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    All Forums | Soccer

    Tues-Fri plays (Italy and Europe)......

    specimen24
    emduece
    wolfeman3
    Andalouse
    docpj72
    ...
    Participants:
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    specimen24
    specimen24
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    Posted: May. 3, 2022 - 2:58 PM ET #1

    busy week up ahead.  just tossing up everything discussed. bunch of plays

    Pending:

    Salernitana/Venezia O2.5 @-104 

    Serie A:
    immediately, tossing a decent amount on Bologna next wknd @+135, as they are trying hard to finish in top half. but also, this is short rest for Venezia whom have a massive relegation-deciding match with hated newbie Salern midweek. not winning would confirm their relegation status once and for all. the line will drop like a stone on thursday evening if that happens.

    as well, tailing the O1.5 @+110(2nd half) for the Salernitna/Venezia

    our annual Serie B Season Ending Goal Festival (friday):as Aless mentioned, toss out the oldest, the 3 year timeframe the 1.5s are 27-2 so will pair them up to knock down juice; 2.5s 18-11. most should be at '+' so you wont lose your shirt.

    Fros/Pisa finishing level @+225

    Lecce -1 @+160 (1st half) hammering this one. they will be celebrating all weekend long down there.

    Monza/Perugia O1.5 @+124 (2nd half)

    Serie C 2nd round: same as wknd Im taking the 2.5 for each & 2nd half 1.5s when they are available. or you can pair up the the 1.5s to knock down the juice. because of the rules, these 2nd rounders usually go sideways the last half hour. they are still kids ya know.


    Vercelli/Juve - will watch our kiddies wednesday. we have the misfortune of facing these guys again. knocked us out last year too at this stage. 2-0, 2-0, 1-0, 2-0, 1-0 last 5 meetings. so ill be donating & taking a 'supporter' (or whatever that word is called) shot with our kiddies here @+250. on a side note; ill never understand why some places have lines for the qualify/advance when theres no xtra time. idiots.

    UCL: not spending much/any time. both can end 0-0 or 3-2 either way.
    Villareal/Pool under 2.5 @+127
    Real/City goal before the 25th minute? Yes @-120

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    busy week up ahead.  just tossing up everything discussed. bunch of plays

    Pending:

    Salernitana/Venezia O2.5 @-104 

    Serie A:
    immediately, tossing a decent amount on Bologna next wknd @+135, as they are trying hard to finish in top half. but also, this is short rest for Venezia whom have a massive relegation-deciding match with hated newbie Salern midweek. not winning would confirm their relegation status once and for all. the line will drop like a stone on thursday evening if that happens.

    as well, tailing the O1.5 @+110(2nd half) for the Salernitna/Venezia

    our annual Serie B Season Ending Goal Festival (friday):as Aless mentioned, toss out the oldest, the 3 year timeframe the 1.5s are 27-2 so will pair them up to knock down juice; 2.5s 18-11. most should be at '+' so you wont lose your shirt.

    Fros/Pisa finishing level @+225

    Lecce -1 @+160 (1st half) hammering this one. they will be celebrating all weekend long down there.

    Monza/Perugia O1.5 @+124 (2nd half)

    Serie C 2nd round: same as wknd Im taking the 2.5 for each & 2nd half 1.5s when they are available. or you can pair up the the 1.5s to knock down the juice. because of the rules, these 2nd rounders usually go sideways the last half hour. they are still kids ya know.


    Vercelli/Juve - will watch our kiddies wednesday. we have the misfortune of facing these guys again. knocked us out last year too at this stage. 2-0, 2-0, 1-0, 2-0, 1-0 last 5 meetings. so ill be donating & taking a 'supporter' (or whatever that word is called) shot with our kiddies here @+250. on a side note; ill never understand why some places have lines for the qualify/advance when theres no xtra time. idiots.

