My gut says AB's win comfortably but then I can't recall an AB side ever letting in 2 tries in the last 10 minutes before last week. The one thing about backing NZ that you could always rely on over the years was that you got a full 80 minutes from them. They were the side to run in the late tries to rub the oppositions nose in it and would always give everything to keep their opponents from scoring in the dying minutes no matter how far in front they were. Lancaster has 46 players, you lose 2 tests, of course he has to make changes whether he wants to or not. I can't see that 7 changes can be beneficial for the Poms although Tuilagi back to centre is clearly the right move. His clash with Fekitoa will be interesting. AB's having their best backrow on the paddock should make difference. I expect them to at some stage get 13+ in front and surely this time they will go on with it.
Which French team will turn up? I suspect that a rampaging Skelton and Palu may well knock the competitive desire from the French forwards and halves. If this is the case, and if the Wallabies can put up early points, this could well be a runaway. It is hard to see the Aussie backs not improving on last week. Having said that, we all know how good France can be on any given day and may well prove me wrong.
I'm expecting both home sides to cover the 12.5 with a preference to AB's as the better bet.
Thoughts?