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over/unders 2.5 goals continued...

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Posted: #1
One selection for tonight, 1 for tomorrow and 8 for the weekend.

12013-03-01HollandVitesseUtrechtOver 2.5 Goals (software trial)1.65
22013-02-28BelgiumCercle BruggeClub BruggeOver 2.5 Goals (software trial)1.57


8 more software generated picks  can be found here

https://www.soccer-betbrain.com/trial-over25goalssystem-results

software is doing well with 15 of 20 correct last weekend.

backtested , the Eredivisie has given 

40 winners  21 losers   2012
80 winners 46 losers 2011
77 winners 42 losers 2010, so very solid results for the dutch league

Personally I would go with the trebel of Cercle brugge, Vitesse , ADO den Haag giving you 17 to 1. Nice bet for 1 unit (whatever it is for you ).

Good luck (crazy, but this damn program is outperforming human selections)
 
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Posted: #2
LOL mistyped and cant edit tje above odds in the post
 
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Posted: #3
What do you think about the o/u on the Lens vs Epinal game bruh??? 
 
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Posted: #4
Unfortunately I am only processing the following leagues.

Belgium, Dutch, SPain, Italy, Germany, Scotland , Portugal, Turkey, English PL, Scottish PL. Probably 400 games covered in a seaosn, hoping for solid over 65% hit rate.

 
 
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Posted: #5

neil, any leagues where u track unders??

i noticed france is the only top league not listed with the over system

 
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Posted: #6
I have 4 leagues that I like for unders

France and Italy are my biggest unders leagues. Back-tested the system produced 94 French predictions for last season (61-23 which is 72%) , and this season back-tested (27-11 for 71%).

The Italian Leagues were only 36 games last season (23-13) and this season (15-8). To me the bookies cannot figure out how to price this market. You run through 25000 games, and when the odds are within .2 of each other  ( say unders 1.67 fav v overs 1.83) anything can happen...They don't know either

 

 
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Posted: #7
The French league is a dog to bet on. It's everything you don't want. Inconsistent, poorly priced, lacking in trends, choppy, with few star performers and even fewer really bad ones. Its like PSG and Lyon and then the rest. How can Montpellier be so poor and inconsistent this season ?

ps How is the city of brotherly love ? I gotta visit in May for my brothers wedding.
 
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Posted: #8
Two goals in the 90th minute.  Nice one!
 
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Posted: #9
I like your style neilo, what's the play tomorrow in the juventus game? I'm so torn...
 
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Posted: #10
lol , first time I looked at the scores and its a miracle win. Bizarre to get 2 goals in 1 minute, and even more so to get them from the same team.
 
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Posted: #11
Away form Juventus

0-01-0
2013-02-03ChievoJuventus0-21-2
2013-01-13ParmaJuventus0-01-1
2012-12-21CagliariJuventus1-01-3
2012-12-09PalermoJuventus0-00-1
2012-11-25MilanJuventus1-01-0
2012-11-10PescaraJuventus1-51-6
2012-10-28CataniaJuventus0-00-1
2012-10-07SienaJuventus1-11-2

Away form is unders
 
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Posted: #12
Home form is overs

0-00-0
2013-02-02NapoliCatania2-02-0
2013-01-13NapoliPalermo2-03-0
2013-01-06NapoliRoma1-04-1
2012-12-16NapoliBologna0-12-3
2012-12-02NapoliPescara2-15-1
2012-11-17NapoliMilan2-12-2
2012-11-04NapoliTorino1-01-1
2012-10-28NapoliChievo0-01-0
 
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Posted: #13
Head to Head is overs

Napoli vs. Juventus
DateHTFT
2011-11-292-03-3
2011-01-092-03-0
2010-03-250-13-1
2008-10-180-02-1
2007-10-270-03-1

To me it  really depends on how Juventus play. They are 6 points clear in Serie A and don't need to win. They will play champions league style away soccer on the break, with a 541 formation. 

For  me the away style, and away form overrides the H2H form and the home form. I would think 1-0/1-1/0-1 are probably scores here. If Juv score 1st they will sit on it.  I would go unders  

 
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Posted: #14

Match stats & Goals
Home Wins4
Games Drawn1
Home Losses0
Goals per game4.00
Both Teams Scored80%
Over 2.5 Match Goals100%
1st half goals5
2nd half goals15
More goals 2nd half80%
Compare team statistics
Napoli clean sheets1Juventus clean sheets0
Napoli Goals14Juventus Goals6
Napoli HTDC4Juventus HTDC3
Napoli Double Chance5Juventus Double Chance1
Napoli score both halves2Juventus score both halves0
Napoli win both halves1Juventus win both halves0
Napoli win 1st half2Juventus win 1st half1
Napoli win 2nd half4Juventus win 2nd half1
Napoli win either half5Juventus win either half2
Exact Match Goals
Exact Match Goals 000%
Exact Match Goals 100%
Exact Match Goals 200%
Exact Match Goals 3240%
Exact Match Goals 4240%
Exact Match Goals 500%
Exact Match Goals 61
Exact 1st Half Goals
Exact 1st half Goals 02
Exact 1st half Goals 11
Exact 1st half Goals 22
Exact 1st half Goals 30
Exact 1st half Goals 40
Exact 1st half Goals 50
Exact 2nd Half Goals
Exact 2nd half Goals 00
Exact 2nd half Goals 11
Exact 2nd half Goals 20
Exact 2nd half Goals 32
Exact 2nd half Goals 42
Exact 2nd half Goals 50
 
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Posted: #15
All these stats are available at www.soccer-betbrain.com

If you are serious about betting (ie over $100 in a weekend) you need great information and stats. We have them ....
 
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Posted: #16
I put the fixture through the software and the results were inconclusive

Away Goal Rating for Juventus -- goals for 7 goals against 5.
To me its the key stat, Juv will control the pace and flow of the game. This will not be a blowout either way.
 
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Posted: #17
tell us something we dont know ...
Let that Sink in . Afuera ! Elon and Vivek / DOGE ..Afuera !
 
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Posted: #18
OK here's something .... you won't know 

In Italian Serie A the best performing home team ( this is average odds for a home win versus actual performance) is................

Catania . They have played 13 home games and won 9 at an average win price of 12.4 to 10

The worst performing home team looking at average price and wins is ...................................................................................
...................................................................................

Inter Milan with 7 home wins at 6.8 to 10. Inter would have stuck you in the hospital this season.

You gotta ask this question ...  DO you want Barcelona, R Madrid, Man United, Bayern  Munich at 2 to 10 or Catania at 12 to 10 ?

https://www.soccer-betbrain.com/average-home-win-odds
https://www.soccer-betbrain.com/average-away-win-odds

 
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Posted: #19
what is the point of just suggesting 5 predictions with no reasoning ?
 
 
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Posted: #20

Thanks.

What are the other 6 predictions for the weekend?

Good luck!

 
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Posted: #21
You will find them here  

https://www.soccer-betbrain.com/trial-over25goalssystem-results
 
 
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Posted: #22
Vitesse looking very good. They are a power house 2nd half team. 16 more 2nd half than 1st half goals in their last 6 matches at home
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