    UCL: not spending much/any time. both can end 0-0 or 3-2 either way.
    Villareal/Pool under 2.5 @+127
    Real/City goal before the 25th minute? Yes @-120

     
    specimen24
    specimen24
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    Posted: May. 3, 2022 - 3:04 PM ET #2

    Copa Lib: the usual bolivian mountaintops and Peruvian fades. 
    Strongest/Paran O1.5 @+135 (2nd half)
    Petrolero/Palmeiras O1.5 @-108 (2nd half)
    Always/Boca O1.5 @+135 (2nd half)
    Olimpia to win @+115 - Paraguayans (all of them) consistently prove to be tough nuts at home
    Boca to win @+145 - prices with Boca look tempting. strange seeing them sitting in cellar halfway through. this is not going to be easy, tho the Gaucho behemoths had 72% possession, 21-4 shots, & 12-3 corners; but the Bolivians had a man sent off right before break. Boca didnt get their 2nd goal until deep into injury time. and theyve also LOST 7 of their past 8 roadies (while finding the net just once) in this thing since last season. their only win? 1-0 vs a Bolivian squad (go figure)
    Sporting/Catolica O2.5

    UEL: applicable future: Hammers outright @+1250

    WHU/Frank - well, this is where the new rule 'helps' I guess. Hammers dont need to worry about finding net several times just to extend it. cant hedge, at least not in the traditional sense. Germans dont even need to score, h*ll.. they can even afford to concede one. cant take their TT cause a 1-1 scoreline scr*ws us both ways. btts looks right cause both have practically found the net in ever UEL match this year. but im not fond of hedging with juice. let this one ride, I have a BIGGER 'worries' next weekend than this one.

    Rangers/Leipzig - a Scottish team in a final? that ought to get a few people out of their seats ehhh? didnt they have to go through Qualifying stages? then lost their first two matches in this thing? im not fading a Scottish side in Glasgow on a european night tho. they parked a major bus last week and somehow got out of it OK. so youd have to assume theyll at least try keep it close till the break. but eventually they will have to start sending numbers forward; and that runs right into the teeth of Leipzigs strengths so ill take a shot at the 2nd half O1.5 @ +104. funny thing is, Leipzig lost here back in '18 too, tho that was Group stages.

    Conference:
    Roma/Leicester - after their draw last night, this upcoming match is basically Mous season; the UCL slot is gone. his post-match interviews are becoming must-see tv too. so basically they can fight for the UEL slot or just win this d*mn thing and get in through the backdoor. thought they were fortunate to get the draw; 2/3 possession + double digit shots + 11/1 corners. the Mou special. @Olimpico they simply play differently, havent lost there since January. i understand this is an EPL side (that alone is reson enough to not go crazy on this), but Foxes have been poor on road all season long, have won just 3 their 15+ roadies since November. of course they dont need to win to advance but getting the home side '+' money is decent enough, Roma to win @+123.

    Marseille/Feye - agreed. normally, id lean heavily to the Under in 2nd legs when the opener is a goal-festival. and i know you guys have that stat (+130s is a nice price for a 2nd leg). but those stats were UCL/UELs. this Conf League cr*p has been polar opposite. all but 2 of the 12 2nd legs thus far have had less than 3. and in Feye theyve followed up goal festivals with another goal festival. with Marseille sitting in the CL slot behind PSG, i was wondering about their motivation for this thing. rolling over vs Lyon on weekend answered that. the 2.5 waaay too juiced, so ill just toss some on the O1.5 in each half @+333.

    have a good week and GL to all an_cheers

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    Copa Lib: the usual bolivian mountaintops and Peruvian fades. 
    Strongest/Paran O1.5 @+135 (2nd half)
    Petrolero/Palmeiras O1.5 @-108 (2nd half)
    Always/Boca O1.5 @+135 (2nd half)
    Olimpia to win @+115 - Paraguayans (all of them) consistently prove to be tough nuts at home
    Boca to win @+145 - prices with Boca look tempting. strange seeing them sitting in cellar halfway through. this is not going to be easy, tho the Gaucho behemoths had 72% possession, 21-4 shots, & 12-3 corners; but the Bolivians had a man sent off right before break. Boca didnt get their 2nd goal until deep into injury time. and theyve also LOST 7 of their past 8 roadies (while finding the net just once) in this thing since last season. their only win? 1-0 vs a Bolivian squad (go figure)
    Sporting/Catolica O2.5

