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    All Forums | Soccer

    12/7 Write-up and Plays

    I3C1H
    Martylee
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    I3C1H
    I3C1H
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2023 - 12:32 PM ET #1

    Overall Record: 21-22-12

     

    Week Record: 8-7-3

    Was a bit disappointed w/ the results yesterday. For whatever reason, had a bias that goals were going to be at a premium in the midweek EPL games but the record goalscoring rate continues. Ironic that the one game expected to have fireworks ended up being the one w/ the least number of goals. Oh well.

    1. PSV/Heerenveen 1H over 1 (will take live): 1+ 1H goals in games featuring PSV in all competitions this season. 7 straight matches w/ 1+ 1H goals involving these two teams. And Heerenveen has scored 8 straight since it last conceded against Vitesse in the 1H 3 matches ago. It's due to give up a goal. There's value in PSV's 1H over 1.5 but think it's a gamble I'm ok holding off for now.

    Be back in a bit w/ later plays.

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    Overall Record: 21-22-12

     

    Week Record: 8-7-3

    Was a bit disappointed w/ the results yesterday. For whatever reason, had a bias that goals were going to be at a premium in the midweek EPL games but the record goalscoring rate continues. Ironic that the one game expected to have fireworks ended up being the one w/ the least number of goals. Oh well.

    1. PSV/Heerenveen 1H over 1 (will take live): 1+ 1H goals in games featuring PSV in all competitions this season. 7 straight matches w/ 1+ 1H goals involving these two teams. And Heerenveen has scored 8 straight since it last conceded against Vitesse in the 1H 3 matches ago. It's due to give up a goal. There's value in PSV's 1H over 1.5 but think it's a gamble I'm ok holding off for now.

    Be back in a bit w/ later plays.

     
    Martylee
    Martylee
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2023 - 1:56 PM ET #2

    Good luck today . I may play Newcastle game under today. I like them to win and seems like Everton is a popular dog today. I think Newcastle path to victory with all the injuries is a grind em game .

    Til death do us under
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    Good luck today . I may play Newcastle game under today. I like them to win and seems like Everton is a popular dog today. I think Newcastle path to victory with all the injuries is a grind em game .

     
    I3C1H
    I3C1H
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2023 - 1:56 PM ET #3

    Been going back and forth all morning on this Everton/Newcastle game. Don't know why my gut feels like there will be goals but think the over on total bookings is a much better play, especially as Anthony Gordon probably ruffled some feathers when he pushed his way out last season. Last season, he came on as a late sub when the two teams met in a 4-1 drubbing by Newcastle so he didn't have time to do much, but now as an integral part of Howe's side, think there will be emotional fireworks involved. He's already been booked 7 times this season, including 6 times in the EPL although 4 of them were in the first 5 matches. Probably will take the over on bookings at plus money, Gordon to get booked, and maybe even a small runner on him to score and get a brace. Still thinking things through...

    2. Tottenham/West Ham 1H over 1 (will take live): A bit hesitant after yesterday's debacle in the Aston Villa/City game but Moyes traditionally struggles against the Big 6 and Ange Postecoglou.  That's enough of a reason for me to bite.
     
    3. Feyenoord/Volendam 1H over 1 (will take live): After two duds against quality competition, pretty sure Feyenoord will be eager to get back into the win column quickly. Pregame 1H over is set at 2 at -110 so not sure how likely I'll be able to get this in but we'll see.
     
    After looking at numbers, going to stay off the total for the 1H in the Everton/Newcastle game. Thinking tight and cagey here.

     

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    Been going back and forth all morning on this Everton/Newcastle game. Don't know why my gut feels like there will be goals but think the over on total bookings is a much better play, especially as Anthony Gordon probably ruffled some feathers when he pushed his way out last season. Last season, he came on as a late sub when the two teams met in a 4-1 drubbing by Newcastle so he didn't have time to do much, but now as an integral part of Howe's side, think there will be emotional fireworks involved. He's already been booked 7 times this season, including 6 times in the EPL although 4 of them were in the first 5 matches. Probably will take the over on bookings at plus money, Gordon to get booked, and maybe even a small runner on him to score and get a brace. Still thinking things through...

    2. Tottenham/West Ham 1H over 1 (will take live): A bit hesitant after yesterday's debacle in the Aston Villa/City game but Moyes traditionally struggles against the Big 6 and Ange Postecoglou.  That's enough of a reason for me to bite.
     
    3. Feyenoord/Volendam 1H over 1 (will take live): After two duds against quality competition, pretty sure Feyenoord will be eager to get back into the win column quickly. Pregame 1H over is set at 2 at -110 so not sure how likely I'll be able to get this in but we'll see.
     
    After looking at numbers, going to stay off the total for the 1H in the Everton/Newcastle game. Thinking tight and cagey here.

     

     
    I3C1H
    I3C1H
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2023 - 1:59 PM ET #4

    @Martylee

     I completely agree. Think I'll be on the over for bookings instead.

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    @Martylee

     I completely agree. Think I'll be on the over for bookings instead.

     
     
    I3C1H
    I3C1H
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2023 - 2:14 PM ET #5

    4 and 5. Anthony Gordon to have 1+ shot on goal (-114), 2+ shot on goal (+400): Think the 1+ shot on goal is a lock as Gordon will want to score today. Love taking players to score against their former teams, especially in circumstances involving negative emotions. Don't know though if he'll actually get on the scoresheet so decreasing risk here since it most likely will be low-scoring. 

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    4 and 5. Anthony Gordon to have 1+ shot on goal (-114), 2+ shot on goal (+400): Think the 1+ shot on goal is a lock as Gordon will want to score today. Love taking players to score against their former teams, especially in circumstances involving negative emotions. Don't know though if he'll actually get on the scoresheet so decreasing risk here since it most likely will be low-scoring. 

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