Galatasaray/Dynamo Kviv - Personally think Dynamo Kviv is getting a bit too much respect here and I'm not sure why. The visitors are on domestic league break and haven't played a competitive match since over a month ago. Now they go to one of most hostile environments in all of Europe to face the Turkish leaders who field one of the most dynamic and relentless attacks, particularly at home, as evidenced by a Europa-leading 15 team goals. The Ukrainians on the other hand sit at the very bottom of the competition w/ a measly goal (against Victoria Plzen) and a Europa-worst 15 goals conceded. They're already out of the competition so what motivation do they have here? Meanwhile Gala sit in one of the coveted top eight spots w/ multiple clubs breathing down their necks w/ this game their last at home before visiting Ajax, who happen to be one of the clubs chasing them down, on the last day. A win is absolutely necessary but as goal differential will matter at the end of group stage, I fully expect Gala to pile on the pressure and goals as points even after they take the lead. Dyanmo Kviv has been down at the break in 4 of their matches including being down at halftime 3-0 to Lazio and most recently to Real Sociedad, a team so offensively challenged that they've scored a total of 17 goals in 20 games domestically. Give me Gala 1H -1 w/ a 1H over 1, 0.75 ladder if I get the opportunity.
Taking a look at Dynamo Kviv's matches (L to Lazio 0-3, L to Hoffenheim 0-2, L to AS Roma 0-1, L to Ferencvaros 0-4, L to Viktoria Plzen 1-2, L to Real Sociedad 0-3) they've conceded 14, 19, 17, 27, 15, and 27 total shots in those matches, respectively. I rate Gala's offense at home on par w/ Lazio and higher than the others. Gala's 3 home games have featured the home side shooting 25, 23, and 28 times. I wouldn't be surprised if the Turkish side peppers the visitors goal w/ 30+ shots, which provides a great opportunity to find value in the props market. And Yunus Akgun is who I'm backing w/ 3+ total shots (-108), 2+ SOG (+200), and 3+ SOG (+800). While I would've naturally liked to have taken Oshimen, books have his over/under on total shots at 6+ and SOG 3+, which is a bit too high IMO. Akgun is a stud right winger who has averaged 2.8 total shots/game and 1.7 SOG in this competition so far including scoring in 5 out of 6 of Gala's Europa League matches already. I don't understand how 2+ SOG is +200 for him when that is his average, especially in a game where he has a very high probability to getting on the scoresheet more than once simply due to the volume of chances that will likely come his way.
As always good luck!
thoughts on the 2h? 
luckily happened as I was waiting for better odds to take the over 4.75 and Gala’s over 3.5 live. Still think Gala can do this but boy did they make it that much harder on themselves. That being said am also glad we laid off on Yilmaz props.
Any case missed the train so will either pass until champs league or wait for something live possibly.
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