    UEL: applicable future: Hammers outright @+1250

    WHU/Frank - well, this is where the new rule 'helps' I guess. Hammers dont need to worry about finding net several times just to extend it. cant hedge, at least not in the traditional sense. Germans dont even need to score, h*ll.. they can even afford to concede one. cant take their TT cause a 1-1 scoreline scr*ws us both ways. btts looks right cause both have practically found the net in ever UEL match this year. but im not fond of hedging with juice. let this one ride, I have a BIGGER 'worries' next weekend than this one.

    Rangers/Leipzig - a Scottish team in a final? that ought to get a few people out of their seats ehhh? didnt they have to go through Qualifying stages? then lost their first two matches in this thing? im not fading a Scottish side in Glasgow on a european night tho. they parked a major bus last week and somehow got out of it OK. so youd have to assume theyll at least try keep it close till the break. but eventually they will have to start sending numbers forward; and that runs right into the teeth of Leipzigs strengths so ill take a shot at the 2nd half O1.5 @ +104. funny thing is, Leipzig lost here back in '18 too, tho that was Group stages.

    Conference:
    Roma/Leicester - after their draw last night, this upcoming match is basically Mous season; the UCL slot is gone. his post-match interviews are becoming must-see tv too. so basically they can fight for the UEL slot or just win this d*mn thing and get in through the backdoor. thought they were fortunate to get the draw; 2/3 possession + double digit shots + 11/1 corners. the Mou special. @Olimpico they simply play differently, havent lost there since January. i understand this is an EPL side (that alone is reson enough to not go crazy on this), but Foxes have been poor on road all season long, have won just 3 their 15+ roadies since November. of course they dont need to win to advance but getting the home side '+' money is decent enough, Roma to win @+123.

    Marseille/Feye - agreed. normally, id lean heavily to the Under in 2nd legs when the opener is a goal-festival. and i know you guys have that stat (+130s is a nice price for a 2nd leg). but those stats were UCL/UELs. this Conf League cr*p has been polar opposite. all but 2 of the 12 2nd legs thus far have had less than 3. and in Feye theyve followed up goal festivals with another goal festival. with Marseille sitting in the CL slot behind PSG, i was wondering about their motivation for this thing. rolling over vs Lyon on weekend answered that. the 2.5 waaay too juiced, so ill just toss some on the O1.5 in each half @+333.

    have a good week and GL to all an_cheers

     
    emduece
    emduece
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    Posted: May. 3, 2022 - 3:08 PM ET #3

    have a great week, Specan_cheers

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    have a great week, Specan_cheers

     
    specimen24
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    Posted: May. 3, 2022 - 3:55 PM ET #4

    emduece peace_5   hope all is well with self/fam clover and thanks for stopping by.  will try to poke head in on thurs is time provides. 

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    emduece peace_5   hope all is well with self/fam clover and thanks for stopping by.  will try to poke head in on thurs is time provides. 

     
    wolfeman3
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    Posted: May. 4, 2022 - 11:10 PM ET #5

    Nice Copa Libra Hits! thumbs_up 

    The impossible only takes longer….
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    Nice Copa Libra Hits! thumbs_up 

     
    Andalouse
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    Posted: May. 5, 2022 - 12:45 PM ET #6

    an_praise

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    an_praise

     
    Andalouse
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    Posted: May. 5, 2022 - 1:26 PM ET #7

    Have a good week specan_cheers

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    Have a good week specan_cheers

     
    docpj72
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    Posted: May. 5, 2022 - 3:05 PM ET #8

    peace_5Spec-great call with Salern over 2nd half; nice finish for them considering their awful start--yeah not much else for Mou to play for-I just took Roma in-play +130 at home...good luck!

