of the 15 games on sunday the home team is the fav in 14
here are the 5 i think cover and just might win SU
panthers ml
saints ml and O 51
bangles +13.5
browns ml
rams +9.5 proline tie
8 might be to many pts
injury update
Vikings RB Adrian Peterson (hamstring) did not
practice today after being limited on Wednesday and will be a game-time
decision for Sunday's game against Carolina.
Patriots RBs Laurence Maroney (shoulder) and LaMont Jordan (foot) both missed their second straight day of practice and could be inactive Sunday against Miami.
this the monday night game
That’s two missed practices in a row for LaDainian Tomlinson.
After missing practice on Wednesday, the Chargers running back didn’t
participate in Thursday’s session either, as his jammed right big toe
problem lingers. No changes on the Jets’ side.
The Chargers reported these injuries: Clinton Hart (hand), Shaun
Phillips (groin) and Harris (hip bruise). Also, Antonio Gates, who
played sparingly, left wearing only a sandal on his left foot
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
of the 15 games on sunday the home team is the fav in 14
here are the 5 i think cover and just might win SU
panthers ml
saints ml and O 51
bangles +13.5
browns ml
rams +9.5 proline tie
8 might be to many pts
injury update
Vikings RB Adrian Peterson (hamstring) did not
practice today after being limited on Wednesday and will be a game-time
decision for Sunday's game against Carolina.
Patriots RBs Laurence Maroney (shoulder) and LaMont Jordan (foot) both missed their second straight day of practice and could be inactive Sunday against Miami.
this the monday night game
That’s two missed practices in a row for LaDainian Tomlinson.
After missing practice on Wednesday, the Chargers running back didn’t
participate in Thursday’s session either, as his jammed right big toe
problem lingers. No changes on the Jets’ side.
The Chargers reported these injuries: Clinton Hart (hand), Shaun
Phillips (groin) and Harris (hip bruise). Also, Antonio Gates, who
played sparingly, left wearing only a sandal on his left foot
Nice call on Colorado. Phils looked good in the 7th, and again in the 8th with 2 on and one out, but that's baseball.
I know you got burned on the Fins last week but 12.5 seems like a lot to cover for Cassels and co. Miami covered last year (22 point spread I think), and beat the pats in their last regular season loss (2006). Thinking about taking the points here.
Panthers are 2-0, Vikes 0-2, starting Gus F and giving 3 points. What is wrong with this picture? Strange.
Not a lot of love for KC these days. Can the Falcons cover 5.5? If the Raiders can take KC apart in Arrowhead, can't see Atlanta having a problem, especially with a new QB at the helm.
GL with your picks.
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Hey wmp,
Nice call on Colorado. Phils looked good in the 7th, and again in the 8th with 2 on and one out, but that's baseball.
I know you got burned on the Fins last week but 12.5 seems like a lot to cover for Cassels and co. Miami covered last year (22 point spread I think), and beat the pats in their last regular season loss (2006). Thinking about taking the points here.
Panthers are 2-0, Vikes 0-2, starting Gus F and giving 3 points. What is wrong with this picture? Strange.
Not a lot of love for KC these days. Can the Falcons cover 5.5? If the Raiders can take KC apart in Arrowhead, can't see Atlanta having a problem, especially with a new QB at the helm.
I heard a weird stat last year about road dogs of +10 or more covering a lot of the time, can't remember the exact numbers but they were solid.
What concerns me is the way SD lost last week(and in week 1). Could they be super pissed feeling like they got robbed, and with their season on the line?
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I heard a weird stat last year about road dogs of +10 or more covering a lot of the time, can't remember the exact numbers but they were solid.
What concerns me is the way SD lost last week(and in week 1). Could they be super pissed feeling like they got robbed, and with their season on the line?
Found this information on a site. Pretty good food for thought.
Ohio @ Northwestern (-10.5) - The Cats are simply not accustomed to being favored by double digits. Since the start of the 1980 season, Northwestern has been favored by 10 or more points just 25 times. They are 9-16 ATS in those games (36%). On a side note, the largest number NU has ever laid was 19 points back in 1998 vs. UNLV.
Wyoming @ BYU (-27) - BYU has been favored in every game in this series since 1985. This is the highest number in this series since 1985 when BYU was a 30-point chalk. Dating back to 2004, the Cougars have covered four straight vs. Wyoming. However, leading up to '04, the Cowboys had covered 8 in a row. BYU has won 13 of the last 15 games in this series outright.
