YoungBuckman

John Wall has never been bashed for his contract. Washington has been bashed for giving it to him. And it's all done in hindsight - obviously NOW it is a shocking contract. If he didn't get injured and had a career year it would have been justified. 

You obviously don't comprehend how to analyse whether the odds are positive or negative value.... Cleveland and Phoenix each have a 14% chance to win the lottery, so combined they have 28% chance. If you combine those two bets with odds you have presented (+400 and +450), you get effective odds of +161. For those odds, the implied probability is 38%, so you're getting 10% worse. In summary, not a smart bet, just because Knicks odds are bad, doesn't mean the others are "value". 

Lol, this isn’t insight, this is just someone telling us how he “hopes” things will play out to satisfy his futures bets. Houston is Golden State’s only threat.

wtf? You think the line should be +\- 8.5, and proceed to take the +6.5. Then you state HE has no logic? Hmmmm 

I think the time has come to explore this game... total opened at 300.5, and has now jumped to 316.5! I hope it gets pushed a bit higher so I can grab that under.

which would nicely compliment an unders bet 

I guess it is too early :(

Will explore this further once teams and lines are out! 

Historically this has been an “over or nothing” event. Last season, that approach burnt me and probably many others too. This year I feel very strongly about the unders. Keep in mind, there are no lines out yet and I am assuming the total will open at the 310-320 mark.

Why unders?

Last season was the first time they shifted to this format where captains draft players. As intended, it added a slight (but important) element of competitiveness. You could see that guys were guarding just that 5% harder throughout the game, and at the very end the defensive intensity increased much more. 

I believe that most casual backers will assume the overs trend will just continue and that last season was some sort of outlier. I hope this keeps the number high. Additionally, some quick “research” by the average punter will show some astronomically high scores:

2018: 293

2017: 374!

2016: 369!

2015: 321

2014: 318

It would be hard to look at this and then conclude that unders is the right play, right?

Did anyone see the Giannis interview making the rounds in the past 24 hours? The reason it went viral, is that he was asked whether the Allstar game will have more defense than the Pro bowl (NFL). His response: “what’s the Pro bowl?” Now while most focused on him and the reporters laughing, he actually partially answered the question after the laughing subsided, saying something to the effect of “I’m going to draft guys who play D”. 

I think this new format has changed the allstar game. Guys take it a bit more seriously. It’s not just a random group being forced together. It’s a captain, picking his teammates in an effort to beat the opponent. If the number is at 320, I’m smashing the unders!