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    peace_5Spec-great call with Salern over 2nd half; nice finish for them considering their awful start--yeah not much else for Mou to play for-I just took Roma in-play +130 at home...good luck!

     
    docpj72
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    Posted: May. 5, 2022 - 5:59 PM ET #9

    an_cheersSpec-nice work--yeah I have Lecce -1.5/-2 circled for tomorrow-agree party central in the south ; Benevento/Spal O 2.5 -143 another play; Juve/Genoa tough call with Genoa desperate especially with Salern bagging the points today; Have a great rest of the week!

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    an_cheersSpec-nice work--yeah I have Lecce -1.5/-2 circled for tomorrow-agree party central in the south ; Benevento/Spal O 2.5 -143 another play; Juve/Genoa tough call with Genoa desperate especially with Salern bagging the points today; Have a great rest of the week!

     
    specimen24
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    Posted: May. 6, 2022 - 11:38 AM ET #10


    wolfe peace_5appreciate it. tks for stopping by.
    And peace_5
    Doc peace_5makes it 4-1 for season, last one next wknd. newbies rarely play for draws around here and given the situation with the relegation it played out as planned. (went 6-0 up there in EPL this year.) after listening to Mou all week that Roma play was actually a big one, but sweet jesus its never easy with him.

    Doc, quick thoughts and update on the week:
    Hammers match reminds me of how important it is to have prior european experience. 

    Im clueless on the 'ground level' day to day stuff up there but I got to admit....boy is Pep going to be thinking about THAT one for a while ehhh?  one of those losses which can fire up  that 'time for a change in scenery' thought every coach has once summer arrives.an_getaway  when i said its nuts to fade Real @Bernabeu that is not exactly what I had in mind. congrats to them. 

    Serie C 2nd round: 2.5s and 2nd half
    Vercelli/Juve @+150, +160 (L, L)
    Avellino/Foggia @+140, +145 (W W)
    Entella/Olbia @+102, +115 (L, W)
    Pescara/Gubbio @+102, +117 (W, L)
    Triestina/Patria @+127 +140 (W, W)
    Juve U23 to win @+250 (W)

    Salernitna/Venezia O 2.5 @-104, O1.5 @+110(2nd half) (W, W)


    Copa Lib:
    Strongest/Paran O1.5 @+135 (2nd half) (W)
    Petrolero/Palmeiras O1.5 @-108 (2nd half) (W)
    Always/Boca O1.5 @+135 (2nd half) (L)
    Olimpia to win @+115 (W)
    Boca to win @+145 (W)
    Sporting/Catolica O2.5 @+108 (L)

    UCL:
    Villareal/Pool under 2.5 @+127 (L)
    Real/City goal before the 25th minute? Yes @-120 (L)

    UEL:
    Rangers/Leipzig 2nd half O1.5 @ +104 (W)

    Conference:
    Roma to win @+123 (W)
    Marseille/Feye O1.5 in each half @+333 (L)

    still have the 'B' plays and the over in all for fun. 

    will put up thoughts on tonights games in a bit. will put up rest later on. 

     

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    wolfe peace_5appreciate it. tks for stopping by.
    And peace_5
    Doc peace_5makes it 4-1 for season, last one next wknd. newbies rarely play for draws around here and given the situation with the relegation it played out as planned. (went 6-0 up there in EPL this year.) after listening to Mou all week that Roma play was actually a big one, but sweet jesus its never easy with him.

    Doc, quick thoughts and update on the week:
    Hammers match reminds me of how important it is to have prior european experience. 

    Im clueless on the 'ground level' day to day stuff up there but I got to admit....boy is Pep going to be thinking about THAT one for a while ehhh?  one of those losses which can fire up  that 'time for a change in scenery' thought every coach has once summer arrives.an_getaway  when i said its nuts to fade Real @Bernabeu that is not exactly what I had in mind. congrats to them. 

