Time's going to be tight today w/ work. Seeing a good number of bets that I like on initial glance.
1. Leverkusen/Paderborn 1H over 1 (will take live): Leverkusen's explosive offense has been limited 2 games in a row. I don't see that continuing today. This team is special and reminds me of the 18/19 Ajax team. Xabi clearly recognizes he has something special this year in what could be the team's only season together before the top clubs come for its' studs, including the manager. If Florian Wirtz is playing, and reckon he will, the 1H over 1.5 is in play for me. Last time these guys played a cup game, they scored 3 in the 1H on its' way to an 8-0 domination. Paderborn is a step-up in competition from the previous cup opponents, but its' not a defensive stalwart, having given up 27 goals in 15 games. Cup games can be weird but not here.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Overall Record: 17-19-9
Week Record: 4-4-0
Time's going to be tight today w/ work. Seeing a good number of bets that I like on initial glance.
1. Leverkusen/Paderborn 1H over 1 (will take live): Leverkusen's explosive offense has been limited 2 games in a row. I don't see that continuing today. This team is special and reminds me of the 18/19 Ajax team. Xabi clearly recognizes he has something special this year in what could be the team's only season together before the top clubs come for its' studs, including the manager. If Florian Wirtz is playing, and reckon he will, the 1H over 1.5 is in play for me. Last time these guys played a cup game, they scored 3 in the 1H on its' way to an 8-0 domination. Paderborn is a step-up in competition from the previous cup opponents, but its' not a defensive stalwart, having given up 27 goals in 15 games. Cup games can be weird but not here.
Yooo Marty. I do but thinking things through. I'm thinking we won't see many goals today in EPL. Leaning towards riding w/ you on the Palace game.
2. Leverkusen 1H over 1.5 (+108): Official play. Xabi is sending out his first choices, and that's a scary lineup. Chances will be abound. Guarantee Leverkusen scores 1H. 2 at plus odds I'll roll.
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@Martylee
Yooo Marty. I do but thinking things through. I'm thinking we won't see many goals today in EPL. Leaning towards riding w/ you on the Palace game.
2. Leverkusen 1H over 1.5 (+108): Official play. Xabi is sending out his first choices, and that's a scary lineup. Chances will be abound. Guarantee Leverkusen scores 1H. 2 at plus odds I'll roll.
I'm seeing ManU/Chelsea under 3 at -125. How about you? Also, Palace/Bournemouth is under 2.25 for even. Hmmm. Manu/Chelsea feels like it could be cagey. They had a streak of 5 straight unders before that goalfest last time they met, but Chelsea seems like its' finding its' footing under Poch and Onana isn't inspiring much confidence. Palace/Bournemouth I'm actually starting to like because I don't see both teams scoring after seeing the past few matches for both.
@djmurphr
Nice little start to the morning. Hopefully we carry through the rest of today.
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@Martylee
I'm seeing ManU/Chelsea under 3 at -125. How about you? Also, Palace/Bournemouth is under 2.25 for even. Hmmm. Manu/Chelsea feels like it could be cagey. They had a streak of 5 straight unders before that goalfest last time they met, but Chelsea seems like its' finding its' footing under Poch and Onana isn't inspiring much confidence. Palace/Bournemouth I'm actually starting to like because I don't see both teams scoring after seeing the past few matches for both.
@djmurphr
Nice little start to the morning. Hopefully we carry through the rest of today.
Love it. Was looking at Leverkusen over 3.5 hard but glad I laid off. Just got some time to survey the matches today and, wow, Paderborn scored and Frankfurt upset. Mentioned this yesterday, but dogs are worth taking a shot on to score live because upsets tend to happen in these knockout matches. Cup games are weird.
