There's a growing narrative that all these quarter final legs are going to continue to be full of goals.
Perhaps, but if there were a game to potentially poke that narrative in the eye, then this is it.
Why?
1. The game is delicately poised with neither side holding an advantage. That also means neither side comes in with any urgency to score ASAP, unlike a team that goes in a goal or more down.
2. Arsenal's defense in away games is rock solid and will be hard for Bayern to penetrate. Bayern also won't be afforded the kind of space they were given in the 1st leg. On the other side Bayern's defensive numbers at home have been quite good, so it won't be easy for Arsenal to break through IMO.
3. Both coaches are on the conservative side when it comes to tactics and planning. Tuchel especially which is why his record in cups is superior to his record in leagues, while Arteta showed his conservative approach when he chose to play for the 0-0 away to City when perhaps 3 pts was available to a coach a little more daring.
Ultimately what it boils down to for me is a scenario where as long as the score remains goalless, both sides will remain patient and focused on scoring a single goal. If either side does that you can imagine they'll quickly adopt a shut-up shop tactic and start wasting time. I think in both instances each side would be capable of hanging on to a 1-0 lead late or perhaps we see a 1-1 scoreline and extra time.
Under 2.5 @2.32 (Take the 3 at near evens if you are nervous and need some extra insurance) CS 1-0 Bayern (small stakes)
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There's a growing narrative that all these quarter final legs are going to continue to be full of goals.
Perhaps, but if there were a game to potentially poke that narrative in the eye, then this is it.
Why?
1. The game is delicately poised with neither side holding an advantage. That also means neither side comes in with any urgency to score ASAP, unlike a team that goes in a goal or more down.
2. Arsenal's defense in away games is rock solid and will be hard for Bayern to penetrate. Bayern also won't be afforded the kind of space they were given in the 1st leg. On the other side Bayern's defensive numbers at home have been quite good, so it won't be easy for Arsenal to break through IMO.
3. Both coaches are on the conservative side when it comes to tactics and planning. Tuchel especially which is why his record in cups is superior to his record in leagues, while Arteta showed his conservative approach when he chose to play for the 0-0 away to City when perhaps 3 pts was available to a coach a little more daring.
Ultimately what it boils down to for me is a scenario where as long as the score remains goalless, both sides will remain patient and focused on scoring a single goal. If either side does that you can imagine they'll quickly adopt a shut-up shop tactic and start wasting time. I think in both instances each side would be capable of hanging on to a 1-0 lead late or perhaps we see a 1-1 scoreline and extra time.
Under 2.5 @2.32 (Take the 3 at near evens if you are nervous and need some extra insurance) CS 1-0 Bayern (small stakes)
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