Saturday EPL, EC and Germany

Soccer: 6-0, +35.08u
Bases: 1-0, +2.00u
L10 Plays:
# Sunderland vs Newcastle u2.5 (-143) 2.5* WIN
# Arsenal vs Liverpool u2.5 (-129) 5.0* WIN
# Derby -0.5 vs Watford (-125) 2.5* WIN
# Schalke -2.0 vs HJK Helsinki (-103) 10.0* WIN
# AZ Alkmaar -1.5 vs Aalesund (-108) 10.0* WIN
# Schalke -1.5/AZ Alkmaar -1.5 (+203) 2.5*  WIN
# Cardinals -1.0  vs Pirates (-115) 2.0*  WIN

As usual, I got other plays as well, but I will only post my 2u+ bets..

13:30 Wigan vs QPR, u2.5 (-150) 2.0*
A matchup between teams that got a combind two goals so far this season while not showing signs of offensive strenght.
For this one, Wigan will be without Alcaraz and also got their only "real" scoring treath in Moses doubtfull along with McCarthy.
I expect QPR to be happy with a draw here and I don't see who's gonna score for Wigan on a team that lies deep and defending.
Prediction: A boring 0-0 draw

15:30 K'slautern vs B. München, B. München -1.0 (-118) 2.0*
Last year FCK managed to upsett Bayern 2-0, something I think Bayern will make shure won't happend again as they've found their form after a bad season opener where they got upsett by Gladbach in a 0-1 home loss.
K'slautern have not been looking strong so far this season with only 2 pts in their first 3 matches where the last two where they've managed draws was against weak opponents while they lost 0-2 in Bremen in their season opener.
Bayern might just win by 1 as they've had a lot of those in recent year in matches they should have won by more, but that will make it a push at worst...
# Prediction: 2-0 Bayern

15:30 Hamburg vs Köln, o2.5 (-150) 2.5*
I'll do this one simple -- so far, Hamburg have gone over the total in all 3 of their matches with a total of 12 goals. Meanwhile, Köln have gone over the total in 2 of their 3, where the one that ended under had 2 goals in it for a total of 11 goals.
Köln got a solid offensive pair in Podolski and Novakovic, but their defense is a mess.
Also worth noting that Köln produced a ton of chances last week and could have won both 3 and 4-1, but the loss of Podolski that was out with the flu was to big.
The last two matchup between them in Hamburg have ended 3-1 and 6-2 last year.
# Prediction: 2-2 or 3-2 Hamburg

16:00 Chelsea vs Norwich, Chelsea -2.0 (+110) 10.0*
I just love this one -- with the line beeing so good I have to think there is some overreactions on Chelsea's slow offensive start to the season after a 0-0 draw at Stoke in the opener and a 2-1 win vs WBA where they got the winning goal late after a massive pressure.
In this one they'll face by far the weakest team so far and a nice oportunity to show the soccer world that they'll give Man Utd a though fight for the trophy and also a nice match for their new signing in Juan Mata that should prove to be a sold signing for them.
Last time they faced each other was back in 2007 in the FA-Cup where Chelsea handed them a 0-4 loss, a result that is likely to be repeated here.
# Prediction: 5-0 Chelsea

16:00 Ipswich vs Leeds, o2.5 (-154) 2.0*
16:00 Ipswich vs Leeds, Leeds PK (+110) 2.5*
A matchup between two teams that simply lacks defense, with Leeds having the better offense.
Ipswich is coming of a 1-7 beating at Petersbrough where they also got two red cards, a match that followed up their 2-5 beating at home vs Southampton -- I just can't see Ipswich managing to handle two big losses in this one when they host a Leeds team that got quality in every area except on defense.
Both teams have gone over the total in 3 of their 4 first matches, with some of them beeing with a big margin.
# Prediction: 4-2 Leeds Win

 ............. 

   

16:00 Brighton vs Petersbrough, o2.5/3.0 (-154) 5.0*
A matchup between two teams where both of them have scored at least one goal in every match this season and allowing at least oen goal in every one with the exception of Brighton's 1-0 win in Portsmouth.
So far, Brighton have avg. 3 goals pr. match while Petersbrough got an avg. of 4.5 goals pr. match.
The last two matchups between them have been entertaining affairs with a 2-4 Peersbrough win in 09 and Brighton winning 3-1 last year.
# Prediction: 3-2 Brighton

16:00 Middlesbrough vs Coventry, M'brough Win (-163) 5.0*
Well, I simply can't see Middlesbrough losing this one -- if it weren't for it beeing in EC, I would probably place a 10* on it...
This is simply a matchup between top and bottom as Middlesbrough have won 3 of their 4 matches (2-2 draw vs Portsmouth in the season opener) including two solid wins @ Leeds and vs Birmingham while Coventry have lost 3 of their 4 with the 1-1 draw vs Watford beeing their only point.
Middlesbrough simply got to much quality in every area to handle for Coventry.
# Prediction: 3-0 Middlesbrough

16:00 Bury vs Charlton, Charlton PK (-111) 2.5*
This is a matchup between newly promoted Bury and a Charlton team that is going for promotion and that have started in a solid way with 3 wins in their first 4 matches while going unbeaten.
# Prediction: 2-0 Charlton

BOL to all

MW, LONG

GL mate, like the picks. Might add the o2.5 in the Hamburg game to my selections

Blue
lochie   Let's hope were right...