    Serie C 2nd round: 2.5s and 2nd half
    Vercelli/Juve @+150, +160 (L, L)
    Avellino/Foggia @+140, +145 (W W)
    Entella/Olbia @+102, +115 (L, W)
    Pescara/Gubbio @+102, +117 (W, L)
    Triestina/Patria @+127 +140 (W, W)
    Juve U23 to win @+250 (W)

    Salernitna/Venezia O 2.5 @-104, O1.5 @+110(2nd half) (W, W)


    Copa Lib:
    Strongest/Paran O1.5 @+135 (2nd half) (W)
    Petrolero/Palmeiras O1.5 @-108 (2nd half) (W)
    Always/Boca O1.5 @+135 (2nd half) (L)
    Olimpia to win @+115 (W)
    Boca to win @+145 (W)
    Sporting/Catolica O2.5 @+108 (L)

    UCL:
    Villareal/Pool under 2.5 @+127 (L)
    Real/City goal before the 25th minute? Yes @-120 (L)

    UEL:
    Rangers/Leipzig 2nd half O1.5 @ +104 (W)

    Conference:
    Roma to win @+123 (W)
    Marseille/Feye O1.5 in each half @+333 (L)

    still have the 'B' plays and the over in all for fun. 

    will put up thoughts on tonights games in a bit. will put up rest later on. 

     

     
    specimen24
    specimen24
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    Posted: May. 6, 2022 - 11:44 AM ET #11

    Friday: put these two together. be mindful Derby d'Italia Part IV coming up next week which is becoming one of the more anticipated of the season as it might be the only chance for hardware for both (that **** SuperCup doesnt count) - first time ive probably said that in a few decades ehhh?

    Inter/Empoli - well, they go first this weekend. some of us still have that Lombardy prop going, so naturally it would be nice for Inter to drop pts. i actually think opening in the 500s is kind of LOW given the situation. nothing much to see here, and i wouldnt dare touch the O/U either. PASS.

    Genoa/Juventus - stay away from this one. if youre wondering why this line opened soo low, its been over 15 years since Genoa relegated so theyll be going 200% here tho theyll still get relegated (see their sched). with our CL slot secured and the Coppa Final next week, Max is notorious for rotating when all goals achieved; especially for those whom are not under contract next year. (maybe hes Agneli had a chat with him). but I doubt it. with all that money we spent upfront, its comical half our goals past 3 games have come from our backline. Vlah hasnt found net in 3 games, hes 4 behind Mr Selfish so ill toss some on him if can get it at '+' money but thats about it. who cares, just get out of this with no injuries please
    edit: took Vlah anytime @+120

    GL to all  an_cheers

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    Friday: put these two together. be mindful Derby d'Italia Part IV coming up next week which is becoming one of the more anticipated of the season as it might be the only chance for hardware for both (that **** SuperCup doesnt count) - first time ive probably said that in a few decades ehhh?

    Inter/Empoli - well, they go first this weekend. some of us still have that Lombardy prop going, so naturally it would be nice for Inter to drop pts. i actually think opening in the 500s is kind of LOW given the situation. nothing much to see here, and i wouldnt dare touch the O/U either. PASS.

    Genoa/Juventus - stay away from this one. if youre wondering why this line opened soo low, its been over 15 years since Genoa relegated so theyll be going 200% here tho theyll still get relegated (see their sched). with our CL slot secured and the Coppa Final next week, Max is notorious for rotating when all goals achieved; especially for those whom are not under contract next year. (maybe hes Agneli had a chat with him). but I doubt it. with all that money we spent upfront, its comical half our goals past 3 games have come from our backline. Vlah hasnt found net in 3 games, hes 4 behind Mr Selfish so ill toss some on him if can get it at '+' money but thats about it. who cares, just get out of this with no injuries please
    edit: took Vlah anytime @+120

