NRL Week 8

NRL YTD 32-28-1 +28.95 units

Working on some plays for the 3 games tonight right now. Will have them all up soon. Lets hope for a good long weekend and may the gambling gods for ever be on our side.

Here goes for the games tonight.

Picks:

Chooks 1-12 Margin 5 units @ $3.00

Love the Chooks for the Su win tonight but just do not think the blow out Saints. Was thinking of the point start for Saints but just could not bring myself to back against my chooks and see no value in the line and a lot more value in taking them on this margin bet. This is more of a gut play than one backed by stats, just can not see a blowout in this one today.

Warriors +8.0 5 units @ $1.90

I know that Cam smith has come out this week and called his side out, but I don not think that will make a big enough difference. Warriors tend to get up for this clash every year and think this weekend will be no different. Warriors are only 3-4 ATS and Storm are 1-6 ATS and 0-6 ATS when they have been favoured. However, Warriors when getting points are 2-1 ATS. So the stats suggest the Warriors are the play and as mention above the Warriors play a style of footy that the Storm just do not like and over the years have had man good wins when getting a lot of points.

Broncos +2.0 5 units @ $1.90

Really like the Broncos again tonight on Friday night footy. Broncos have had their moments so far this season, but last weekend looked very good over the knights on the road. Now they come home and getting points again. Broncos are 5-2 ATS to open the season and 5-0 ATS when getting points. Bunnies are 3-4 ATS overall and 2-4 ATS when they have had to lay chalk. So as can see the stats suggest the Broncos are the play and feel their forward pack can handle the size of the bunnies. Also must make mention that the Broncos are 10-4-1 over past 15 games with the Bunnies so that is also a big stat to have in their back pocket.

BOL

NRL YTD 34-29-2 +32.95 units

Have been out much of the day and going out tonight, no time for a write up but have a couple plays for the games tonight.

Picks:

Panthers +2.0 5 units @ $1.90

Knights +6.5 5 units @ $1.90

Knights TT Over 14.5 5 units @ $1.90

BOL