIW View Post \| View Thread	Covers	130	October 18, 2011 View Post \| View Thread
replied to These new ads are for the birds in General Discussion I'm sure you know already, but...THIS and THIS and THIS will solve your problem. I haven't seen an ad on covers in 3-4 years. View Post \| View Thread	I_Need_A_Detox	25	October 12, 2011 View Post \| View Thread

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