Posted:
#1
Eyes on the Europa League, which is an absolutely massive menu, but let's be selective with the play since money management is important, so I prefer to carefully select two matches to focus on
Qarabag - Goteborg
The Swedes have a 1-0 lead to defend on the road which came very fortunate to be honest, with their only real shot on target, among 4 shots in total. Qarabag had nearly 70% possession on the road and recorded 17 attempts but effectiveness costed them the vcitory. The same match picture is expected in Azerbaijan, and the Swedes will face an incredibly strong home team in humid weather conditions and 26 celcius during the evening, which is about more than a Swedish regular summer day. Weather aside, the Azeri's are superior individually, creativity, technique-wise and all factors except the physicality which goes to Goteborg. Keep in mind, Tottenham were the last team to defeat Qarabag at home, that was almost one year ago. Goteborg have a weak away record this season (3-3-4) and I doubt they can cope with chasing the ball in the weather conditions against a skillful and desperate home team
Shkendija - Gent
It was a thriller in Belgium when Gent got a late winner to make it 2-1, but the Macedonians still have the chance after scoring the oh so important away goal. Gent were not impressive to be honest, and the difference was expected to be a lot bigger considering the team value and the quality of respective league. Shkendija is a fairly "new" top team in Macedonia after being dominated by Vardar and Rabotnicki in recent years, but the very ambitious investments by the club have gathered many players from abroad with experience from the bigger leagues and currently stand on the verge of completing Macedonian football history by qualifying for Europa League group stages. Only one goal is needed, and Tetovo is warm and humid place for Belgian standards, and also hostile for visitors. I smell an underdog upset, as Shkendija were not out of the game by any means over in Belgium. They have also an incredibly strong home record to lean on where they have not lost in over one year (!) - Gent are in for a way tougher task than bookies predict, they focus too much on "Belgium versus Macedonia" in terms of league quality, clear underestimation in my opinion and I will take my chances for the friendly odds..
Qarabag - Goteborg
The Swedes have a 1-0 lead to defend on the road which came very fortunate to be honest, with their only real shot on target, among 4 shots in total. Qarabag had nearly 70% possession on the road and recorded 17 attempts but effectiveness costed them the vcitory. The same match picture is expected in Azerbaijan, and the Swedes will face an incredibly strong home team in humid weather conditions and 26 celcius during the evening, which is about more than a Swedish regular summer day. Weather aside, the Azeri's are superior individually, creativity, technique-wise and all factors except the physicality which goes to Goteborg. Keep in mind, Tottenham were the last team to defeat Qarabag at home, that was almost one year ago. Goteborg have a weak away record this season (3-3-4) and I doubt they can cope with chasing the ball in the weather conditions against a skillful and desperate home team
- Bets: Qarabag -1 AH @ 1.85 (5/10)
Shkendija - Gent
It was a thriller in Belgium when Gent got a late winner to make it 2-1, but the Macedonians still have the chance after scoring the oh so important away goal. Gent were not impressive to be honest, and the difference was expected to be a lot bigger considering the team value and the quality of respective league. Shkendija is a fairly "new" top team in Macedonia after being dominated by Vardar and Rabotnicki in recent years, but the very ambitious investments by the club have gathered many players from abroad with experience from the bigger leagues and currently stand on the verge of completing Macedonian football history by qualifying for Europa League group stages. Only one goal is needed, and Tetovo is warm and humid place for Belgian standards, and also hostile for visitors. I smell an underdog upset, as Shkendija were not out of the game by any means over in Belgium. They have also an incredibly strong home record to lean on where they have not lost in over one year (!) - Gent are in for a way tougher task than bookies predict, they focus too much on "Belgium versus Macedonia" in terms of league quality, clear underestimation in my opinion and I will take my chances for the friendly odds..
- Bets: Shkendija +0.5 @ 1.88 (3/10) and Shkendija PK @ 2.85 (1/10)
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