Posted:
#1
2012 Posting YTD: 21-23, -0.40
True to my reputation, things just sort of fizzled out after such a promising start to the week...
Sunday:
ENG MANCHESTER CITY TEAM TOTAL OVER 2½ [FT] -114 *2 UNITS*
*This one makes the most sense to me on a lot of different levels (if the AH hits, this hits; if the game total hits this, in all likelihood, hits; most important, it can still hit without either one of those hitting), so let's go with it: a) City's got United on deck next week, so they're not going to want to waste their time with Wolves - "shock and awe" should be the name of the game, b) in the two games since Carlos Tevez returned to the starting lineup, Tevez with 4 goals, Sergio Aguero with 4 goals, and City with totals of 6 and 4 - that quick strike offense that featured so prominently to start the season looks like it's returned, c) their last ten Premier League matches at Molineux, Wolves have given up 2 or more goals in 8/10, 3 or more goals in 6/10 and, of most significance to this wager, 3 or more goals in six of their last seven, d) City's tallied 3 or more goals in 4 of their last 5 with Wolves, and e) first choice keeper Wayne Hennessey is out for the season, so that means backup Dorus de Vries gets the start in net for Wolves - if he were any good to begin with, odds are he would've gotten the nod long before now.
The only major cause of concern would be the fact that last week's 6-1 win at Norwich marked the first time since November that City's scored 3+ on the road (actually, it was the first time since November they've scored more than one on the road) but, like I said, the offense seems to be clicking again for the first time in a long time, and all the pieces look to be in place for this to happen, so let's make it happen.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ADarLbF7Nsk
True to my reputation, things just sort of fizzled out after such a promising start to the week...
Sunday:
ENG MANCHESTER CITY TEAM TOTAL OVER 2½ [FT] -114 *2 UNITS*
*This one makes the most sense to me on a lot of different levels (if the AH hits, this hits; if the game total hits this, in all likelihood, hits; most important, it can still hit without either one of those hitting), so let's go with it: a) City's got United on deck next week, so they're not going to want to waste their time with Wolves - "shock and awe" should be the name of the game, b) in the two games since Carlos Tevez returned to the starting lineup, Tevez with 4 goals, Sergio Aguero with 4 goals, and City with totals of 6 and 4 - that quick strike offense that featured so prominently to start the season looks like it's returned, c) their last ten Premier League matches at Molineux, Wolves have given up 2 or more goals in 8/10, 3 or more goals in 6/10 and, of most significance to this wager, 3 or more goals in six of their last seven, d) City's tallied 3 or more goals in 4 of their last 5 with Wolves, and e) first choice keeper Wayne Hennessey is out for the season, so that means backup Dorus de Vries gets the start in net for Wolves - if he were any good to begin with, odds are he would've gotten the nod long before now.
The only major cause of concern would be the fact that last week's 6-1 win at Norwich marked the first time since November that City's scored 3+ on the road (actually, it was the first time since November they've scored more than one on the road) but, like I said, the offense seems to be clicking again for the first time in a long time, and all the pieces look to be in place for this to happen, so let's make it happen.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ADarLbF7Nsk
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