Alabama @ Arkansas (+9.5) - Bama has been favored on the road just 5 times in this series. They are a (-9.5) point favorite this Saturday which is the highest point spread in Bama's favor EVER when traveling to the Razors home field. The last time the Tide was favored @ Arky was back in 2000. The Crimson Tide are 4-4 SU in Arkansas but they have lost four of the last five SU.
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina (-1.5) - The Heels have been a double digit underdog each of the last four years vs. the Hokies. Last year they were +19.5 @ Virginia Tech and lost the game 17-10. Now they are actually favored after being nearly a 3 TD dog just 12 months ago.
Utah @ Air Force (+7.5) - In this huge Mountain West rivalry, Air Force has been a home dog to Utah just TWICE since 1980. Once in 1994 and another time in 2001. Not only did the Falcons cover both of those games, they won them each outright as 7.5 point and 16.5 point underdogs.
East Carolina @ NC State (+7.5) - The Wolfpack have never been a home dog to ECU. The Pirates have been a road favorite of a TD or more just 14 times since 1980. They are 7-7 ATS in those games. ECU has been favored on the road vs. an ACC team just twice in their history. Both games were vs. Duke.
Wake Forest @ Florida State (-4) - FSU has won 14 of the 16 meetings SU. Wake has won the last two meetings however by a combined score of 54-21. The Noles have been favored in EVERY meeting with the Demon Deacons. Interestingly enough, the 4-points that FSU is laying this year is the lowest number in this ACC series. Of the previous 16 match ups, FSU has been favored by double digits 14 times including a high water mark of -48 just eight years ago.
Ball State @ Indiana (-3) - The Hoosiers have been a cash cow at home vs. teams from the MAC. Since 1980, the Hoosiers have played host to a MAC team 12 times. They are a perfect 12-0 SU in those games winning by an average score of 32-14. Since Las Vegas started posting point spread on MAC teams in 1998, IU is 5-1 ATS at home vs. that conference.
Eastern Michigan @ Maryland (-21.5) - Last week's Terp upset of Cal was a rare occurrence. Since 1980, Maryland has been a dog of more than 14-points 47 times and last week was just their fourth SU win under those circumstances. It was their first EVER win at home as a dog of more than two TD's. Now they are laying more than three TD's for the eighth time since the start of the 2003 season. They are only 1-6 ATS in those games.
Fresno State @ Toledo (+7) - The Rockets have been a home underdog seven times since the start of the 2000 season. They are 6-1 ATS (85%) in those games. What's even more impressive is the fact that they have won 6 of those 7 games out right. Looking back in our extensive database, which goes back to 1980, this is the first time Fresno has ventured on the road to play a school from the MAC.
Rice @ Texas (-30) - This will be the Owl's third straight road game which got us thinking. I wonder how teams do in their third consecutive road game if they are an underdog of more than four TD's? It's happened 42 times and as can be expected, the big dog has lost every one out right. The underdog's point spread mark in those games is a fairly non-descript 19-23 ATS (45%). UT, however, has done well in this role covering 14 of the 20 times they've been a chalk of more than 28 points dating back to November of the 2001 season.
Arizona @ UCLA (+2.5) - The Cats are venturing into unchartered territory here. They have been favored just ONE TIME at UCLA and that was back in 1999. Arizona won and covered that game 33-7 as a 4-point favorite. The Bruins have been a big time money maker as a home underdog. UCLA has covered 17 of their last 21 in that role (81%) dating back to the 1992 season.
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Found this information on a site. Pretty good food for thought.
Ohio @ Northwestern (-10.5) - The Cats are simply not accustomed to being favored by double digits. Since the start of the 1980 season, Northwestern has been favored by 10 or more points just 25 times. They are 9-16 ATS in those games (36%). On a side note, the largest number NU has ever laid was 19 points back in 1998 vs. UNLV.
Wyoming @ BYU (-27) - BYU has been favored in every game in this series since 1985. This is the highest number in this series since 1985 when BYU was a 30-point chalk. Dating back to 2004, the Cougars have covered four straight vs. Wyoming. However, leading up to '04, the Cowboys had covered 8 in a row. BYU has won 13 of the last 15 games in this series outright.