    GL to all  an_cheers

     
    emduece
    emduece
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    Posts: 4483
    Posted: May. 6, 2022 - 11:56 AM ET #12

    bit juicy, but i like inter at half -240, will parley with something else.an_light

    thanks for the headsup on Juve. may be worth playing the drawpeace_5

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    bit juicy, but i like inter at half -240, will parley with something else.an_light

    thanks for the headsup on Juve. may be worth playing the drawpeace_5

     
    WCI
    WCI
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    Posts: 2331
    Posted: May. 6, 2022 - 12:56 PM ET #13

    I'm absolutely still thinking about the Madrid game. Feel like I'm dreaming. I will remember that match for the rest of my life and still have no idea how we advanced. Excellent work in Copa, even the few losses could have easily been winners. Have a great weekend my friend, hope you and yours are happy and healthy. peace_5

    2019 CPL XVIII Champion
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    I'm absolutely still thinking about the Madrid game. Feel like I'm dreaming. I will remember that match for the rest of my life and still have no idea how we advanced. Excellent work in Copa, even the few losses could have easily been winners. Have a great weekend my friend, hope you and yours are happy and healthy. peace_5

     
    vaas187
    vaas187
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    Posts: 12523
    Posted: May. 6, 2022 - 1:06 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by emduece:

    bit juicy, but i like inter at half -240, will parley with something else. thanks for the headsup on Juve. may be worth playing the draw
    yikes

    I had -1.5, thankfully cashed out. Grabbed live +170 down 1-0. 

    martinez first gs failed.

     

    good luck boys

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    Quote Originally Posted by emduece:

    bit juicy, but i like inter at half -240, will parley with something else. thanks for the headsup on Juve. may be worth playing the draw
    yikes

    I had -1.5, thankfully cashed out. Grabbed live +170 down 1-0. 

    martinez first gs failed.

     

    good luck boys

     
    emduece
    emduece
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    Posts: 4483
    Posted: May. 6, 2022 - 1:18 PM ET #15

    @vaas187

     well there goes that parleyan_roll_laugh

    friday shenanigans!

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    @vaas187

     well there goes that parleyan_roll_laugh

    friday shenanigans!

     
     
    specimen24
    specimen24
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    Posts: 6175
    Posted: May. 7, 2022 - 2:07 AM ET #16

    duece,peace_5 smart to make it a combo and knock down the juice. at least you werent in my shoes with Lecce basically wiping out the Roma play the previous night.

    WCIpeace_5, hope all is well with self/fam. nice to see you still around. congrats on your club, i know you follow them through ups/downs and when one reaches the final of a major comp, thats always worth celebrating over. did nt get a chance to watch that live cause of U23 team in playoffs, saw video replay. even 15 mins afterwards sitting there an_eek2 i wonder with them reaching the final how much this will 'reduce' CR7 stature. because many on that roster he played with are still there.  ehhh. 

    vaas peace_5

    split the 'B' goal festival at 5-5 for small profit.    rough evening otherwise. and as expected, Genoa get a result.

    Fros/Pisa finishing level @+225 (L)
    Lecce -1 @+160 (1st half) (L)
    Monza/Perugia O1.5 @+124 (2nd half) (L)

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    duece,peace_5 smart to make it a combo and knock down the juice. at least you werent in my shoes with Lecce basically wiping out the Roma play the previous night.

    WCIpeace_5, hope all is well with self/fam. nice to see you still around. congrats on your club, i know you follow them through ups/downs and when one reaches the final of a major comp, thats always worth celebrating over. did nt get a chance to watch that live cause of U23 team in playoffs, saw video replay. even 15 mins afterwards sitting there an_eek2 i wonder with them reaching the final how much this will 'reduce' CR7 stature. because many on that roster he played with are still there.  ehhh. 

    vaas peace_5

    split the 'B' goal festival at 5-5 for small profit.    rough evening otherwise. and as expected, Genoa get a result.

    Fros/Pisa finishing level @+225 (L)
    Lecce -1 @+160 (1st half) (L)
    Monza/Perugia O1.5 @+124 (2nd half) (L)

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