3. Aston Villa/Manchester City 1H over 1 (will take live): 1H over 1s for Manchester City is an auto play for me, but facing the second most scoring team in the EPL this season at home? Sign me up. Even better? City's coming off 3 straight matches of dropped points sandwiched around an almost unheard of result in the group stages of Champions League for City. This year's team just doesn't seem to have that x-factor of recent years so far. Yea, it made reinforcements to its' squad but you can't simply replace the experience and intangibles that the old guard had, especially Mahrez and Gundogan. Oh and De Bruyne being out is a HUGE deal. Presume City will get there again eventually because after all it's City, and De Bruyne will come back at some point this season, but until then it may be a good time to pick spots involving them. Btw, Rodri is suspended for this match, meaning City's w/o its' engine in the midfield. Remember earlier this season when Rodri was serving his 3-game suspension for a red card? 3 losses. Don't underestimate Unai on the other touchline either. 4. Aston Villa 1H over 0.5 (+146)
5. Stuggart/Dortmund 1H over 1 (will take live): Not a fan of betting Dortmund. One game it can't stop scoring, the next it can't find the back of the net for its' life. But both managers are sending out their first choices, and there's just too much offensive firepower for this game to be a dud. Guirassy and Undav have been in unbelievable form this season, and I expect the former to be heavily courted soon in the upcoming transfer windows.
Was also looking at Brighton/Brentford and Sheffield/Liverpool hard but will need to assess the game live. Brighton's offensive metrics have fallen recently and it's not the same free-flowing multi-goal scoring team that it was at the beginning of the season. Last 6/8 games for Brighton have featured under 3 goals. And Thomas Frank is very strategic and methodical in his approach. As for Sheffield/Liverpool, Sheffield just re-hired its' club legend manager Chris Wilder. Never liked betting first games of new managers as the emotions involved can sway the game in big ways. Really unfortunate it was done before Liverpool's game because, otherwise, I would've expected a straight forward Liverpool victory. Also, Sheffield /Liverpool games have been generally low-scoring. Be careful. These aren't automatic overs.
Sorry about the late post. Will have the next 3-4 hrs to evaluate more plays.
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Overall Record: 19-19-9
Week Record: 6-4-0
Love it. Was looking at Leverkusen over 3.5 hard but glad I laid off. Just got some time to survey the matches today and, wow, Paderborn scored and Frankfurt upset. Mentioned this yesterday, but dogs are worth taking a shot on to score live because upsets tend to happen in these knockout matches. Cup games are weird.
3. Aston Villa/Manchester City 1H over 1 (will take live): 1H over 1s for Manchester City is an auto play for me, but facing the second most scoring team in the EPL this season at home? Sign me up. Even better? City's coming off 3 straight matches of dropped points sandwiched around an almost unheard of result in the group stages of Champions League for City. This year's team just doesn't seem to have that x-factor of recent years so far. Yea, it made reinforcements to its' squad but you can't simply replace the experience and intangibles that the old guard had, especially Mahrez and Gundogan. Oh and De Bruyne being out is a HUGE deal. Presume City will get there again eventually because after all it's City, and De Bruyne will come back at some point this season, but until then it may be a good time to pick spots involving them. Btw, Rodri is suspended for this match, meaning City's w/o its' engine in the midfield. Remember earlier this season when Rodri was serving his 3-game suspension for a red card? 3 losses. Don't underestimate Unai on the other touchline either. 4. Aston Villa 1H over 0.5 (+146)
5. Stuggart/Dortmund 1H over 1 (will take live): Not a fan of betting Dortmund. One game it can't stop scoring, the next it can't find the back of the net for its' life. But both managers are sending out their first choices, and there's just too much offensive firepower for this game to be a dud. Guirassy and Undav have been in unbelievable form this season, and I expect the former to be heavily courted soon in the upcoming transfer windows.
Was also looking at Brighton/Brentford and Sheffield/Liverpool hard but will need to assess the game live. Brighton's offensive metrics have fallen recently and it's not the same free-flowing multi-goal scoring team that it was at the beginning of the season. Last 6/8 games for Brighton have featured under 3 goals. And Thomas Frank is very strategic and methodical in his approach. As for Sheffield/Liverpool, Sheffield just re-hired its' club legend manager Chris Wilder. Never liked betting first games of new managers as the emotions involved can sway the game in big ways. Really unfortunate it was done before Liverpool's game because, otherwise, I would've expected a straight forward Liverpool victory. Also, Sheffield /Liverpool games have been generally low-scoring. Be careful. These aren't automatic overs.