Alabama @ Arkansas (+9.5) - Bama has been favored on the road just 5 times in this series. They are a (-9.5) point favorite this Saturday which is the highest point spread in Bama's favor EVER when traveling to the Razors home field. The last time the Tide was favored @ Arky was back in 2000. The Crimson Tide are 4-4 SU in Arkansas but they have lost four of the last five SU.
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina (-1.5) - The Heels have been a double digit underdog each of the last four years vs. the Hokies. Last year they were +19.5 @ Virginia Tech and lost the game 17-10. Now they are actually favored after being nearly a 3 TD dog just 12 months ago.
Utah @ Air Force (+7.5) - In this huge Mountain West rivalry, Air Force has been a home dog to Utah just TWICE since 1980. Once in 1994 and another time in 2001. Not only did the Falcons cover both of those games, they won them each outright as 7.5 point and 16.5 point underdogs.
East Carolina @ NC State (+7.5) - The Wolfpack have never been a home dog to ECU. The Pirates have been a road favorite of a TD or more just 14 times since 1980. They are 7-7 ATS in those games. ECU has been favored on the road vs. an ACC team just twice in their history. Both games were vs. Duke.
Wake Forest @ Florida State (-4) - FSU has won 14 of the 16 meetings SU. Wake has won the last two meetings however by a combined score of 54-21. The Noles have been favored in EVERY meeting with the Demon Deacons. Interestingly enough, the 4-points that FSU is laying this year is the lowest number in this ACC series. Of the previous 16 match ups, FSU has been favored by double digits 14 times including a high water mark of -48 just eight years ago.
Ball State @ Indiana (-3) - The Hoosiers have been a cash cow at home vs. teams from the MAC. Since 1980, the Hoosiers have played host to a MAC team 12 times. They are a perfect 12-0 SU in those games winning by an average score of 32-14. Since Las Vegas started posting point spread on MAC teams in 1998, IU is 5-1 ATS at home vs. that conference.
Eastern Michigan @ Maryland (-21.5) - Last week's Terp upset of Cal was a rare occurrence. Since 1980, Maryland has been a dog of more than 14-points 47 times and last week was just their fourth SU win under those circumstances. It was their first EVER win at home as a dog of more than two TD's. Now they are laying more than three TD's for the eighth time since the start of the 2003 season. They are only 1-6 ATS in those games.
Fresno State @ Toledo (+7) - The Rockets have been a home underdog seven times since the start of the 2000 season. They are 6-1 ATS (85%) in those games. What's even more impressive is the fact that they have won 6 of those 7 games out right. Looking back in our extensive database, which goes back to 1980, this is the first time Fresno has ventured on the road to play a school from the MAC.
Rice @ Texas (-30) - This will be the Owl's third straight road game which got us thinking. I wonder how teams do in their third consecutive road game if they are an underdog of more than four TD's? It's happened 42 times and as can be expected, the big dog has lost every one out right. The underdog's point spread mark in those games is a fairly non-descript 19-23 ATS (45%). UT, however, has done well in this role covering 14 of the 20 times they've been a chalk of more than 28 points dating back to November of the 2001 season.
Arizona @ UCLA (+2.5) - The Cats are venturing into unchartered territory here. They have been favored just ONE TIME at UCLA and that was back in 1999. Arizona won and covered that game 33-7 as a 4-point favorite. The Bruins have been a big time money maker as a home underdog. UCLA has covered 17 of their last 21 in that role (81%) dating back to the 1992 season.
wmp....any thoughts on Navy-Rutgers? Navy lost to BalSt on the road and Rutgers beat them at home. Rutgers giving up 181+ on the ground and don't have a RB to speak of now...
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wmp....any thoughts on Navy-Rutgers? Navy lost to BalSt on the road and Rutgers beat them at home. Rutgers giving up 181+ on the ground and don't have a RB to speak of now...
Titans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against AFC South. Colts are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. Jets are 3-0 ATS in their last three games at San Diego. Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in a dome. Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine September games. Rams are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. Texans are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on the road. Lions are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games on the road. Buccaneers are 6-11 ATS in their last 17 road games. Broncos are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite.
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always like to take a look at these
This week's trends to consider...
Titans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against AFC South. Colts are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. Jets are 3-0 ATS in their last three games at San Diego. Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in a dome. Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine September games. Rams are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. Texans are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on the road. Lions are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games on the road. Buccaneers are 6-11 ATS in their last 17 road games. Broncos are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite.
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