# Middlesbrough -0.5/Brighton o2.5/Chelsea -1.5 (+283) 2.5*

Keep up the good work!

keep it going!!!

13:30 Wigan vs QPR, u2.5 (-150) 2.0* WIN
15:30 K'slautern vs B. München, B. München -1.0 (-118) 2.0* WIN
15:30 Hamburg vs Köln, o2.5 (-150) 2.5* WIN
16:00 Chelsea vs Norwich, Chelsea -2.0 (+110) 10.0* LOSS
16:00 Ipswich vs Leeds, o2.5 (-154) 2.0* WIN
16:00 Ipswich vs Leeds, Leeds PK (+110) 2.5* LOSS
16:00 Brighton vs Petersbrough, o2.5/3.0 (-154) 5.0* LOSS
16:00 Middlesbrough vs Coventry, M'brough Win (-163) 5.0* LOSS
16:00 Bury vs Charlton, Charlton PK (-111) 2.5* WIN
# Middlesbrough -0.5/Brighton o2.5/Chelsea -1.5 (+283) 2.5* LOSS

4-5, -19.85u

How Ivanovich didn't manage to score at the end is hard to understand
This was just an awfull day, losing all of my 3 biggest bets...

# MLB
18:05 Red Sox -1.5 (-135) 2.0*
19:05 Phillies -1.5 (-135) 2.0*
19:07 Rays ML (-125) 1.5*
# Red Sox ML/Phillies ML (-128) 2.5*

16:00 Chelsea vs Norwich, Chelsea -2.0 (+110) 10.0* PUSH

5-4-1, -9.85u

I tailed you on Wigan and Hamburg totals ... thanks for help in getting off to a great start. BOL today!

adlai Nice to hit an easy over like that in Hamburg from time to time

19:00 Auxerre vs Ajaccio, o2.0 (-138) 5.0*
Ajaccio have had 2 goals in all 3 of their matches so far while Auxerre have had it go over the 2.5 mark twice while their last one ended 1-1 in Bordeaux.
# Prediction: 2-1 Auxerre

19:00 Valenciennes vs Bordeaux, o2.0 (-105) 2.5*
# Valenciennes o1.5/Auxerre o1.5 (+113) 2.5*

19:00 Auxerre vs Ajaccio, o2.0 (-138) 5.0* WIN
19:00 Valenciennes vs Bordeaux, o2.0 (-105) 2.5* WIN
# Valenciennes o1.5/Auxerre o1.5 (+113) 2.5* WIN

8-4-1, +0.48u

Than you France

22:10 COL@LAD o8.0 (-115) 1.5*
22:10 Tigers -1.0 (-166) 10.0*

23:00 America MG vs Atletico GO, Atletico GO +0.25 (-118) 2.0*
Im going with the "in-form" team in this one and I see a draw at worst.
AMG have now played 3 matches in a row without a win while going 1-2-3 in their last 5.
Meanwhile, AGO have looked solid with 3 wins in a row and two of them beeing very solid as they crushed 2nd placed Flamengo 4-1 on the road and a nice 2-0 win at home vs Santos.
Prediction: 3-1 AGO

18:05 Red Sox -1.5 (-135) 2.0* WIN
19:05 Phillies -1.5 (-135) 2.0* PPD
19:07 Rays ML (-125) 1.5* WIN
# Red Sox ML/Phillies ML (-128) 2.5* WIN/PPD -- +1.09u

Soccer: 8-4-1, +0.48u
Bases: 3-0, +4.59u

01:10 CHC@MIL FF u4.0 (-115) 2.5*
02:05 Rangers -1.0 (-112) 5.0*

23:00 America MG vs Atletico GO, Atletico GO +0.25 (-118) 2.0* WIN
22:10 COL@LAD o8.0 (-115) 1.5* WIN
22:10 Tigers -1.0 (-166) 10.0* WIN

Soccer: 9-4-1, +2.48u
Bases: 5-0, +16.09u

Nice to turn the bad start into a positive day, much thanks to Chelsea getting that late 3-1 goal so I pushed that bet (a 10u difference if it had lost). Also my plays under 2u was good to me today as I went 23-15 overall for +7.77u