Sorry about the late post. Will have the next 3-4 hrs to evaluate more plays.
6 and 7. Fiorentina/Parma 1H over 1 (will take live), Parma 1H over 0.5 (+190): Quickly, Parma leading Serie B averaging 2 goals/game. Fiorentina rotating its' squad. Taking a shot here.
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6 and 7. Fiorentina/Parma 1H over 1 (will take live), Parma 1H over 0.5 (+190): Quickly, Parma leading Serie B averaging 2 goals/game. Fiorentina rotating its' squad. Taking a shot here.
Love it. Disappointed taking the German Cup game over earlier EPL games but really thought the goals would dry up in England midweek. The goal rate will be something to monitor going forward. Thought Aston would nick one early but still waiting. And is it just me or has Haaland blown some great chances the last few weeks. He's too good and too motivated to have that continue but just bizarre.
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@djmurphr
Love it. Disappointed taking the German Cup game over earlier EPL games but really thought the goals would dry up in England midweek. The goal rate will be something to monitor going forward. Thought Aston would nick one early but still waiting. And is it just me or has Haaland blown some great chances the last few weeks. He's too good and too motivated to have that continue but just bizarre.
Square play but so hard to resist. Unbelievable that it's the only game so far in the EPL today that hasn't seen a 1H goal despite the chances on both sides. Seems like City can't get a grip on this game.
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@Martylee
Square play but so hard to resist. Unbelievable that it's the only game so far in the EPL today that hasn't seen a 1H goal despite the chances on both sides. Seems like City can't get a grip on this game.
Interesting but a bummer of a 1H. Will be interesting to see what adjustment Pep makes. Wonder if Aston missed out on its' chance to score by not capitalizing. You think Pep will be ok with a draw after dropping points the last 3?
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@Martylee
Interesting but a bummer of a 1H. Will be interesting to see what adjustment Pep makes. Wonder if Aston missed out on its' chance to score by not capitalizing. You think Pep will be ok with a draw after dropping points the last 3?
Naw I think city have to take it. City at plus odds to win now. I may jump on it after this crystal palace game ends . Getting 1 point doesn’t do anything for them
Til death do us under
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@I3C1H
Naw I think city have to take it. City at plus odds to win now. I may jump on it after this crystal palace game ends . Getting 1 point doesn’t do anything for them
The result in the City game wasn't as nearly as surprising as the statistics in the game. 2 shots??? 2?! All game?! Something looks off about this team whether it's a hangover from last campaign, the loss of on-field leaders, or a combination of those and other factors. Will be interesting to see how this unfolds...
8 and 9 and 10. Vasco de Gama/Bragantino 1H over 1 (even), Internacional/Botafogo 1H over 1 (even), Sao Paulo/Flamengo 1H over 1 (+112): Last game of the season w/ results determining relegation, spots in Libertadores/Sudamericana, and possibly even the title. Thinking there should be a level of urgency/desperation in these games. May even jump on Fluminense/Gremio live.
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@Martylee
Ah nice! Chalk up another win!
The result in the City game wasn't as nearly as surprising as the statistics in the game. 2 shots??? 2?! All game?! Something looks off about this team whether it's a hangover from last campaign, the loss of on-field leaders, or a combination of those and other factors. Will be interesting to see how this unfolds...
8 and 9 and 10. Vasco de Gama/Bragantino 1H over 1 (even), Internacional/Botafogo 1H over 1 (even), Sao Paulo/Flamengo 1H over 1 (+112): Last game of the season w/ results determining relegation, spots in Libertadores/Sudamericana, and possibly even the title. Thinking there should be a level of urgency/desperation in these games. May even jump on Fluminense/Gremio live.
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