Serie A: well, Mancini(Natl coach) under quarantine, Dzeko too, Lazio adds another 3 to their list. Youth Leagues postponed, Serie C starting to get cancelled, some in 'B' too. put these plays in, dont have the energy to keep checking for Covid updates. would not advise going heavy on anything due to it.
Saturday: Cagliari/Samp - auto-play. 2nd of several this year; hit first one with ease as Fior thumped Udinese. Samp hates visiting the island. havent won there since the previous decade. (0W-5D-7L and counting) Cagliari pick @+112
Benevento/Spezia - important relegation battle. when these two were in Serie B they regularly had some of the most entertaining matches (even those low scores). both think they can beat the other and both push forward no matter what. over 3.5 @+135
Parma/Fiorentina - PASS.
Sunday: should be excited about this card, but things just arent the same. Bologna/Napoli - Bolognas concede streak will hit 40. Gattusos boys got embarrassed @home last week and he had one of his famous volcanic eruptions at his team last night. ill be suprised if this doesnt hit. toss out last July, Napoli has hit this in 10 of the past 12 meetings. Napoli TT over 2 @evens
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Serie A: well, Mancini(Natl coach) under quarantine, Dzeko too, Lazio adds another 3 to their list. Youth Leagues postponed, Serie C starting to get cancelled, some in 'B' too. put these plays in, dont have the energy to keep checking for Covid updates. would not advise going heavy on anything due to it.
Saturday: Cagliari/Samp - auto-play. 2nd of several this year; hit first one with ease as Fior thumped Udinese. Samp hates visiting the island. havent won there since the previous decade. (0W-5D-7L and counting) Cagliari pick @+112
Benevento/Spezia - important relegation battle. when these two were in Serie B they regularly had some of the most entertaining matches (even those low scores). both think they can beat the other and both push forward no matter what. over 3.5 @+135
Parma/Fiorentina - PASS.
Sunday: should be excited about this card, but things just arent the same. Bologna/Napoli - Bolognas concede streak will hit 40. Gattusos boys got embarrassed @home last week and he had one of his famous volcanic eruptions at his team last night. ill be suprised if this doesnt hit. toss out last July, Napoli has hit this in 10 of the past 12 meetings. Napoli TT over 2 @evens
Lazio/Juventus - Juve tends to not fare well in these early starts. but success @Olimpico depends on whom we are playing; we always struggle vs Roma. but Lazio?? theyre our punching bag. Last year I got paid for fading my own team as we went down there in a sandwich spot & lost. but prior to that, (in Serie A matches) Juventus is 9W-2d-0L in our past 11 Serie A visits down there. and we are getting bodies back (healthier), Lazio isnt. I dont play sides with Juve. PASS
Atalanta/Inter - sitting on a nice future with Atalatna being top dog on Jan 1st. and though they still have to come to our backyard this is the one I had circled. Inter in a really bad "form" right now, have won just 1 time in past 7 games overall. too much off-field drama going on over there and as mentioned last week, best to wait till they get a few 'w' under their stomach before backing them again. Lukaku might miss this one too. for Atalanta, Pool came down here midweek and kicked them into the Alps. last year City thumped them in similar fashion and they came back and banged in 7. hoping they can do that here but highly unlikely as thy are missing several key players for this one. PASS.
Genoa/Roma - Dzeko is the latest Covid casualty. the btts has hit in 7 of past 8 meetings. took the btts + over 2.55 @-102
Torino/Crotone - Toro digging their way our of relegation, if it wasnt for that massive brainfart vs Lazio theyd be on a 4 match unbeaten run. Belotti is out (i think), but theve played well vs newbies in previous years so I expect the same here. Crotone have proved to be tough @home, playing Juve, Milan & Atalanta close. but on their travels is a whole nother story... they havent held anyone below 4 goals yet being outscored 12-4. a pretty strong play.... Torino to win @+108 and taking 2nd half over 1.5 @-105
Milan/Verona - im leery of this one. Milan shouldnt be in the 200s. they just played last night, and actually looked like the schedule finally caught up with them. granted, they did have a few rotated (or maybe it was just the UEL). but there was zero energy out there. and Hellas has played these guys bloody tough the past 5 years (2W-3D-2L); their annoying style can put you to sleep. and theyve had a whole week to prep too. made the mistake of backing Napoli last weekend in this very same scenario with Sass & try not to repeat same mistakes. small play on Hellas +1/2 @+175 for now.
Serie B: Monza to win @+110 Cosenza/Brescia over 2.5 @+115
just one "outside" game Germany: (tailing) Dortmund/Munich - with the schedule cleared, not to mention Intl break coming up, its not wise to be fading Munich in this spot. and Dort w/out their fans levels off any perceived advangtage they THINK they might have. your'e giving me a healthy Bayern near evens in an empty stadium on the road? OK... ill bite. Munich to win @-115
EPL: was tempted to take City in that showdown, buddy told me Pool doesnt have a good record @Etihad. I but just dont know anything that is going on up there. Is Henderson even in Pools lineup? (Scotland plays on Thursday). him & Virgil both out cant be good news for them.
might be back for the Euros & WC qualifiers out there in Conmebol-land. have a good wknd and stay safe.
