busy week, tossing up what discussed. first and foremost, hope everyone having a pleasant Holiday Season.
Serie A: getting this feeling we're headed towards another stoppage.
Pending: Lazio/Inter/Sass @+605
Lazio/Genoa - well, i think this should be a pretty straightforward 3 pts for Sarri. opening lines pretty much suggest that as Genoa also had a Coppa match Tues. but now Cirro doesnt look like he'll be fit in time and Lazio always struggles to find net in his absence. but I wouldnt dare touch the '+' with the 3rd worst backline whom concedes almost 2 on road. if it comes down any further by friday ill toss some on the -HC with Lazio. **** this also happens to be one of Cirros favorite opponents as he's found net in 5 of past 6 meetings. PASS.
Salernitana/Inter - 1st vs 20th. best offense vs worst defense. and the cellar dwweller is the one whom had to play midweek. been a bit a time since seeing opening 400s on a road fav. but Inaghi just took over the perch in Serie A, and just cant see them messing this one up. on a side note, Inter announced theyll be officially terminating Eriksens contract later this week (dont misinterpret this). tho Luk got a lot of attention, Inter wouldnt have won the Scudetto without Christian. so that locker room could be fired up. because of this, that -2 looks tempting in his honor. its the WORST type of wager you can make (a juiced road fav on the HC line), and Inter has been "winning ugly" lately. but for this situation, im tossing some on it. Inter -2 @-105
Atalanta/Roma - not sure why line isnt moving, Bergamo guys most in-form in league, unbeaten in 10 and banged in 2+ in all but 2 of them. Mou will have something for them, and most likely will be mucking up the midfield, Mou-style. but theyre 0-1-4 vs all the Scudetto contenders this season. going to play this 'safe' and take the AtalantaTT O2 @+114
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
busy week, tossing up what discussed. first and foremost, hope everyone having a pleasant Holiday Season.
Serie A: getting this feeling we're headed towards another stoppage.
Pending: Lazio/Inter/Sass @+605
Lazio/Genoa - well, i think this should be a pretty straightforward 3 pts for Sarri. opening lines pretty much suggest that as Genoa also had a Coppa match Tues. but now Cirro doesnt look like he'll be fit in time and Lazio always struggles to find net in his absence. but I wouldnt dare touch the '+' with the 3rd worst backline whom concedes almost 2 on road. if it comes down any further by friday ill toss some on the -HC with Lazio. **** this also happens to be one of Cirros favorite opponents as he's found net in 5 of past 6 meetings. PASS.
Salernitana/Inter - 1st vs 20th. best offense vs worst defense. and the cellar dwweller is the one whom had to play midweek. been a bit a time since seeing opening 400s on a road fav. but Inaghi just took over the perch in Serie A, and just cant see them messing this one up. on a side note, Inter announced theyll be officially terminating Eriksens contract later this week (dont misinterpret this). tho Luk got a lot of attention, Inter wouldnt have won the Scudetto without Christian. so that locker room could be fired up. because of this, that -2 looks tempting in his honor. its the WORST type of wager you can make (a juiced road fav on the HC line), and Inter has been "winning ugly" lately. but for this situation, im tossing some on it. Inter -2 @-105
Atalanta/Roma - not sure why line isnt moving, Bergamo guys most in-form in league, unbeaten in 10 and banged in 2+ in all but 2 of them. Mou will have something for them, and most likely will be mucking up the midfield, Mou-style. but theyre 0-1-4 vs all the Scudetto contenders this season. going to play this 'safe' and take the AtalantaTT O2 @+114
Bologna/Juventus - this is one of the circled matches at seasons start. (isnt any longer. laughing) we havent lost there since god knows when, 10W-3D-0L in past 15 years & have won 11 straight meetings overall. but if theres ever a good time to break a trend then this might be it. Paulo out, Chiesa not fit, Giorgio staying back and 5 others on treatment table. Bologna has their own problems and Sash playing 5 across the middle for this one. im not entirely sure if thats the right approach, we struggle with ball pressure, not when someone sits back. taking a shot with this near evens, Juventus TT O1.5 @-108
Cagliari/Udine - really like the under here. both played midweek, Udine an extra days rest but they have that long trip for this one. Island guys have one of worst offenses and Udine been poor travellers but keep in mind theyve been playing MUCH better since the sacking. going to take a shot at the btts + draw @+330.
Fior/Sass - already have Sass in parlay, if thats still alive might just hedge. as mentioned before, this is the early one, dont like the juice on the total so take the btts + O2.5 @-120
Spezia/Empoli - Spezia were just thumped by Lecce on this pitch short while ago. theyre spiralling. Empoli flying, unbeaten in 5 now, 3 of them in the top half. nervous of these prices but going to take a chance with Empoli TT O1.5 @+102, and toss some on the outrights @+154.
Samp/Venezia - agreed. tho these prices seem low, visitors have 2 xtra days rest. PASS.
