Morocco / Croatia – Croatia +110 (1 unit) – I really won’t be surprised if Morocco give Croatia all they can handle here – but this line is just too short for the experience and organization that Croatia brings. Croatia's midfield should be a problem for Morocco – the relentless chasing that Croatia likes to induce will wear on Morocco. Close match – and better matchups moving forward for Morocco. Predicted Final Score Croatia 1 Morocco 0
Germany / Japan – Draw +380 (risk .5 unit) – Going to take a shot on a long odds draw here. Germany the much better side, but Japan play together a lot and are organized and can defend. First round games are very tight – and sides that play together at club level and same leagues usually have an advantage – and a team like Germany will take time to hit in to full gear. I expect 70% German possession, but Japan should be able to limit the chances, and hit on the counter. Low scoring draw possible… Predicted Final Score Germany 2 Japan 1
Spain / Costa Rica – No Bet – Spain will struggle with inconsistent scoring – but not in this game. Costa Rica really cant match up at all – and will likely bunker in and be defending all match. Spain might score 1, 2, 3, 4…. Who knows. Predicted final score Spain 2 Costa Rica 0
Belgium / Canada – Canada +1 +100 (1 unit) – I think Canada can give Belgium a game here if they can get over their nerves and deal with the midfield pace of Belgium. Lukaku is out for this one for Belgium, so likely Batshuayi takes his place – but there is a big dropoff there in hold up and physical play. Belgium has an aging defense past it’s prime – and the speed up top for Canada could give them fits on the counter attack if they can turn Belgium over in midfield. Easier said than done – but I think this game stays close – and more likely that Canada can squeeze a result than Belgium a multi-goal win. Predicted final score Belgium 2 Canada 1
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Wednesday Nov 23
Morocco / Croatia – Croatia +110 (1 unit) – I really won’t be surprised if Morocco give Croatia all they can handle here – but this line is just too short for the experience and organization that Croatia brings. Croatia's midfield should be a problem for Morocco – the relentless chasing that Croatia likes to induce will wear on Morocco. Close match – and better matchups moving forward for Morocco. Predicted Final Score Croatia 1 Morocco 0
Germany / Japan – Draw +380 (risk .5 unit) – Going to take a shot on a long odds draw here. Germany the much better side, but Japan play together a lot and are organized and can defend. First round games are very tight – and sides that play together at club level and same leagues usually have an advantage – and a team like Germany will take time to hit in to full gear. I expect 70% German possession, but Japan should be able to limit the chances, and hit on the counter. Low scoring draw possible… Predicted Final Score Germany 2 Japan 1
Spain / Costa Rica – No Bet – Spain will struggle with inconsistent scoring – but not in this game. Costa Rica really cant match up at all – and will likely bunker in and be defending all match. Spain might score 1, 2, 3, 4…. Who knows. Predicted final score Spain 2 Costa Rica 0
Belgium / Canada – Canada +1 +100 (1 unit) – I think Canada can give Belgium a game here if they can get over their nerves and deal with the midfield pace of Belgium. Lukaku is out for this one for Belgium, so likely Batshuayi takes his place – but there is a big dropoff there in hold up and physical play. Belgium has an aging defense past it’s prime – and the speed up top for Canada could give them fits on the counter attack if they can turn Belgium over in midfield. Easier said than done – but I think this game stays close – and more likely that Canada can squeeze a result than Belgium a multi-goal win. Predicted final score Belgium 2 Canada 1
This Costa Rica team was the 32nd team to make the tournament. Imagine in 2026 when there are 16 more teams who are worse than CR playing in a 48 team field.
Yikes. Imagine.
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Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
This Costa Rica team was the 32nd team to make the tournament. Imagine in 2026 when there are 16 more teams who are worse than CR playing in a 48 team field.
Van why do some of your plays contradict your final score predictions ?
I am glad someone asked this....
When betting in to odds (instead of spreads for instance) - you very often have to bet on selections you think are actually going to lose.
I know that sounds different. But when you are betting a 4-1 dog, you dont actually think they are going to win - you think they have a better than 4-1 chance of winning.
So it would be totally disingenuous of me to post predicted final scores that just align with my bets.
Make sense?
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Quote Originally Posted by ari:
Van why do some of your plays contradict your final score predictions ?
I am glad someone asked this....
When betting in to odds (instead of spreads for instance) - you very often have to bet on selections you think are actually going to lose.
I know that sounds different. But when you are betting a 4-1 dog, you dont actually think they are going to win - you think they have a better than 4-1 chance of winning.
So it would be totally disingenuous of me to post predicted final scores that just align with my bets.
This Costa Rica team was the 32nd team to make the tournament. Imagine in 2026 when there are 16 more teams who are worse than CR playing in a 48 team field.
It's ridiculous when you think about it, that's almost a quarter of all the national teams on earth (211) and Europe is only getting 16 of those 48 spots
back in the day 1982, 86, 1990 & 94 UEFA had 14 of the 24 spots
First real thrashing of the World Cup and I missed out was going to take the over 5.5 but backed out
Keep Calm and Bet 10 Play Over Parlays
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@vanzack
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
This Costa Rica team was the 32nd team to make the tournament. Imagine in 2026 when there are 16 more teams who are worse than CR playing in a 48 team field.
It's ridiculous when you think about it, that's almost a quarter of all the national teams on earth (211) and Europe is only getting 16 of those 48 spots
back in the day 1982, 86, 1990 & 94 UEFA had 14 of the 24 spots
First real thrashing of the World Cup and I missed out was going to take the over 5.5 but backed out
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