GL to all
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Lazio/Juventus - Juve tends to not fare well in these early starts. but success @Olimpico depends on whom we are playing; we always struggle vs Roma. but Lazio?? theyre our punching bag. Last year I got paid for fading my own team as we went down there in a sandwich spot & lost. but prior to that, (in Serie A matches) Juventus is 9W-2d-0L in our past 11 Serie A visits down there. and we are getting bodies back (healthier), Lazio isnt. I dont play sides with Juve. PASS
Atalanta/Inter - sitting on a nice future with Atalatna being top dog on Jan 1st. and though they still have to come to our backyard this is the one I had circled. Inter in a really bad "form" right now, have won just 1 time in past 7 games overall. too much off-field drama going on over there and as mentioned last week, best to wait till they get a few 'w' under their stomach before backing them again. Lukaku might miss this one too. for Atalanta, Pool came down here midweek and kicked them into the Alps. last year City thumped them in similar fashion and they came back and banged in 7. hoping they can do that here but highly unlikely as thy are missing several key players for this one. PASS.
Genoa/Roma - Dzeko is the latest Covid casualty. the btts has hit in 7 of past 8 meetings. took the btts + over 2.55 @-102
Torino/Crotone - Toro digging their way our of relegation, if it wasnt for that massive brainfart vs Lazio theyd be on a 4 match unbeaten run. Belotti is out (i think), but theve played well vs newbies in previous years so I expect the same here. Crotone have proved to be tough @home, playing Juve, Milan & Atalanta close. but on their travels is a whole nother story... they havent held anyone below 4 goals yet being outscored 12-4. a pretty strong play.... Torino to win @+108 and taking 2nd half over 1.5 @-105
Milan/Verona - im leery of this one. Milan shouldnt be in the 200s. they just played last night, and actually looked like the schedule finally caught up with them. granted, they did have a few rotated (or maybe it was just the UEL). but there was zero energy out there. and Hellas has played these guys bloody tough the past 5 years (2W-3D-2L); their annoying style can put you to sleep. and theyve had a whole week to prep too. made the mistake of backing Napoli last weekend in this very same scenario with Sass & try not to repeat same mistakes. small play on Hellas +1/2 @+175 for now.
Serie B: Monza to win @+110 Cosenza/Brescia over 2.5 @+115
just one "outside" game Germany: (tailing) Dortmund/Munich - with the schedule cleared, not to mention Intl break coming up, its not wise to be fading Munich in this spot. and Dort w/out their fans levels off any perceived advangtage they THINK they might have. your'e giving me a healthy Bayern near evens in an empty stadium on the road? OK... ill bite. Munich to win @-115
EPL: was tempted to take City in that showdown, buddy told me Pool doesnt have a good record @Etihad. I but just dont know anything that is going on up there. Is Henderson even in Pools lineup? (Scotland plays on Thursday). him & Virgil both out cant be good news for them.
might be back for the Euros & WC qualifiers out there in Conmebol-land. have a good wknd and stay safe.
Thanks for all your insight, Spec. Truly appreciated. I want to play Juve so bad, feel like Christian is healthy and heating up. BTTS is probably a go. I've been tailing your plays just haven't had time to pop in and say hello. Hope you and your family are healthy and safe. Let's have a hell of a weekend
2019 CPL XVIII Champion
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Thanks for all your insight, Spec. Truly appreciated. I want to play Juve so bad, feel like Christian is healthy and heating up. BTTS is probably a go. I've been tailing your plays just haven't had time to pop in and say hello. Hope you and your family are healthy and safe. Let's have a hell of a weekend
kwang,Kub appreciate it and tks fer stopping by. cazzo!!!!!! but it sure would be nice if I ever hit a **** Torino writeup this year. i should make that a priority gab, that 95 put me in a foul mood last Sunday. yoro, as always. hope youre doing well buddy. ya know, I took Cagl on the outrights as well; but to be fair, also tossed some on Verona too. got the +1/2 but good lord yoro, these injury timers this year keep punching me in the stomach.
in any case, not really the time/place to talk about it but yes gab, Covid has hit 'close to home' again and its been worrisome. made a bunch of plays at start of week before my melon gets in the way with these matches. didnt have time/cared to post (for obvious reasons). will get a thread up in a bit.
yoro, our "kids" won earlier (hit a play on that too). but forget about that part, this is our strongest group of U21's weve had in well over a decade (5-6 of them hold down starting jobs with Serie A clubs). but Covid almost wrecked everything for them. you know we actually travelled with TWO teams? the U20s went too, simply because they werent sure if everyone would pass the testing prior to match. it's pretty bad my friend. so we are very happy for them, 1 more point away from advancing to the U21 euros. will be back in a few mins.
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kwang,Kub appreciate it and tks fer stopping by. cazzo!!!!!! but it sure would be nice if I ever hit a **** Torino writeup this year. i should make that a priority gab, that 95 put me in a foul mood last Sunday. yoro, as always. hope youre doing well buddy. ya know, I took Cagl on the outrights as well; but to be fair, also tossed some on Verona too. got the +1/2 but good lord yoro, these injury timers this year keep punching me in the stomach.
in any case, not really the time/place to talk about it but yes gab, Covid has hit 'close to home' again and its been worrisome. made a bunch of plays at start of week before my melon gets in the way with these matches. didnt have time/cared to post (for obvious reasons). will get a thread up in a bit.
yoro, our "kids" won earlier (hit a play on that too). but forget about that part, this is our strongest group of U21's weve had in well over a decade (5-6 of them hold down starting jobs with Serie A clubs). but Covid almost wrecked everything for them. you know we actually travelled with TWO teams? the U20s went too, simply because they werent sure if everyone would pass the testing prior to match. it's pretty bad my friend. so we are very happy for them, 1 more point away from advancing to the U21 euros. will be back in a few mins.
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