Torino/Verona - circled as Juric about to face the guys he ran out of town from. Verona should be fired up for this one. agreed, the over shouldnt be near evens here; btts has hit in 6 of Toros past 7 and Verona been leaking goals left & right lately. O2.5 @+102 and take the standard O1.5 @+120 2nd half.
Milan/Napoli - for obvious reasons, 'Match of R18". after both hot starts, the way these two have been playing - along with all those outside distractions weve been discussing lately - hate to give "importance" in a december match but this one is. as expected, Milan all out of sorts with Kjaer not back there, and with Insignes transfer rumors firing up once more its bad timing for them as they lost to 2 Scudetto challengers recently. prices in the 200s for them MIGHT seem a little 'off' but keep in mind theyve won only 1 of their past 6 in league(to be fair, Milan have just 2 themselves) ; however, agreed... they love visiting San Siro lost just twice in past 10 visits. so one missing their best defender while the other missing their leading scorer. sweet. smells like a draw both cant complain. Napoli still have the best defense in Serie A anyways. draw @+254
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Bologna/Juventus - this is one of the circled matches at seasons start. (isnt any longer. laughing) we havent lost there since god knows when, 10W-3D-0L in past 15 years & have won 11 straight meetings overall. but if theres ever a good time to break a trend then this might be it. Paulo out, Chiesa not fit, Giorgio staying back and 5 others on treatment table. Bologna has their own problems and Sash playing 5 across the middle for this one. im not entirely sure if thats the right approach, we struggle with ball pressure, not when someone sits back. taking a shot with this near evens, Juventus TT O1.5 @-108
Cagliari/Udine - really like the under here. both played midweek, Udine an extra days rest but they have that long trip for this one. Island guys have one of worst offenses and Udine been poor travellers but keep in mind theyve been playing MUCH better since the sacking. going to take a shot at the btts + draw @+330.
Fior/Sass - already have Sass in parlay, if thats still alive might just hedge. as mentioned before, this is the early one, dont like the juice on the total so take the btts + O2.5 @-120
Spezia/Empoli - Spezia were just thumped by Lecce on this pitch short while ago. theyre spiralling. Empoli flying, unbeaten in 5 now, 3 of them in the top half. nervous of these prices but going to take a chance with Empoli TT O1.5 @+102, and toss some on the outrights @+154.
Samp/Venezia - agreed. tho these prices seem low, visitors have 2 xtra days rest. PASS.
Torino/Verona - circled as Juric about to face the guys he ran out of town from. Verona should be fired up for this one. agreed, the over shouldnt be near evens here; btts has hit in 6 of Toros past 7 and Verona been leaking goals left & right lately. O2.5 @+102 and take the standard O1.5 @+120 2nd half.
Milan/Napoli - for obvious reasons, 'Match of R18". after both hot starts, the way these two have been playing - along with all those outside distractions weve been discussing lately - hate to give "importance" in a december match but this one is. as expected, Milan all out of sorts with Kjaer not back there, and with Insignes transfer rumors firing up once more its bad timing for them as they lost to 2 Scudetto challengers recently. prices in the 200s for them MIGHT seem a little 'off' but keep in mind theyve won only 1 of their past 6 in league(to be fair, Milan have just 2 themselves) ; however, agreed... they love visiting San Siro lost just twice in past 10 visits. so one missing their best defender while the other missing their leading scorer. sweet. smells like a draw both cant complain. Napoli still have the best defense in Serie A anyways. draw @+254
Serie B: tempted to just fade these Coppa squads but some rotating. Brescia/Citt - Inzaghi has them playing well, and Citt been poor on road + they just has a midweek match. line should be juiced. Brescia to win @+108, and toss some on the TT O1.5 @+120
Como/Reggina (tailing) - Como to win @+145, O2.5 @+120. Regginas season falling apart with all these missings.
Perugia/Ternana O2.5 @+115
Frosinone/SPAL draw @+254
Serie C: need to wait for lineups Sunday.
GL to all and have a good weekend
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Serie B: tempted to just fade these Coppa squads but some rotating. Brescia/Citt - Inzaghi has them playing well, and Citt been poor on road + they just has a midweek match. line should be juiced. Brescia to win @+108, and toss some on the TT O1.5 @+120
Como/Reggina (tailing) - Como to win @+145, O2.5 @+120. Regginas season falling apart with all these missings.
Lecce was the a/b upset after all - I was wise enough to play that one as well with all the money coming in on them.
Ata/Roma- as u noted with this line not moving something is amiss, wise of you to play the TT. As average as they’ve looked I’m expecting their best here. I’ve sided with Roma +.75 +100
cheers sir
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Sir spec-
Lecce was the a/b upset after all - I was wise enough to play that one as well with all the money coming in on them.
Ata/Roma- as u noted with this line not moving something is amiss, wise of you to play the TT. As average as they’ve looked I’m expecting their best here. I’ve sided with Roma +.75 +100
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